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Originally Posted by johnnysnow
And Bobo I am not a clinical case of a gambler.
Perhaps the most important reason why I keep playing from time to time even knowing it is rigged is because I want to chip my money in this industry so honest people can see that poker is still alive and this increases the opportunity that one day a perfect, transparent and uncheatable software will be created. That will solve many current problems like data mining, once a hand is played it can as well never be saved because it was unique and random. You will have to rely solely on your skills and imagination. No usernames will be shown without fear of bots or house players. Unchanged, unhackable and truly random does not rhyme with rake. It's coming!
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnysnow
Monteroy, do you refute the idea that some people are lucky in most aspects of their lives till they die? What are the chances of winning multiple lotto jackpots? yet some did it. If you heard that from someone you would start using your math and say it could happen in a billion of years but because a lifetime is average 80 years therefore it will never happen. Or the dude is running some kind of scam, tipping the number picker to put more balls with his numbers then set the bowl on fire.
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Originally Posted by johnnysnow
What are the chances of a man winning close to every single game of luck he will play. If the odds are higher than 0 then it's possible for that man to exist. That means there will be a spectrum and many more net winners, maybe they played 3 games or 300k games are overcame the odds. What are the chances of most of them to have a circle of friends, relatives and colleagues? I'd say pretty high, but you wouldn't know that given the fact that you live on the internet. And also have trust issues maybe because you are a nasty person, can't stand others and use to be dishonest yourself. So probably home schooled and lonely, not much real life experience, not many absurd coincidences observed and judging my ability to see through bullshet on a forum. What the hell are you anyway?
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnysnow
I'd say there are close to no chances that you were the one spermathozoid who won the race.
Therefore you don't exist, don't try to convince me you do.
You seem to be getting really worked about this.
I also find the story about your friend extremely unlikely. I won't go as far as impossible, but I probably should. You bring up multiple-time lotto winners to prove the point that the seemingly impossible can happen. Well, I don't think that kind of thing has happened often - the few times it does, it gets talked about a lot. And what kind of lottos did they win? How often did they play? These are important facts that could change something from being a one in a million to a one in a billion shot. Either way, a player that constantly wins at roulette could be an even longer shot. Quite likely your friend (or you) is lying or exaggerating, but it's hard to say for certain without knowing all the details.
The thing is, you used the example of him to prove some kind of point about how one can win at any game. You kind of dismissed an earlier point made about 10-30% of poker players being net winners overall, saying about roulette players: "There must be a precentage of them that are net winners." And you're right, there absolutely will be a percentage that are net winners. But if you think it's anything close to 10-30%, you're deluded. I'd suggest the number will be well below 1%. Maybe there are enough people who made a few bets one night and never played again to push it a little higher, but nothing close to double digits. I don't know if you really stopped to think what 10-30% means. That would be hundreds of thousands of poker players that are net winners. Hundreds, if not thousands, of players on our forums that win year after year, and some over much larger sample sizes than any winner at the roulette table is likely to have - whatever you might like to believe, more than luck or rigging is involved.