Quote:
Originally Posted by HugeStacks
That I can't win on one network for 4 years (and only one network) and it's the same network that everyone knows is clearly rigged. And on top of that I'm watching the same 3 players at every stake just stay scalding hot every single day and night. Put it all together and only an idiot would keep putting money down on the table here.
There is no player in the world who can win money when all they see is 64o, 72o, 72o, 72o, 72o, 52o, 92o, etc for 4 hours straight and I'm not sitting there for tens of thousands of hands losing 5+ BI's waiting to "outrun variance". Really, I think more of us than you realize are tired of this same song and dance here in almost 2020 and considering that poker traffic is lower now globally than basically ever, the handwriting is certainly on the wall for the near future and online poker.
Your sample size matters here. Swings happen. In 2017 I played just under 500 MTTs (SNGs didn't run) on another site. I did some serious grinding, starting with $40 that had been sitting on the site for two years. I never played a tournament unless I had 100 buy-ins at that level. At the end of the year I had $480 (a bit short of my goal of $500) now that bankroll is just under a thousand.
During that time I had some nasty downswings, in fact, during three of those months I lost money. I didn't worry about that because I understand that poker is a long-term game, similar to a 162-game baseball season. The goal isn't to win every baseball game, the goal is long-term, that is, to win sometime like 90 of those 162 games and make it to the playoffs.
Poker is very similar. The goal isn't to win a tournament or to make a bunch of money in one month, although it's nice when that happens. To win at poker you have to stay focused, trust the process and make good decisions over thousands of hands. Just as with baseball, you will have nasty losing streaks, but in both cases it's part of the game.
Play a lot, get your study time in and don't worry about a bad day/week/month. If you're doing it right, you'll win over time.
Don't try to "outrun variance" because you can't. You're trying to argue with math. I played a final table today where I was very close to getting my best cash in over a month. I shoved jacks, ran into aces and I didn't even make it into the money. I sulked for five minutes, then I decided to study for a while until the next decent tournament was open for registration.
I'm still way ahead this month and June will probably be my best monthly profit in two years. Or not. Maybe the next two weeks, or the entire month of July will be a disaster. Either way, I have a plan and I'm sticking to it. You have to be able to jump on that variance train and hold on through all of the ups and downs. That's how baseball works, and that's how poker works.
Last edited by Poker Clif; 06-18-2018 at 06:44 PM.
Reason: No edit