Quote:
Originally Posted by spadebidder
You're correct. This particular run which Indiana did for me, filters for 2 players all-in preflop and one won (ties excluded), 6-handed cash tables only, all on one major poker site. It was more of a proof-of-concept for the hand analysis software he's been working on.
I have the code myself now and I'm working on some refinements to do a more complete analysis.
If we assume that average equite is in the middle of each interval we get:
[0.34 - 0.36): 22147 7530 0.34%
average equity 0.35. Deviation 3.12*sigma.
[0.54 - 0.56): 52804 28537 0.54%
average equity 0.55. Deviation 4.42*sigma (!!!)
[0.44 - 0.46): 52790 24259 0.46%
average equity 0.45. Deviation 4.4*sigma (!!!)
I calculated only 3 intervals.
Are you saying this data proves all-ins are not rigged?
Moreover, I can say the data are sensless because you excluded ties.
Equity formula is (percentage of wins)+1/2*(percentage of ties). So, it's incorrect to count only wins and compare result with equity. Must count ties as well.