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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,502 34.89%
No
5,607 55.86%
Undecided
929 9.25%

04-11-2010 , 05:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NFuego20
A lot. It's amazing to me that some of the logical people who have already refuted these stale ideas numerous times continue to do it. Just a few pages back KOF provided a response that I've probably seen 100 times in this thread. It's all been covered before. I used to write detailed and well thought out paragraphs in response to these whackjob ideas all the time. But I'm tired of repeating myself. No patience for it right now. Maybe if somebody actually is willing to make an effort to study their theories for real I'll be willing to take the time again, but right now all we have is a bunch of clowns saying what if this what if that and bringing nothing real to the table.

Can you prove poker is rigged with your own hand histories? It's possible depending on a variety of factors, but not likely. All depends on how many you have and exactly what you're testing for. But all this crap about shortstacks winning too much or big stacks winning too much or fish winning too much. This stuff can be tested. At least take step one and provide a real study. You don't have to be a mathematician. It's not too much to ask to put together real numbers and at least start down a path of real testing.

I could argue all day long that the White House has an evil plan to blow up Greenland but that's just not going to get us anywhere now is it. Just like all these conspiracy theories aren't going to get us anywhere. Yes, the conspiracy theories if actually put into use could be detected and uncovered, but why debate it in the first place when there's no evidence it's happening? Find something that appears to be happening, really do some testing on it, and then get back to me. Until then, we have nothing more than useless drivel in here.
Look at what youre saying. You are out of your mind.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 05:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
Yea,
It kinda shut Josem up too.
wtf, no.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ostcount=19259
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by toltec444
I will use an example outside poker to illustrate:

Lets say a company put in the market a new anti migraine drug, and this new drug (without anyone yet knowing) harms the heart?

The drug is marketed, everyone is using it and everything is going fine.

Some researchers make a work to see if this drugs affect the liver and find it has no effect in the liver its safe for the liver.

The drug keeps being marketed.

Then 10 years after the drug is in the market a group of researchers make a trial to see if the drug affects the heart, and what they discover, it harms the heart.

The point is, if they havent done that study about cardiac harm it would never be discovered.
The difference between this and poker is that in your example the side effect is unwanted and asymptomatic.

This is a very real problem when developing drugs.

In the 'poker is rigged' scenario the only reason to rig the deal is to cause some noticeable effect; 'action hands' being one effect that seems popular.

If you rig the deal for more action hands then, if you are successful, there will be more action hands and this will show up in any analysis of a suitable sample size.

Quote:
Getting back to online poker, if the sites can manipulate the distribution of cards how can we detect it without knowing where they are manipulating it?
For about the hundredth time:

If the site were to be manipulating the deal they would be doing it to achieve some end. e.g. more action hands. If they are successful then there will be more action hands and you will be able to test for this.

The 'tards' in their desperation to circumvent logic and the available evidence keep coming up with airy fairy notions of rigging that you can't see for one reason or another.

But if you can't see it, what's the point of doing it?

Quote:
In the case of online poker we are talking about manipulation, that can be made and stopped at any time so the sample size dont matter.
This is utter nonsense.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:13 AM
Your analogy sucks toltec444. Here's why. You talk about how the distribution of cards can be manipulated in a way that can't be tested, but you fail to mention that the output [the cards delivered to each player] can be tested. That's why the sites use RNG's in the first place. To distribute a random deal that won't distribute any patterns. Those patterns would show up in the math of the output. It's that simple. So, if there's manipulation going on you should be able to find it. Regardless of where it originates or takes place.. it should be there. A pattern of some sort. Show proof of a pattern outside of the norm of poker and you've got yourself some proof. Evidence of what you're claiming.

Or are you just predicting that what you're claiming now is just so undetectable that it just hasn't been "figured out" yet. But you're predicting it will??


** It's like your boss is promising you a paycheck of $1500.00. He used some of your money to buy his wife a new dress and shoes. He made a college basketball bet with your money, too. But, at the end of the week he still gives you the $1500.00 he promised. You shouldn't bitch or worry that "something's going on" with your money as long as you get the amount you were supposed to.. the $1500.00. Now if you only get $1300.00, then YOU KNOW something's "going on".

So to make it even simpler, where is some proof that you're not getting dealt what you're supposed to be getting dealt? It's rigged, but you can't show that "you only got $1300"? That doesn't make sense, does it?

Last edited by LVGambler; 04-11-2010 at 06:22 AM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pooflinger
um if i play 10 tourneys and they rigg 1 hand near the bubble every time its a big problem even if i i played 1000 hands in those 10 tourneys
Who hates you enough to take their time to do this to make you lose?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by toltec444
Let us think about a specific situation:

FD at the flop...you have 1:4 to make the flush...the site can choose when and to who they will give the flush or not and yet keep the 1:4 frequency.

Another way to think about it: If I get busted 3 times in a row going all in PF with AA thats ok, but if the site chosed to make me lose that 3 times and win the other 12 I will never know because in the total frequency its all right.
And the site dislikes you enough to sit around and do such subtle things to make you bust out of tournaments without upsetting the win % of hands why?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pooflinger
josem is on the phone with his boss right now .

"howard the rigtards have figured it out"
Josem works for PokerStars.

Howard owns Full Tilt.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
Yea,
It kinda shut Josem up too.
It's not possible to prove a negative of this nature. There is no way to prove sites are NOT doing that. The way logical arguments work is you prove the positive. Prove that they are doing it.


Keep track of all the times you are all-in and could be eliminated with AA and see if the percentages for win/lose are correct or not.

Well actually I guess by doing that you could gather some evidence showing the negative or it could be phrased gathering evidence disproving the positive.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WallaceWins
Why is Ful Tilt and Poker Stars set up to let short stacks win 79% of the time?

Also why to donkeys call with bottom pair on the flop turn and river 2 pair?

I emailed them and they clain they shuffle fair?

Sounds like a lot of bull to me?

Are the internet sites set up to let newbies and bad players suck out so they come back or I am just really really unlucky online?

What do any of you regulars on Full Tilt and Poker Stars think..

Oh, while typing this I am playing a $5 torney and got dealt AA raised and they all folded, AK next, then next pocket JJ and raised standard 4Xbb and they all folded

Then 3 hands later I get 67 on the button and raise and pushed all in with AK and OF COURSE the flop comes AK and the turn and river is 67 umm 2 pair too late...

come on how dumb do the programmers who rigg the games think we are really?

Why did you call a shove with 76 here?

Oh and getting 3 good hands and no action doesn't prove anything. It's just 3 hands. And tournaments generally play somewhat tighter (than cash games) due to smaller stack sizes.

Last edited by Lego05; 04-11-2010 at 06:35 AM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Larryforlife
Just got done with another session. Yet another PP where i flop trips beat by higher that rivers trips. AJ flop with KQ calling down and spiking river. KK called down by Ax spiking ace on river.




Yes the almost no variance line is me moving down in stakes.

I took an AP stat class 3 years ago, not saying that's much but my graph is giving a convincing arguement.

All 3 circles coincide exactly in events that give Full Tilt more money.

I've tried for so long to say that FT's not rigged. I don't know what to do anymore.
I withdrew money a week ago and since then I'm up about $1200.

Maybe it's rigged for some people to lose when they withdraw and win when they deposit and for other people to win when they withdraw and lose when they deposit?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qpw
The difference between this and poker is that in your example the side effect is unwanted and asymptomatic.

This is a very real problem when developing drugs.

In the 'poker is rigged' scenario the only reason to rig the deal is to cause some noticeable effect; 'action hands' being one effect that seems popular.

If you rig the deal for more action hands then, if you are successful, there will be more action hands and this will show up in any analysis of a suitable sample size.



For about the hundredth time:

If the site were to be manipulating the deal they would be doing it to achieve some end. e.g. more action hands. If they are successful then there will be more action hands and you will be able to test for this.

The 'tards' in their desperation to circumvent logic and the available evidence keep coming up with airy fairy notions of rigging that you can't see for one reason or another.

But if you can't see it, what's the point of doing it?



This is utter nonsense.
achieve some end, yes. But if you test for e.g. more action hands, and they only rig it that way randomly, for 2 hours a month, it won't be detected. For another two hours a month, you could randomly e.g. dump funds into dummy accounts starting with the letter P, then for another two hours you could randomly e.g. slow down the progress of anyone nearing super-nova status.

There are too many ways it could be done, and you have to assume it would be done intelligently, unpredictably and, therefore, untraceably.
So, assuming there is no predictable alogarithm, your point is less than moot, as is spadebidders mockery of "proof".
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
There are alot of people in this thread who are paid by online sites to specifically block an open train of thought. Called "shills".
This **** is getting old. Put up or shut up IMO. We all know Josem works for Poker Stars (and I doubt he's paid to post here, but that's another matter); what else have you got?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 06:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
This **** is getting old. Put up or shut up IMO. We all know Josem works for Poker Stars (and I doubt he's paid to post here, but that's another matter); what else have you got?
I'm certainly not paid to post here on this sort of stuff - you could probably track my working hours by the gaps in my posting
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
This **** is getting old. Put up or shut up IMO. We all know Josem works for Poker Stars (and I doubt he's paid to post here, but that's another matter); what else have you got?
I've got an idea for a thread where only "rigtards" are allowed to attempt to prove online poker is rigged. Anyone entering the thread without a clear aim to prove that online poker is rigged will be warned, then suspended if a repeat offender.

I tried, but I think 2+2 won't allow it. It got moved here, into "put up or SHUT UP where is your hand history you rigtard" land.

Another thread just for "legits" is fine, but I want to moderate both threads.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:23 AM
I'll take your lack of evidence and/or names as a retraction of your shill accusation. Thanks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
I've got an idea for a thread where only "rigtards" are allowed to attempt to prove online poker is rigged. Anyone entering the thread without a clear aim to prove that online poker is rigged will be warned, then suspended if a repeat offender.

I tried, but I think 2+2 won't allow it. It got moved here, into "put up or SHUT UP where is your hand history you rigtard" land.

Another thread just for "legits" is fine, but I want to moderate both threads.
So wait...you want a thread where only one group of people are allowed to post, and anyone who tries to take a different viewpoint is banned? LOL.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
I'll take your lack of evidence and/or names as a retraction of your shill accusation. Thanks.


So wait...you want a thread where only one group of people are allowed to post, and anyone who tries to take a different viewpoint is banned? LOL.
It would get more progress. But I really said it to prove a point.

As long as there are people in this thread who go through a great deal of effort to stagnate progress, I will assume it is a paid shill.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
As long as there are people in this thread who go through a great deal of effort to stagnate progress, I will assume it is a paid shill.
I think if you were to read the whole thread, you'd find most of the people who appear at times to be "go[ing] through a great deal of effort to stagnate progress" have actually often made very solid points and contributed a great deal to the conversation, but get sick and tired of having the same arguments again and again with people who refuse to engage in a logical discussion. I'm thinking of posters much like qpw and NFuego20.

But if it makes you happy to make false assumptions based on little or no evidence, hey, you're in the right thread!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
I've got an idea for a thread where only "rigtards" are allowed to attempt to prove online poker is rigged.
Go start your own forum then, imo.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
It would get more progress. But I really said it to prove a point.

As long as there are people in this thread who go through a great deal of effort to stagnate progress, I will assume it is a paid shill.
For there to be progress, there needs to be a logical argument.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Larryforlife
Just got done with another session. Yet another PP where i flop trips beat by higher that rivers trips. AJ flop with KQ calling down and spiking river. KK called down by Ax spiking ace on river.




Yes the almost no variance line is me moving down in stakes.

I took an AP stat class 3 years ago, not saying that's much but my graph is giving a convincing arguement.

All 3 circles coincide exactly in events that give Full Tilt more money.

I've tried for so long to say that FT's not rigged. I don't know what to do anymore.

anyone..........
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
anyone..........
I'm not going to go through the 3 individual hands.

He ran below slightly below expectation for 50k hands, something that isn't unheard of nor impossible.

He is also a ****** if he feels something is wrong with FTP and he is still playing there but "move down in stakes". If you don't trust the site, move on to where you do feel your money is safe and you aren't questioning their integrity.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
Go start your own forum then, imo.
So, if I think a thread attempting to prove online poker is rigged is a good idea, then I should go start my own forum?

I think this is the ONLY thread where "shills" are allowed(not moderated). The rest of the forum seems moderated to allow for the freeflow of ideas.

I think if I went into an Omaha8/b thread, and repeatedly stated that NLHE is a better game and required more skill, even offered up stats. and hand histories as 'proof', eventually moderators would warn me to go to another thread and suspend me if I didn't allow threads to flower.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
So, if I think a thread attempting to prove online poker is rigged is a good idea, then I should go start my own forum?

I think this is the ONLY thread where "shills" are allowed(not moderated). The rest of the forum seems moderated to allow for the freeflow of ideas.

I think if I went into an Omaha8/b thread, and repeatedly stated that NLHE is a better game and required more skill, even offered up stats. and hand histories as 'proof', eventually moderators would warn me to go to another thread and suspend me if I didn't allow threads to flower.
hahahahaha, POTY
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett


So wait...you want a thread where only one group of people are allowed to post, and anyone who tries to take a different viewpoint is banned? LOL.
No!
All groups of people are allowed to post!
Different viewpoints ARE welcome.
It's the repeated attempts, by the same individuals, to hijack a thread that shouldn't be allowed.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-11-2010 , 07:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
So, if I think a thread attempting to prove online poker is rigged is a good idea, then I should go start my own forum?
But that's not what you proposed. You suggested a thread where anyone not of a like mind wouldn't be allowed to post. Sorry, not in this forum.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
I think this is the ONLY thread where "shills" are allowed(not moderated). The rest of the forum seems moderated to allow for the freeflow of ideas.

I think if I went into an Omaha8/b thread, and repeatedly stated that NLHE is a better game and required more skill, even offered up stats. and hand histories as 'proof', eventually moderators would warn me to go to another thread and suspend me if I didn't allow threads to flower.
Have you ever reported a post in this thread?

And if you haven't noticed, the silliness pretty much goes both ways.
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