Quote:
Originally Posted by SooperFish24
Ive come to my conclusions after years of playing online and seeing unlikely events too often.
I know nothing at all about software programming and little about RNGs so Im never going to be able to explain co herently what goes on.
A simple test you can do though it will be a bit boring is take a coin and flip it 1,000 or 10,000 times and record the results. Or, feel free to do it without recording the results as you can still test part of this behavior at work.
Through the series of flips there will be odd sequences, like multiple heads or tails in a row, or a pattern of HHTHHTHHT and it will not be hard to form beliefs of how the coin is rigged based on these patterns.
Keep in mind it is you flipping a coin, yet you will eventuially begin to think it is rigged in a certain way. Three heads came up in a row the next one will be tails since it always is. That type of thing.
All you are doing is the same thing. You see something that sticks out, a bad beat or a wild hand, and it sticks in your memory. As more and more odd things happen (as they will once in a while) you form a pattern of belief as to what they mean. Look, ace rag beat KK 3 times in a row that means something.
Well, no not really, it is just you basing a belief on selected memories of a few specific instances. This is why a hand history database helps, it tells you exactly what happened. Your memory tells you "wow I sure remember A rag beating KK a lot" because the opther times tend to not stand out.
Note also how we hear all about A rag beating KK, but you do not hear as much about A rag (2-8) beating 99, partially because that scenario comes up fewer times, but also because it is just not as sexy a situation even though the odds are the same. KK losing seems worse, so you remember it a lot more then when a hand like 77 or 99 loses.
Also keep in mind that most of the rigged theories you believe in are either
- Far too complicated to be worthwhile doing (vs easier to do smarter ways of rigging if it was actually rigged)
- Far too easy to be caught
Your theories are like if McDonalds tried to trick it's customers by selling burgers missing a bun to save costs. Not the best way to cheat customers.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SooperFish24
Also these online gambling sites are often based in the same places that drug dealing and other illegal enterprises operate out of like Costa Rica/Cyprus/Isle of Mann etc. Id be a lot less suspicious if they were properly regulated and based on the mainland in reputable locations. Although the US is obv currently off limits.
This is called being xenophobic. It is a common flaw and it produces opinions pretty much exactly like yours.