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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,508 34.88%
No
5,615 55.84%
Undecided
933 9.28%

04-01-2010 , 09:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
All I'm saying is the ONLY time Ive ever had over 10 really ridiculous bad-beats all in one big session were the two times I tried to move up several levels to the $50 SNG.
So because the only times you've ever lost super hard were at stakes where most of the players are tough regs, it's clearly a matter of it being rigged against you and not that your opponents are way ahead of the droolers at the $3 SNGs?

You have a sample of ~20 games, which is meaningless. Try just jumping up a level or two, not from $3 to $50, and see how you do. Maybe you can find the equilibrium between buyins and softness.
Quote:
Keep in mind, if there was someone like PotTripper out there, they would be hanging out at the higher levels, not at the lower levels..
Obviously, but apparently in your sample of ~20 games, you managed to run into superusers every single one of them. Pretty impressive.
Quote:
I like the monkey riding the motorcycle in your avatar, is he the one that runs your statistical analysis?
1). It's a chimp
2). It's a Segway
3). It was the avatar a poster who recently passed away used. A lot of people starting using it in tribute, and I haven't changed it yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
As Phil Laak said on Poker After Dark, "Impossibly strong vs impossibly strong"...
Wow, how odd that hands you see make it to showdown tend to be strong, that's so weird since earlier you said everyone stacks off with junk.

Also, I've seen AA v. AA v. KK in two separate televised events. Clearly live tournaments are rigged, it's how Hellmuth has 11 bracelets.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-01-2010 , 10:58 PM
Online chess is rigged.
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04-01-2010 , 11:30 PM
Yeah, it felt like I was up against 20 Super-Users from the moment I sat down in those $50 SNG... Wish I still had the hand histories, you would really give me props and say "well, I admit thats unsual", or something to that effect...

I agree its not out of the ordinary to see 5 solid hands go all-in to a showdown in a tournament. What IS unusual is when the flop makes 2 sets, a nut straight, and a nut flush... and then you see the same thing happen repeatedly several times during a session...

I don't think we're gonna get anywhere with this "debate"...

I want to believe that online poker is OKAY, and I hope it is.. I play a lot of it, and I enjoy it, and I think the site I play on is run very well and offers a lot of entertainment value in my life. I enjoy playing and appreciate that its there for me,..
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-01-2010 , 11:35 PM
today won every all in for two hrs then when the money rolled around went 0 for 6 when I was at least 3 to 1 fav. std. session. I would love it if everyone cashed out all here money at the exact same time.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-01-2010 , 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
Yeah, it felt like I was up against 20 Super-Users from the moment I sat down in those $50 SNG... Wish I still had the hand histories, you would really give me props and say "well, I admit thats unsual", or something to that effect...

I agree its not out of the ordinary to see 5 solid hands go all-in to a showdown in a tournament. What IS unusual is when the flop makes 2 sets, a nut straight, and a nut flush... and then you see the same thing happen repeatedly several times during a session...
Can you please share the hand histories? You should be able to email the site concerned and get them to send the histories to you.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-01-2010 , 11:36 PM
Im to the point where my main mission will be to whatever is bad for PokerStar's business.
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04-01-2010 , 11:39 PM
theres either superusers/mass MAing and datamining/bots/RNG predictability/RNG rigging/or mass whole card spyware going on.

one of those is going one bc something is really really fishy. I know a ton of pros and semi pro players who are in the same boat. Something just isnt right. Im confident that there will be breaking news soon bc people are fed up and its really becoming obvious to a lot of people who have been playing for a long time. They are starting to see the big picture of what is going on and what is fact when it comes to variance (huge myth that keeps growing).

I cant wait till u shills are in prison for conspiracy. Ill laugh me ass off and then go eff ur wife while ur locked up takin' it in the azz from bubba. thats wat u all deserve, lowlife scumbag lying cheats.
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04-01-2010 , 11:50 PM
^^ +1, except for the prison part, i just wish they would stop.
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04-02-2010 , 12:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
Yeah, it felt like I was up against 20 Super-Users from the moment I sat down in those $50 SNG... Wish I still had the hand histories, you would really give me props and say "well, I admit thats unsual", or something to that effect...
Does this site not let you request HHs?
Quote:
I agree its not out of the ordinary to see 5 solid hands go all-in to a showdown in a tournament. What IS unusual is when the flop makes 2 sets, a nut straight, and a nut flush... and then you see the same thing happen repeatedly several times during a session...
If it happens so often, start saving your HHs. Mention me on 60 minutes, k thx.

Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
today won every all in for two hrs then when the money rolled around went 0 for 6 when I was at least 3 to 1 fav. std. session. I would love it if everyone cashed out all here money at the exact same time.
Funny you didn't mention your equity on hands you won...
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04-02-2010 , 12:26 AM
don't you mean all "there" money at the same time?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 12:38 AM
There is no point in looking for the hand histories, this happened like 8 months ago,.. Even if I showed you them, you'd just call it variance or bad beats...

It just seemed catastrophically unlucky that runner runner kept happening over and over, on the only day that I decided to move up to a level my bankroll couldnt handle..

I'd just like to forget it and focus on more positive things,...
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 12:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
There is no point in looking for the hand histories, this happened like 8 months ago...
Should be pretty trivial to find the only $50 SNGs you've played, but whatever.
Quote:
Even if I showed you them, you'd just call it variance or bad beats...
Most likely. We'd also probably point out poor play on your part.
Quote:
It just seemed catastrophically unlucky that runner runner kept happening over and over, on the only day that I decided to move up to a level my bankroll couldnt handle..
Who would be to blame for this, by chance? Superusers? Superbots? Superuserbots? Subaru?
Quote:
I'd just like to forget it and focus on more positive things...
Bringing it up repeatedly is actually kind of a bad way to forget, imho.
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04-02-2010 , 01:11 AM
Honestly, its not worth digging up hand histories to try and explain a few hundred dollars lost in SNG action... I'm just an insignificant cog in the machine, one of millions of regular players that probably spends too much time chasing a dream..

If there ever is an "INTERNET SCANDAL" or something, it would happen at the higher levels.. these people that play for $100,000 pots are the people that would be most outraged if they felt something was up...

And that is how the Ultimate Bet 60 Minutes thing broke, and if anything happens in the future it will be the high stakes players that lead the way...

Until then, I'm gonna grind and have faith in the system... I believe in the basic goodness of all humanity, and that anything that isnt right will be set right...
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04-02-2010 , 01:37 AM
[QUOTE=I'm not sure if this has been brought up or discussed anywhere but I have not found anything regarding this rigging possibility.
Whenever someone makes a post about how they suspect a site is rigged they are generally mocked and told to produce statistics of their beats. Apparantly from what I have seen most players that do take the time to have their hand histories analyzed find that their hands win/lose against their opponants hands about as often as they should.
My theory is that the cards are randomly drawn but that the flop/turn/river cards are manipulated in such a way as to trap players into getting in good and losing (to even the playing field for the poorer players).
I have been taking some horrible beats over and over and over for a very long time on pokerstars. I play at the lower stakes and often will get in with a drawing type hand preflop if it's cheap because opponants are more likely to pay if it hits. My concern with the RNG randomness is not whether the best preflop hand wins as often as it should, it is whether the best hand when the majority of the chips go in wins as often as it should. If I call $20 in a sng and flop a straight with my 8/9s against someone slowplaying AA and get him to put all his $1500 in the pot, It doesn't concern me who started with the best hand. So when it comes running board pair, then an Ace, the best starting hand wins and the statistics are not skewed but the player that called off all of his chips in horrible shape is rewarded.
Now, here is how stars would set someone up to fail (and programming this to work would be simple) My hand is randomly dealt 8/9, one of my opponants is randomly dealt A/A. For simplicity we will say I'm in the BB and he is small blind. Everyone folds to my opponant who min raises. I call the minraise. The 5 cards for the flop, turn, and river are RANDOMLY pulled by the rng. The cards pulled by the rng are 6, A, 10, 10, 7. Here is where the fix comes in. The software then sorts the 5 random cards in the order they will come up, 6, 10, 7, 10, A, flopping my favorable cards first and saving the cards that will improve my opponants hand for the turn and river. My opponant leads out with a huge bet, I reraise him all-in and he calls. The player has gotten all of his chips in nearly drawing dead, but when the miricle runners come up nothing will appear incorrect to tracking software because the cards were indeed drawn randomly, the order of the cards was what was changed to trap the better player into losing all of his chips.
I just play a lot of sngs and so often see a player hammer a flop, get their chips in waaaaaay ahead, then watch as whatever their opponant needs just comes up again and again. I don't know if there are programs available to analyze this sort of thing, maybe there are? All I know is that whenever someone dismisses the "rigologists" their argument is usually based on how often hand x lost to hand y when they plugged their hand histories into a program, not how often they got the majority of their chips in well ahead and found a way to lose on the turn or river.[/QUOTE]


Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
This is the theory i proposed here and Im sure others before have as well. The statisticians argue that it cant be done without skewing the times a flush or a set or any X made hand is made on the turn then on the river et cetera. But I dont think those studies have been done and I dont see how you can study how often X is made on a turn or river when not all turns and rivers are seen. The balancing hands may be hands that were folded pre showdown and of course inherintely you will see more turns and rivers even in non rigged games when you have cards that draw you out there. Expect to be ridiculed going forward without any care to your thoughts on the matter.
What software is available that would allow you to make such a study and prove this theory wrong?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by otatop
Yeah, this phenomenon is called "Players at higher stakes tend to be better than those at lower stakes".
He never said anything about these players outplaying him.
He said that they were incredibly lucky.
Or is part of being a good player being able to predict what cards will fall?
I remember I was crushing PLO8 50 for a couple days then tried to move up to PLO8 200.
Within the first 5 hands I was dealt AA35, shoved all-in, and was called by J257.
Needless to say, he made the wheel as well as a flush.
How can you consider calling with trash and sucking out good play?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BucketFoot
He never said anything about these players outplaying him.
He said that they were incredibly lucky.
Or is part of being a good player being able to predict what cards will fall?
I remember I was crushing PLO8 50 for a couple days then tried to move up to PLO8 200.
Within the first 5 hands I was dealt AA35, shoved all-in, and was called by J257.
Needless to say, he made the wheel as well as a flush.
How can you consider calling with trash and sucking out good play?
Or you could use your brain, read between the lines, and realize that there are a lot of people who confuse bad play for bad luck.

As for the cherrypicked hand history that you're so well known for, nobody cares about your anecdotal bs, because that's exactly what it is.

http://twodimes.net/poker/?g=o8&b=&d...%0AJs+2c+5d+7h

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=7207733
pokenum -mc 500000 -o8 as ac 3d 5h - js 2c 5d 7h
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled boards
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
As Ac 3d 5h 277290 332042 164970 2988 187577 36348 2960 0.701
Js 2c 5d 7h 77758 164970 332042 2988 63764 150162 2960 0.299

You mean somebody hit a 30% shot against you? You don't say.... well that settles it.

Hey IDIOT, 3 out of 10 times in PLO8 a goon makes a stupid move against you, he's going to win! Why am I not shocked that you forget about all the times your hand wins.

Last edited by NFuego20; 04-02-2010 at 01:47 AM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 01:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
I just dont see situations in live games where 4-5 players gets dealt a strong hand which hits the flop in a 9 handed game.

The example I gave last night where 2 players had sets, one had AK, and one guy hit a runner runner straight.. NEVER seen that in real life.

And the weird thing is, I see this EVERY SINGLE DAY when I play online...

Just now I shoved JTs in a live 9 handed game when short stacked, got called by AK, 99, QQ, JJ...

The flop was 9JK..

I just dont see these things in a real live game EVER...

When you see things in online play over and over that you never see in live games, you do start to wonder...

Eventually, these things will demoralize you and cause you to either withdraw the money or get depressed..
These are the paranoid words of a loser. Someone who lacks the intelligence to ever improve his game. Congrats.


Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
I don't really want to be associated with anyone!!

If the cards start falling in a normal way soon and I start winning again like Im supposed to with the winning hand, I probably wont even post here anymore
Notice the loser is now looking for "a miracle" to happen. Congrats.


Quote:
Originally Posted by BucketFoot
Anyone who says the sites are legit is either a shilltard, an abysmal idiot, or simply hasn't experienced the wrath of the doomswitch.
There must be a lot of gullible dumbass mofos out there to believe that these sites are legit.
There are people out there who are winners [that play good] and have no problem with online poker. You are not one of them.


Quote:
Originally Posted by BucketFoot
Actually it seems more rigged when I win.
After my first deposit at AP, I entered a tourny and they literally would not let me lose.
When it got down to heads up all I got was premium hands.
I was folding stuff like AT heads up because I knew JJ would be next.
Honestly like 20 premium hands in a row.
Same thing happened at FTP after I took a long beak there.
Shipped first in a MTT that they would not let me lose.
I never play NLHE and am therefor not very good at it, but I ran at +50BB/100 during my first 500 hands at FTP.
I was sucking out like Paris Hilton but I stopped because I knew the boomswitch does not last forever.
No one applies "logic" like a riggie. Blue is not blue, it's green


Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
All I'm saying is the ONLY time Ive ever had over 10 really ridiculous bad-beats all in one big session were the two times I tried to move up several levels to the $50 SNG.

Each time I lost over $500 and my luck immediately changed when I moved down a level...

Again, just left me with that weird feeling...

Keep in mind, if there was someone like PotTripper out there, they would be hanging out at the higher levels, not at the lower levels..

I like the monkey riding the motorcycle in your avatar, is he the one that runs your statistical analysis?
$50 SNG? You are in way above your head. WAY ^
(and they wonder why they lose)


Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
Yeah, it felt like I was up against 20 Super-Users from the moment I sat down in those $50 SNG... Wish I still had the hand histories, you would really give me props and say "well, I admit thats unsual", or something to that effect...

I agree its not out of the ordinary to see 5 solid hands go all-in to a showdown in a tournament. What IS unusual is when the flop makes 2 sets, a nut straight, and a nut flush... and then you see the same thing happen repeatedly several times during a session...

I don't think we're gonna get anywhere with this "debate"...

I want to believe that online poker is OKAY, and I hope it is.. I play a lot of it, and I enjoy it, and I think the site I play on is run very well and offers a lot of entertainment value in my life. I enjoy playing and appreciate that its there for me,..
You should quit. Lying that is. You don't play a lot (and are still that big of an idiot). Umpossible.


Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
today won every all in for two hrs then when the money rolled around went 0 for 6 when I was at least 3 to 1 fav. std. session. I would love it if everyone cashed out all here money at the exact same time.
:shootthisbitchplzty:


Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
Im to the point where my main mission will be to whatever is bad for PokerStar's business.
:shootthisbitchplzty:


Quote:
Originally Posted by RagingBull
I'm just an insignificant cog in the machine, one of millions of regular players that probably spends too much time chasing a dream..
QFT. Every once in a while a riggie has a lucid "moment". Like Simon says on Idol, "This was your moment."
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
Stars and Tilt could EASILY buy votes, and pay professional writers to post this thread day in and out.
These writers would be well paid and well trained. They would blend with the natural proponents of their cause, giving them strength and confidence of their cause.
They would even occasionally post for the rigged side, making sure their arguments were weak and easy to refute....Illogical, emotional, paranoid and unintelligent.

If they did monitor and attempt to manipulate this forum, they would probably site good players who cash out alot of money, and attempt to discredit anyone who questioned their validity.

They might even try to make posting on the side of 'rigged' a humiliating experience, and insult the intelligence of anyone did so.
They would imply that anyone who could side with 'rigged' is just a losing player.

They would bury valid, intelligent arguments beneath a slew of smears and inuendos. For every 'rigged' post, they would echo it with 50 'only a donkey could think it's rigged' posts....it would serve as their motto.

They would demand proof! Hand histories! Delineating graphs!
They would cite variance as the ONLY possible conclusion to mathematical anomalies.

For every time the 'regulation' was mentioned, the would make sure the term 'paranoid' followed in force.

They would only be willing to accept one logical solution, and label all others as illogical.


But then, they would have no motivation to do so, would they?


Sorry, I was OBVIOUSLY wrong about this.

Thanks for clearing the air. It is truly decent of many a poster to spend so much time in this thread to set donkeys like me straight.

Backtracking some posters, I see some of you have been helping out the misguided 'riggers' with a great deal of diligence and, might I add, professionalism.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:11 AM
Yep, us shills, we demand logic, evidence, crap that MAKES SENSE, etc etc.

The nerve.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chipvac
What software is available that would allow you to make such a study and prove this theory wrong?
Probably have to code your own utility for it.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beaten Senseless
Stars and Tilt could EASILY buy votes, and pay professional writers to post this thread day in and out.
Is there any evidence of this happening? Has anyone been approached to be paid to cast votes in these polls?

It's pretty absurd that there is proof provided that a rigtard votes multiple times, and yet the response here is to create fictitious and baseless allegations that falsely attack the integrity of others.

More substantially, however, these issues are not issues of opinion that can be covered up with well written prose. This is an issue of fact: facts that have been proven by the independent audits, the independent regulators, and the openness of the data to independent analysis at any time.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:28 AM
I've tried 3 times now to exit this thread gracefully! Each time, someone throws an insult at me...

I think I've been very fair and balanced in my comments, and I haven't taken personal attacks on anyone or any specific poker site...

I'm gonna take the higher ground here and say..

Goodnight and good luckl!!!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NFuego20
Yep, us shills, we demand logic, evidence, crap that MAKES SENSE, etc etc.

The nerve.
Yes, you demand it quite often, in fact. Repeatedly.

How many posts in this thread have you demanded such logic?
Are you willing to give me the number of posts you have made in this thread? A small, simple number like that should be easy to compute, and would definately lend weight to your cause!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:36 AM
Yep, I demand people bring logic to the discussion when they repeatedly spew nonsense, repeatedly. That much is correct. If the thread wasn't filled with so many brain dead morons and their gimmick accounts, the thread wouldn't exist at all.

Am I willing to give you the number of posts I've made in this thread? Nope. That is highly classified and top secret. That number multiplied by my rate per post = my shill income, and I can't take a chance on anyone knowing this.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
04-02-2010 , 02:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
Is there any evidence of this happening? Has anyone been approached to be paid to cast votes in these polls?

It's pretty absurd that there is proof provided that a rigtard votes multiple times, and yet the response here is to create fictitious and baseless allegations that falsely attack the integrity of others.

More substantially, however, these issues are not issues of opinion that can be covered up with well written prose. This is an issue of fact: facts that have been proven by the independent audits, the independent regulators, and the openness of the data to independent analysis at any time.
Josem....how many posts have you made in this thread?
Can you give me a number?
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