[QUOTE=I'm not sure if this has been brought up or discussed anywhere but I have not found anything regarding this rigging possibility.
Whenever someone makes a post about how they suspect a site is rigged they are generally mocked and told to produce statistics of their beats. Apparantly from what I have seen most players that do take the time to have their hand histories analyzed find that their hands win/lose against their opponants hands about as often as they should.
My theory is that the cards are randomly drawn but that the flop/turn/river cards are manipulated in such a way as to trap players into getting in good and losing (to even the playing field for the poorer players).
I have been taking some horrible beats over and over and over for a very long time on pokerstars. I play at the lower stakes and often will get in with a drawing type hand preflop if it's cheap because opponants are more likely to pay if it hits. My concern with the RNG randomness is not whether the best preflop hand wins as often as it should, it is whether the best hand when the majority of the chips go in wins as often as it should. If I call $20 in a sng and flop a straight with my 8/9s against someone slowplaying AA and get him to put all his $1500 in the pot, It doesn't concern me who started with the best hand. So when it comes running board pair, then an Ace, the best starting hand wins and the statistics are not skewed but the player that called off all of his chips in horrible shape is rewarded.
Now, here is how stars would set someone up to fail (and programming this to work would be simple) My hand is randomly dealt 8/9, one of my opponants is randomly dealt A/A. For simplicity we will say I'm in the BB and he is small blind. Everyone folds to my opponant who min raises. I call the minraise. The 5 cards for the flop, turn, and river are RANDOMLY pulled by the rng. The cards pulled by the rng are 6, A, 10, 10, 7. Here is where the fix comes in. The software then sorts the 5 random cards in the order they will come up, 6, 10, 7, 10, A, flopping my favorable cards first and saving the cards that will improve my opponants hand for the turn and river. My opponant leads out with a huge bet, I reraise him all-in and he calls. The player has gotten all of his chips in nearly drawing dead, but when the miricle runners come up nothing will appear incorrect to tracking software because the cards were indeed drawn randomly, the order of the cards was what was changed to trap the better player into losing all of his chips.
I just play a lot of sngs and so often see a player hammer a flop, get their chips in waaaaaay ahead, then watch as whatever their opponant needs just comes up again and again. I don't know if there are programs available to analyze this sort of thing, maybe there are? All I know is that whenever someone dismisses the "rigologists" their argument is usually based on how often hand x lost to hand y when they plugged their hand histories into a program, not how often they got the majority of their chips in well ahead and found a way to lose on the turn or river.[/QUOTE]
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Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
This is the theory i proposed here and Im sure others before have as well. The statisticians argue that it cant be done without skewing the times a flush or a set or any X made hand is made on the turn then on the river et cetera. But I dont think those studies have been done and I dont see how you can study how often X is made on a turn or river when not all turns and rivers are seen. The balancing hands may be hands that were folded pre showdown and of course inherintely you will see more turns and rivers even in non rigged games when you have cards that draw you out there. Expect to be ridiculed going forward without any care to your thoughts on the matter.
What software is available that would allow you to make such a study and prove this theory wrong?