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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,502 34.89%
No
5,607 55.86%
Undecided
929 9.25%

03-29-2010 , 12:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mumbly
Okay then, I guess it's all in my head. Just a figment of my over-active imagination. Thanks for clearing that up.
The fact is: it may be. I mean no offence here but just using personal exerpience is often a terrible way of detecting patters, statistics, etc. If you downloaded your HHs and put them into a tracking software you might be very surprised by what you find. Then again, you might find that your perception was exactly what you thought. The only fair thing to say at this stage is that your gut tells you something is wrong. The only conclusion you can draw at this point is that further investigation may be warranted. But drawing any other conclusion at this point is simply not sound.
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03-29-2010 , 12:56 PM
To put it into perspective: A live pro probably plays 2000 hrs/yr. of poker (50 weeks/yr @ 40 hours/week). At 30 hands/hr (which is on the high side), that is 60k hands/yr. Your average online grinder plays about 100k hands/month. Plus, online players have the ability to log and analyze every hand played.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-29-2010 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mumbly
I haven't downloaded my hand histories, so I couldn't give you an exact number on how many times it has happened. But it has happened repeatedly, hence the reason for me bringing it up. And I've only been playing for a few months. Prior to playing online, I have played a ton of live poker, so my live perceptions are not based on a small sample size. The difference in card distribution is like night and day, from what I've seen so far. As far as "how often I think it should happen", I'm not math oriented so I have no idea, but I do know that it happens so infrequently in live games that it's hardly even a consideration. Sure it happpens, but only once every blue moon. I suspect that the majority of players who blindy take the side of the pokersites in this argument (which seems like the vast majority here) simply haven't played enough live poker to know the difference. Because the difference is extreme enough that it would be pretty damn hard not to notice it otherwise.
So to sum up:

Things you don't know:

How often it has happens online
How often it has happens live
How often it should happen in both cases

Things you know:

It happens too often online compared to live

Do you see any problems with this?
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03-29-2010 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo_Boy
So to sum up:

Things you don't know:

How often it has happens online
How often it has happens live
How often it should happen in both cases

Things you believe you know:

It happens too often online compared to live

Do you see any problems with this?
FYP
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03-29-2010 , 03:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spadebidder
No, that's a common misconception. The rake for that hand would be higher. But over time big pots probably do not increase the total rake, and may in fact decrease it by making losers go broke faster. Not everyone will redeposit. More rake would be achieved by lower variance and less action, so that the money slowly moves around between players until churned into rake. More rake is also achieved when the same money is still held by two players instead of one player, so they can pay rake twice as fast.

There are other reasons that "action flops" would not help a site make more rake. Josem has gone in to this quite a bit.

That said, your perception of action flops is just plain wrong. You need to examine some hand statistics to clear that up for yourself. If you are playing no-foldem microdonks then you might see a few more because there are more players to the flop. At anything over .10/.25 I think online tends to have less people to the flop than loose live low stakes games (like 1/2), so you'd see those things less. Either way, the percentage of made hands flopped per player seeing the flop isn't any different live or online.
I can agree this may not create more rake because it gets capped at some point . But isn't having a capped rake is always good ? Well anyway in comparison if were used it may be of more use in MTT setting to decrease the timeframe needed to complete a tourney . Certainly I am not saying it is but is never fun to lose a good hand .
Once in awhile just for kicks I take out a deck and deal a 6 man table of cards and just try to keep hole cards in play of the 6 that I may think would stay in the hand . Then I deal the flop , turn river just to see what hands develope . Some strange things occur when I do that too .
Just a thought .
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03-29-2010 , 03:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by had 2 say
Once in awhile just for kicks I take out a deck and deal a 6 man table of cards and just try to keep hole cards in play of the 6 that I may think would stay in the hand . Then I deal the flop , turn river just to see what hands develope . Some strange things occur when I do that too .
Just a thought .
I think most people would find this exercise eye-opening. Just deal all the cards face up and don't worry about who would fold or not, and then deal the board. Do it 200 times and you will see mind-boggling suckouts. It's a very educational 2 hours.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-29-2010 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spadebidder
I think most people would find this exercise eye-opening. Just deal all the cards face up and don't worry about who would fold or not, and then deal the board. Do it 200 times and you will see mind-boggling suckouts. It's a very educational 2 hours.
That's just the thing. You will see 7-2 flopped boats and quads and all kinds of other things. But the questions come when in real play when some guy magically played the 7-2 and got the boat from your pre flop raise with AA. If i was to code a rigged system, this is exactly the kind of thing you tap into. Of course AA isnt a magic hand like geting AJ in black jack is. Its not going to win every time. But if you can code a complex AI/NN type of app that taps into the psychology of things into then you are onto something.

As it stand though, after giving it some thought. The O razor of riggies unfortunately is the theory i like least, house bots or Juiced house users. I'd like to think that there is a more complex system in place but I agree that from a profitabilty POV there just isnt enough to go on. If however you have a truly random deal with house bot that know when things will happen in their favor...then everything falls into place, the stats, the winnings, et cetera. Maybe thats the dual roles of the shills here. Play as house players who get the signals to press, come in here and point to the stats, make 80k a year doing easy work. Id sign up for that.
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03-29-2010 , 04:38 PM
I realize people have some inklings or superstitions of things happening but where you can't prove it that is all we have . I see some people think they have a favorite hand or even on TV where some player has a "Shark" as a good luck charm . I think even Doink the Clown plays poker .
I hate to admit but I hate the hands just before the break and even some right after it . Just seems so often they are big pots and more often disasterous at times .
Has anyone ever done a study of how many "3 or less out" cards fall after the flop to make hands ? I may not be explaining my thought real well on that question but is a general question . Maybe in comparison to the expected norm of cards that should fall .
Ok maybe that is far fetched but a thought and may be able to be explained better with some further thought . Just let me know what you think anyway for now .
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03-29-2010 , 04:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher

If however you have a truly random deal with house bot that know when things will happen in their favor...
LOL, do you ever read these after you write them? How does that make any sense at all to you?
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03-29-2010 , 05:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by had 2 say
I can agree this may not create more rake because it gets capped at some point .
I think you'd agree it would be much worse to have someone go bust in a big action hand where the rake is capped at $3 than it would be to have him play on for 20 more hands with a rake of $1 a hand.

And you don't need spaces before your punctuation marks, FWIW.
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03-29-2010 , 05:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
I think you'd agree it would be much worse to have someone go bust in a big action hand where the rake is capped at $3 than it would be to have him play on for 20 more hands with a rake of $1 a hand.

And you don't need spaces before your punctuation marks, FWIW.

Well I was hoping you would not be that picky Bobo . It is just a habit I developed for another reason . I do some editing on certain parts of my text . I would not argue your point on rake potential you present .
Also I hate playing good cards against an All in peanut stacks most times too . They seem like a give away for me a lot of times but not always .
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03-29-2010 , 05:22 PM
I wouldn't have brought it up on its own, but since I was replying to you anyway, I threw it in there.
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03-29-2010 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pooflinger
shills still hard at it feeding you all a reality check i see
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
I think you'd agree it would be much worse to have someone go bust in a big action hand where the rake is capped at $3 than it would be to have him play on for 20 more hands with a rake of $1 a hand.

And you don't need spaces before your punctuation marks, FWIW.
s p a c i n g i s c o o l !
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03-29-2010 , 05:27 PM
I didn't think you meant to make me seem like I didn't know although I did not get great grades in English class . You may be the only one who noticed and I give you credit for observation of that . It says something about you . Partly I developed that so that in a search situation it is not part of the word in the text and will be included in a search of that word when the puctuation is not attached to it . Your alright and did not want to throw that back at you for any negative reason either .
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03-29-2010 , 05:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
And you don't need spaces before your punctuation marks, FWIW.
Thank God someone's mentioned it.

It makes a poster look like such a dork using weird non-standard punctuation that causes the text make your eyes bleed.
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03-29-2010 , 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by had 2 say
You may be the only one who noticed
No he bloody well wasn't!
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03-29-2010 , 05:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ILikeBeer
LOL, do you ever read these after you write them? How does that make any sense at all to you?
Because once the RANDOM deal is defined, if the house bot can see the hole cards and flops of other players, theyll know when "things will happen in their favor" you damn rigtard.
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03-29-2010 , 05:53 PM
Quote:
You may be the only one who noticed and I give you credit for observation of thatIt says something about youPartly I developed that so that in a search situation it is not part of the word in the text and will be included in a search of that word when the puctuation is not attached to itYour alright and did not want to throw that back at you for any negative reason either
Those aren't periods, they are bullet points to make the prose more powerful. Pow! bang! bam! point after point!
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03-29-2010 , 05:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qpw
No he bloody well wasn't!
Now that sounds truly English . Sorry I did not mean to exclude others . Was just trying to compliment and relieve some of my own feelings I had from seeing that pointed out . I posted about a person reading into what is said in forums and emails earlier . I am guilty of the same at times . I see things that look out of whack here too ..
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-29-2010 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by had 2 say
I can agree this may not create more rake because it gets capped at some point . But isn't having a capped rake is always good ?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
Here:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ostcount=14061
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ostcount=14924

I'm sick of linking to those posts, so now have a saved template to do so.
qft
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-29-2010 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
Because once the RANDOM deal is defined, if the house bot can see the hole cards and flops of other players, theyll know when "things will happen in their favor" you damn rigtard.
In that case, you probably should've mentioned that your house bots had superuser abilities as well.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-29-2010 , 05:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by had 2 say
● Sorry I did not mean to exclude others

● Was just trying to compliment and relieve some of my own feelings I had from seeing that pointed out

● I posted about a person reading into what is said in forums and emails earlier . I am guilty of the same at times

● I see things that look out of whack here too ..
bing blang blaow
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03-29-2010 , 06:07 PM
Thanks Josem, I am reading them now . I was not inferring anything but asked if capped rake was of any benefit to sites . I am not saying there is a method that get any site to that objective .

Oops in prior statement I said " That truly sounds english " . I was trying some humor , of course I did not "hear" that . Maybe it was another sense inffered there and seemed I did in my head . Oh how the cookie crumbles . lol
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03-29-2010 , 06:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
Because once the RANDOM deal is defined, if the house bot can see the hole cards and flops of other players, theyll know when "things will happen in their favor" you damn rigtard.
Don't quite know how to respond to this. Can someone help me out and tell me if that is an insult or a compliment coming from this guy?
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03-29-2010 , 06:21 PM
I suspect name calling is always meant as a slight .
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