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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,502 34.89%
No
5,607 55.86%
Undecided
929 9.25%

03-24-2010 , 09:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
For those who udnerstand math at all, my PM with Spade did help me word this better. A poker deal is linear. You go from 1 event to the enxt to the next in time, deal card 1, deal card 2, deal card x. As you study hand histories from one player, you are no longer looking at cards in a linear fashion. Not even in backwards linear, because you may see Card T, but the next vieawbale card might be card G. AKA No longer linear, not even in reverse.

As for a tree. Surely there is at least 1 computer scientist or DBA here. A tree structure is a math term if you dont know what it means. A Database is a tree structure. A hand history is a very simple database, a database of cards dealt to players, therefore it is a tree structure. If you have the FULL database, you have a FULL tree. On poker stars servers, hand histories are in the database as full hisotries, all hole cards et cetera. What you see is not FULL, therefore PARTIAL therfore a PARTIAL TREE.
To be clear, my response was that I don't understand your theory, and I said that the game/decision tree has no effect on the deal in poker, which is itself a linear sequence of random events. Players make decisions based on those random events, but those have no effect on the cards to come. No matter what branch players go down, the next card is still the next card. My education is computer science (the advanced kind with lots of math and theory), and I understand trees. But I don't understand your idea. You should run with it and do some studies and post them, or at least flesh it out to where somebody else can understand it.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 10:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
For those who udnerstand math at all, my PM with Spade did help me word this better. A poker deal is linear. You go from 1 event to the enxt to the next in time, deal card 1, deal card 2, deal card x. As you study hand histories from one player, you are no longer looking at cards in a linear fashion. Not even in backwards linear, because you may see Card T, but the next vieawbale card might be card G. AKA No longer linear, not even in reverse.

As for a tree. Surely there is at least 1 computer scientist or DBA here. A tree structure is a math term if you dont know what it means. A Database is a tree structure. A hand history is a very simple database, a database of cards dealt to players, therefore it is a tree structure. If you have the FULL database, you have a FULL tree. On poker stars servers, hand histories are in the database as full hisotries, all hole cards et cetera. What you see is not FULL, therefore PARTIAL therfore a PARTIAL TREE.
Not a clue what you are on about here (and yes, I'm a computer science graduate and do know about tree structures...).

Assuming your idea isn't complete gibberish and you are just having a problem explaining it, then please show a simple worked example to illustrate what you mean.

Juk
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 10:09 PM
^ That will never EVER happen. Based on what I've read in my short time here itt, I can say, confidently, that no riggie, spewing out his (PD's) kind of garbage, will ever produce anything other than

wait wait wait.. ok --->
Spoiler:
complete ****ing garbage


Sorry but these people just hit a nerve with me today (ok, almost every day) lol

Last edited by Mike Haven; 03-25-2010 at 12:03 PM.
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03-24-2010 , 10:37 PM
Hey guys, can you please be nicer to AMEC0404 - as a personal favor to me, please?

Oh, and the way folks can type out curses w/o getting in trouble is by not circumventing the profanity filter or being especially rude.
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03-24-2010 , 10:42 PM
Ahhh, and I came in here to dog pile him again
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03-24-2010 , 10:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Markusgc
Hey guys, can you please be nicer to AMEC0404 - as a personal favor to me, please?

Oh, and the way folks can type out curses w/o getting in trouble is by not circumventing the profanity filter or being especially rude.
+1, This is why Markusgc is the man...legend continues...

BTW. AMEC:
Nobody looks at you any differently bc he posted you're stats and they're below your expectation. Which we understand is why your questioning the outcome. I understand you feel violated, but for somebody that has your back I'll can say my stats are pretty bad too, so don't sweat it.

Last edited by tk1133; 03-24-2010 at 10:54 PM.
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03-24-2010 , 10:54 PM
I snatched this from another thread. It was in response to a post about a bad beat.. in a play money game

This is a gem of gems imo. Epic even.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gullanian
Wow unlucky! That sucks, when they call you think "yesssssssss" then the turn comes, hey, good things in life like 5,500 playchip pots don't come easy so I'm happy to sweat it, then before you know it BAM there comes that river card, and you're screaming for your wife to come and take a look at the monitor.

"Honey, honey! Look at this! They guy called me all in with a raggy ace and he rivered quads! Honey!"

Before she gets there the next playchip hand has started, it's ok though, you ask her to wait as you decide to fold your offsuit jackson five, and click the replay button at the top right of the screen.

You explain the thought process for each step of the hand.

"Honey, look at this! Dealt KT, someone raised preflop"

You click the next button in the hand replayer.

"CrazyRobb was the only other caller!"

You click the next button in the hand replayer.

"Honey, I flop a straight to the ace, raise all in, and fortunately CrazyRobb only had around 2500 to make his CrazyCall!"

Your wife rubs your shoulder soothingly, she knows you and knows that a reasuring shoulder rub will help subdue the anger that's built up inside you.

You click the next button on the hand replayer.

"Look at this honey! The third ace comes out!"

"Unlucky you poor thing" she says.

"NO YOU DONT UNDERSTAND IM STILL GOOD AT THIS POINT WE'VE BEEN OVER THIS"

"Oh sorry dear ok what happens next"

Your hand is shaking so much you accidently click backwards on the hand replayer so you have to click forwards twice.

"Honey look, the fourth ace hits the river, can you beleive it?"

She stops rubbing your shoulders and says "You have a job that's far more interesting than poker"

"Your right" you smile knowingly to her. You don't mention you were taking a big shot at the bigger play chip games and just lost a significant portion of your roll. She would never understand, she is not a risk taker. Tommorow you will have to click the top up playchips button and take another shot. Nothing in life worth while is easy, you have to keep trying.

"Well you better get to bed quickly dear, McDonalds want you in early tommorow"

The sunset was tepid that night, and the hero curled up into the foetal position and fell asleep, happy with the fact he made the right play. "I'll post this on Internet tommorow I bet they haven't seen anything like this" the hero though to himself.

The next day, the Internet did not respond well. It angered the hero slightly, "damn the Internet and their Internet jokes I don't understand".


The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 11:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tk1133
+1, This is why Markusgc is the man...legend continues...

BTW. AMEC:
Nobody looks at you any differently bc he posted you're stats and they're below your expectation. Which we understand is why your questioning the outcome. I understand you feel violated, but for somebody that has your back I'll can say my stats are pretty bad too, so don't sweat it.
outcome of what? I never claimed to be a winner at cashgames, I never have been, and cashgames hands make up less than 10% of my total hands played. I seriously contacted my lawyer and as long as he is a resident of the US, I have a legit case.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 11:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
outcome of what? I never claimed to be a winner at cashgames, I never have been, and cashgames hands make up less than 10% of my total hands played. I seriously contacted my lawyer and as long as he is a resident of the US, I have a legit case.
Ok, you're getting defensive. You posted in this forum that you were below expectation, all I'm saying is it's not a big deal. REAL Players don't judge other players based on their buy ins and how much money you win. It's a game, and it's how you play the game that counts in the end.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 11:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tk1133
Ok, you're getting defensive. You posted in this forum that you were below expectation, all I'm saying is it's not a big deal. REAL Players don't judge other players based on their buy ins and how much money you win. It's a game, and it's how you play the game that counts in the end.
yes and I was 1.6 std deviations off expectation in AIPF hands. and that is with spade's rounding everything his way.
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03-24-2010 , 11:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
I agree with this 100% but spade still scews his results to favro what he is looking for by rounding everything to the side the benefits his side.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
yes and I was 1.6 std deviations off expectation in AIPF hands. and that is with spade's rounding everything his way.
You really need to stop misrepresenting the accurate work I did for you voluntarily, and that I reported impartially (and in fact rounded UP from 1.58 to 1.6 making it look further off expected than it was). I don't care what Mark says about you, you are a lying douchebag and have been ever since you began posting. You are rude and insulting to everyone for no reason other than trolling, you have no interest in any reasonable discussion, and you can kiss my ass.

So ban me Mark, if anything I said was out of line. I can do without this ****.

Last edited by spadebidder; 03-24-2010 at 11:45 PM.
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03-24-2010 , 11:35 PM
Well Josem wont look at my stats now because I owe PS 200$ and I have no way of depositing here in the US and they wouldnt accept a p2p transfer of funds to make up for it from someone at my timeshare who also plays. She even sent in ID and bills and promise to transfer the money into my account since I'd give her cash. Of course after offering that solution several times, which any reasonable entity would accept, my emails were ignored. In any case it doesnt matter. I dont think its going to be MY hands that prove anything other than I manage to lose with trips and flushes like nobodies business.

@Spadebidder, again i understand the linear appraoch of describing a deal, but its no longer linear going in reverse when "decompiling" hand histories. You cannot describe a linear object by breaking it up into segmented parts and describing incomplete parts of it.
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03-24-2010 , 11:40 PM
I know Mark is a reasonable guy, but if he says AMEC is anything more than a massive douchebag, that'll probably be my first major disagreement with him.

Mark, I've gone out of my way to be nice to AMEC. Everybody's patience has worn thin. I'm actually amazed he hasn't been banned by this point. If he's going to be allowed to troll and throw temper tantrums and threaten people with lawsuits, slander people, state fiction as fact, etc etc etc that's fine, but don't expect people who have gone out of their way to help him to put up with him when he spits in the face of the work they did for him.
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03-24-2010 , 11:45 PM
Ive seen more insulting behavior from NFuego than AMEC. I think he should be banned first. And I dont say that with bias because there are plenty on the defenders side that are quite civil and friendly.
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03-24-2010 , 11:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
Ive seen more insulting behavior from NFuego than AMEC.
Then you haven't read enough of his posts (either of them).
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03-24-2010 , 11:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spadebidder
You really need to stop misrepresenting the accurate work I did for you voluntarily, and that I reported impartially (and in fact rounded UP from 1.58 to 1.6 making it look further off expected than it was). I don't care what Mark says about you, you are a lying douchebag and have been ever since you began posting. You are rude and insulting to everyone for no reason other than trolling, you have no interest in any reasonable discussion, and you can kiss my ass.

So ban me Mark, if anything I said was out of line. I can do without this ****.
dude u were 3 hands off in the only catagory I personally checked, and it was bc of rounding in your favor.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-24-2010 , 11:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
dude u were 3 hands off in the only catagory I personally checked, and it was bc of rounding in your favor.
You made a mistake then. There is no "in my favor", that ludicrous. The numbers are what they are. There is no "rounding" of hand counts. Put the filter I posted for you, in your HEM, and you will get exactly 9550 headsup all-in preflop hands. I don't know why I'm even arguing with you. I transferred every one of them to a spreadsheet, 9550 lines worth, and then added up the results to post the table. Nothing anywhere was rounded in anyone's favor. Standard practice for significant digits was used on percentages.

Your lack of appreciation is unbelievable. It's because nothing came out the way you insisted it would, with your wild claims of all brackets being at least 5% under expectation and you wanted to bet on it. Nothing even came anywhere close. That's why you are sour, because you were so very wrong.

Last edited by spadebidder; 03-25-2010 at 12:03 AM.
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03-24-2010 , 11:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NFuego20
I know Mark is a reasonable guy, but if he says AMEC is anything more than a massive douchebag, that'll probably be my first major disagreement with him.

Mark, I've gone out of my way to be nice to AMEC. Everybody's patience has worn thin. I'm actually amazed he hasn't been banned by this point. If he's going to be allowed to troll and throw temper tantrums and threaten people with lawsuits, slander people, state fiction as fact, etc etc etc that's fine, but don't expect people who have gone out of their way to help him to put up with him when he spits in the face of the work they did for him.
Krytestorme agreed that the only thing he was allowed to publicly post was the results of the study, which was an AIPF analysis. It was agreed beforehand and now, after not fulfilling his end of tgeh bargain, he instead posts personal financial results PUBLICLY. That is a pretty big mistake, one I am not willing to let go so easily. Especially when I have been treated the way I have in this thread.

Spade - You agreed to the same, and while we have had our differences, you always fulfilled your end. I commend for staying courtious and professional thoughout this whole ordeal.
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03-24-2010 , 11:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
Well Josem wont look at my stats now because I owe PS 200$
This is false.
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03-25-2010 , 12:02 AM
The information I provided was personal and sensitive material to my personal business. I do not appreciate that material being made public, and I am not going to let it slide.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-25-2010 , 12:06 AM
The guy can't even spell the word "category" and he's debating spadebidder on statistics. Gee, based on the past month of discussion I'm just really not sure who would be more reliable in this discussion?

Even if AMEC was right (which he's likely not), he's grasping at straws anyway complaining about rounding.

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03-25-2010 , 12:10 AM
OK spade... u have my expected winning hands at 4705. My avg equity for 9550 hands is 49.3%. 9550 * .493 = 4708.15 ... you just added up all the categories instead of just doing it simple. Evey category was rounded slightly, thus the skewed result. This is why I question your overall knowledge of math. This is a simple problem to avoid when doing scientific analysis.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-25-2010 , 12:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PikachuDemolisher
Well Josem wont look at my stats now because I owe PS 200$ ....
How does everyone always end up owning money to poker sites. I dont understand.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
03-25-2010 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AMEC0404
OK spade... u have my expected winning hands at 4705. My avg equity for 9550 hands is 49.3%. 9550 * .493 = 4708.15 ... you just added up all the categories instead of just doing it simple. Evey category was rounded slightly, thus the skewed result. This is why I question your overall knowledge of math. This is a simple problem to avoid when doing scientific analysis.
No, you don't multiply the average equity by the hands. You do it individually for every bracket that you are comparing and then sum them, to AVOID such rounding errors as the one you just made. Also, the calculations were done using double precision floating point numbers, NOT the numbers displayed in the output. Trust me on this, or redo the whole thing yourself and you will see.

Quote:
This is a simple problem to avoid when doing scientific analysis.
There you go again covering mistakes with condescension. lol, wow

I was right to self-exile from this thread and should not have come back.
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03-25-2010 , 12:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by batair
How does everyone always end up owning money to poker sites. I dont understand.
Usually takes a chargeback or an electronic deposit that doesn't go through. Takes a special person though because they would actually have to blow through their money before the site could reclaim the money that was credited.

I'll stop short of assuming that Mumu is guilty of some unethical crap here, although it wouldn't surprise me.

I love the people who say "Well, they rigged it against me anyway so it's ok to steal from them." Nothing like justifying an unethical act in your own mind. I suppose if anybody would know something about that, it would be a rigtard.

Last edited by NFuego20; 03-25-2010 at 12:31 AM.
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