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View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes 3,444 34.94%
No 5,522 56.02%
Undecided 891 9.04%
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:04 AM   #1676
spadebidder
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

Quote:
Originally Posted by tk1133 View Post
If I bluffed off all my chips w/ 5 over cards and 4 suited cards on the board, have my all in called on the river by pocket 2's, to have a pair of dueces beat my bluff I'm not going to say wow that's a great call...I'm ignorantly and instinctively going to think the site is trying to take my money... This is a broad and hypothetical example...Does that not make sense?
Repeated events like that would raise suspicion of someone being able to see hole cards, which is exactly what happened at UB/AP. It would not be an indication of the deal being rigged by the site, at all.
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:14 AM   #1677
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OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

Mod, please don't lock this, at least leave it up for a few days. I am not some noob who played a few thousand hands and lost, so the conclusion must be the site is rigged. No, I am a winning 5/10 player over hundreds of thousands of hands, I really think there is something fishy going on at cake. I want to get some comments from those who regularly play on cake.

So I got a few K onto cake poker last week and wanted to grind it up to a real bankroll, I started playing 1/2 HU. At first, I was delighted to see so many strangely bad opponents, I would estimate about 70% of my opponents would limp their button near 100% (they will limp/call 5x, 6xbb raise like always), and then a vast majority of them would call pot sized bets on flop and turn near 100% (sometimes they will donk then call any raise with any two cards), on the river, they would bet pot like 50-60% of the time. So this strange mix of call station and maniac on river behavior should create your perfect action fish. The way they play would increase variance in the short term no doubt, but in the long run, they should all be losing at a very fast rate, -20ptbb/100 or more easily.

My luck was terrible in the few days I played there, lost about 30 buyins total at 1/2 and 0.5/1, almost all of it to players like what I described, it seems like every time I have a set, I lost. I converted the hands into pokerstars format hand history using a cake->ps converter so I can analyze my hands in pokertracker, after running pokerev and setometer, I was relieved that I wasn't playing bad, it was just that I ran really really bad. No big deal, I ran bad before, it's only like 8k hands, anyone can ran like a dog for 8k hands. After all, someone has to be the unluckiest 1% in the group, and it appears to be me for the last few days.

However, then something hit me, it is normal that I lost because of luck, but it not possible for all those opponents that I have played to be long term winners. Me losing for a few day, 20, 30, even 50 buyin is an event that would occur 1% of the time or something like that, not likely but totally possible. But with the way these guys are playing, if they can win over 1 year of time, that's like you put a box of metal together and shake them well, then a computer will come out of it. Of course, I don't know if they are winning over the long run, with cake, they can change id every 2 weeks anyway so it's hard to tell. But if you find guys like this everywhere, over and over, I would assume there is a good chance that they are actually winning over the long run. You don't see players like this on stars/ftp, because if they play like this, they go broke really soon and you'll never see them again. Some people probably will argue that maybe these people just deposit regularly. I would disagree on this, losing player with gambling problem do not typically deposit 1k at a time on a site and play 1/2, if they have 10k, they deposit it and play 25/50. They are compulsive gamblers.

We all know that every site out there has the capability to cheat our players, but we assume they would not do it because the risk/reward factor just isn't there for them to cheat. But as with the UB/AP scandal, we can see sometimes stupid people will do incredible stupid things that defy logic. Also, because cake does not allow any tracker software and users can change id frequently (the main reason why I wanted to try cake in the first place is because I want to hide from tableratings.com so I can get action from weak regulars), it would be truly difficult for anyone to find out if anything fishy is going on. fwiw, I do not believe those players can see my cards, if they did, they played it smart enough that I couldn't detect it. However, it appears to be their draws (especially runner runner draws) just hit too often.

If you have read though all this, I would like to thank you for your time. I really want to get some puts from people who actually played on cake for a long time. Does anyone have a large database of hands on cake? something like 500k+ hands, if you can find large number of players like this (with my experience, you should be able to find a lot of those players, they all play similarly) and compile their stats together, say find 2000 of them and they played 200k hands total and overall they are winning, that should really raise a red flag for some serious investigation.
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:30 AM   #1678
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

there is a rational answer for u losing 30 buyins in a couple of days and i dont think this conspiracy theory is it
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:31 AM   #1679
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

**** you its not ****en rigged. I can barely ****en play poker at poker stars cause its ****en bull****.

QQ vs JJ

Flop Q 3 7

Still ****en lose. I see the flop and all I'm thinking how the **** is PS going to **** me on this.

Variance. Bull**** is more like it. This ****en everyday every hour. There's no ****en way fish would last more than a week they ****en suck so bad.

When you play a turbo sng, you always get action hands all the time, even though you only see 30-40 hands. Play a Long freezout and you can sit there for hours trying to get one PP.
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:35 AM   #1680
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

can you try that again, this time with the caps lock on?
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:43 AM   #1681
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

2 mins later. Ax vs KK

35A6

shove on the turn. King on the river *yawn*

"but you see more hands online" blah blah

Yeah that was two hands later and the hand after that lost 99 to 10 9.

Its hard to lose 6 coin flips in real life yet you can lose 6 times in a row when your 95%, 90%, 80%,70%,etc. ahead online.
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:55 AM   #1682
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

I didn't know about cake not allowing tracking software and letting you change ID. I am just away to find a rakeback deal and download their software. Thank you very much for such an insightful and useful post.
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Old 04-07-2009, 10:59 AM   #1683
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

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Originally Posted by K13 View Post
2 mins later. Ax vs KK

35A6

shove on the turn. King on the river *yawn*

"but you see more hands online" blah blah

Yeah that was two hands later and the hand after that lost 99 to 10 9.

Its hard to lose 6 coin flips in real life yet you can lose 6 times in a row when your 95%, 90%, 80%,70%,etc. ahead online.
Let's just see.

Do you know what the probability of that king turning up on the river was?

How often do you think you would see something with that probability in, say, 92 hands of poker?
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:05 AM   #1684
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)



You said it yourself, you only have an 8k hands sample...definitely not enough to prove anything. Also, due to the name change possibility, you can't ever be sure. If you what you say were true, how do you explain that a lot of us are lifetime winners on Cake?

Sorry for your bad run, but your allegations are kinda baseless...
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:07 AM   #1685
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

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Originally Posted by TheCrabKing View Post
there is a rational answer for u losing 30 buyins in a couple of days and i dont think this conspiracy theory is it
I have one of the highest win rate at 400nl-1000nl over large sample size, and I play a very high variance style so I am not unfamiliar with 30 bi downswing, and losing a few K won't affect my judgment. I have lost more than that in a single day countless times.

Here are a few explanations for what I experience at cake:

1) those players are actually winners, I simply do not understand their playing style, it's a very weird but nevertheless winning HU style.
Well.. if you spend sometimes watching them and you have the most basic understanding of math and HU poker, you would find this impossible

2) those players are losers and there are just a lot of them at cake or they just redeposit regularly.
At first, I thought I found a gold mine at cake when I first started. But the more I see them, the more I have to wonder is it really possible there are so many fishes like this that are willing to deposit over and over? I would really appreciate if anyone out there has a large database of cake hands and do a simple analyze on players who play over 70% of their hands and call a bet on flop over 80% of the time. I think everyone here would agree that you can't win playing this way in the long run, if we can find say 200k of hands played by these types of players and that they are winning, don't you think something fishy is going on?

3) cake is rigged
While I do not understand why anyone in charge at any poker site would do this, especially at such a low level. However, the AP/UB scandal clearly shows sometimes people do stupid things that makes no sense what's so ever. I would rather believe some incredible shortsighted person(s) at cake is cheating than to believe those bad players are indeed long term winners.
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:11 AM   #1686
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

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Originally Posted by Radeh View Post


You said it yourself, you only have an 8k hands sample...definitely not enough to prove anything. Also, due to the name change possibility, you can't ever be sure. If you what you say were true, how do you explain that a lot of us are lifetime winners on Cake?

Sorry for your bad run, but your allegations are kinda baseless...
my allegation is really not based on my hand sample, but more based on the sample of opponents that I faced.

As to how you and many others can be long term winners at cake, I can not explain that. But if a site decides to cheat, clearly it would not cheat against everyone, after all, if everyone loses, they won't have a player base for long.

At this point, I certainly would not say it's likely that cake is rigged, but I wouldn't say the chance of that is less than 5% either. By the way, I believe stars/ftp/ipoker/party/etc are legit 99.999999999999%
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:20 AM   #1687
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

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I wouldn't feel confident in my ability to decide whether or not it was rigged. However, there are people on these boards who are very good at this (see AP thread). Say you showed a 1,000,000 hands and over those 100,000,000 hands your Aces were cracked 40% of the time. I think this would be somewhere to start. And please don't say that is too many hands for anyone to possibly have because millions of hands have been dealt online since the start of this thread alone.
Quote:
Originally Posted by KingOfFelt View Post
Dude, seriously. You don't understand how probability works. You can't just manipulate millions of hands so they stay within proper boundaries, while at the same time "rigging" them to give certain players certain cards.
You aren't making any sense because you don't have the basic knowledge of how one would actually detect a faulty RNG.
Actually YOU CAN! Haven't you seen this Gilbert Arenas comercial? Well, if you haven't, you can watch it here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z_87VZAAgGs

Grab popcorn, folks! This one is going to be long!

One day me and my friend we were playing some SNG's and i say to him: "Man, wouldn't it be great if we would have our own poker site?" He says: "Man, that would be my dream, we would get so rich and wouldn't have to play those damn micro stakes SNG's for pennies, we would strike big in profit.

I have only to agree with him: "Yeah, man, have you seen my stats? I have played already 5K micro stakes SNG's and have made fkn' 1300$ into frofits, isn't that brutal?" And he laughs and trows out: "What it is, like 25 cents in a SNG? Ha-Ha, that's like worse than flipping burgers in McDonald!"

I have to defend myself and say: "Man, you're not doing better you know!" Seems like he's always one step ahead of me: "Atleast i'm not grinding my ars off every night by playing 100 of those, i have given up long ago, i play just for fun couple of them in a day!"

"Ok, ok man enough of this, so about this poker site that we will own one day, do you have any ideas or thought about it?" He just stares at me says: "Hell, no i don't know anything about it, i thought you have something, 'cause you came up with this idea" Well, actually i have!

And i start: "Our online poker room will be similar like all of them - cash games, SNG's, MTT's and all that stuff." "Yeah, yeah i know all that stuff, but how we will get rich?" he's so impatient. I continue "Rake will make us rich!" I see fire in his eyes "Ok, we will gain profit from rake, it's like 25 cents from player, considering we are new poker room and there would mainly play micro stakes players, are you insane? It will take forever to get rich!" Actually, it wouldn't and here i step in with my geniusevilgreedy master plan!

'You know what RNG is?" i ask him. "Wat?" he shrugs his sholders. Seems like this day will be long and i continue: "Well, you see every poker room has this RNG (random number generator) which gives cards to players and generates boards 'n' stuff" "What this RNG thing has to do with our profits?" "Much more than you think, my friend!"

"Everytime new player registers to our room data (IP adress, his credit card number (if he deposits) etc. data is tracked and stored and when game starts data is sent to little programm which is related to RNG, let's call it RNG's Guide." He's in perplexity "But why, what RNG has to do with data about this player, isn't it ment to be for card dealing?" "It's more complex than you think!" i proceed "See, everytime there's new player to our room we have to keep him there as long as possible, right? And how can be manage to do that if he's possibly complete begginer and doesn't know anything about poker?" He thinks for a minute and throws out: "Maybe we could give him some kind of lucky card streak to make him excited by winning and stay in our room for long time! Nah, that's just stupid, how could we do that, it's impossible..." [You know this evil smile?] Well i make one of those and say "Actually, that's what we are gonna do and it's more than possible"

"I will make example for you my friend!" "Let's say it's 45 men SNG, registration is complete and it's one minute to start, RNG's Guide which is related to this games RNG processed all information about and will give impulses to RNG" "Sounds complex? Actually, it isn't that complex - in every SNG there are those key moments where players are all in and in these situations RNG's Guide will decide who is gonna win, it will send information to RNG and it will throw board in favore of someone which RNG's Guide have chosen" My friend is stunned "Have you watched those sci-fi movies alot lately, are you insane? Let's say I'm all in with AA and villain is all with 72 and RNG's Guide will decide that i'm going to lose, wouldn't it be too obv that there's something shady going on?"

I proceed "Not at all! These situation's when AA gets cracked would't be that much. There would be "surviving levels" in every SNG when "setup hands" will occure. For example - first surviving level will occure when blinds are 50/100, player stacks will be around 10-15BB's (some will have less than 10BB's obv and some more based on their action in first stages) and in this period RNG will throw around setup hands. Mostly two player will be involved in these situation and hands will be pair agains bigger pair, pair agains two overcards, overcards again overcards with better kicker etc. There will be situation where 3 or 4 players will be involved with playable hands, but those situation will occure rearly, these situations is needed to not get very suspicios about those action hands if two players would be involved all the time. Who's gonna win race will decide RNG's Guide which is gonna send impulse to RNG to generate board like it's decided based on information about players involved into hand."

My friend thinks for a moment and asks "But what if first player to act who has one of setup hands just raises and second player doesn't shove, but just calls? It would make situation which is not in "scenario", if i could say so" "That wouldn't matter. Let's say first player who acts has AQ, he raises to 300, second player involved in setup has AK and he just calls. RNG's Guide sends impulse to RNG before dealing flop and says that player two will win. Flop comes AT8, money goes in no matter what. If somehow player one escapes from loosing his stack, he's left with pennies and will blind out to death or will shove some marginal hand and lose" My friend starts to get little into it, but still has plenty of questions "How exactly RNG's Guide will decide winner and what if someone else comes into action who wasn't into "setup", let's say someone who has marginal hand like JT, but is desperate to shove 'cause he has small stack?"

"RNG's Guide will decide winner based on all information about players. Let's examine previous example, AQ and AK goes all in, JT too comes into - before board gets dealt RNG's Guide based on information that player with AQ is registered before two months, has played xxx SNG's, have won xxx money, player with AK registered today, this is his first SNG, player with JT bla bla bla, decided that AK is gonna win. It doesn't matter how many player come into action, board will come just like RNG's Guide is decided, easy as that!"

My friend is stunned and throws out "Man, you're a genius! First - everytime when new players will deposite money they will be guaranteed to win money in their first tourneys, those players will be excited and will stay to play in our room! Second - everyone's winning will be regulated. RNG's Guide would track all info about all players and it would be configured way to max limit players winning and by regulating everyone's winning sharks will not eat fish. Imagine some skilled players terrorize our fish tank and clears it up? That would mean no more rake, right? Third - money flows around longer and that means more rake again!" "That's right, i see you are digging into this stuff!"

"Ummm" he say "What about after this first survival level, that's it? Game goes later randomly?" "Nope, it's just beggining. Next survival levels will occure when blinds are 100/200, 150/300 etc. Again setup hands all over the place, mostly two players involved. Ofcourse if there would be only setup hands people will start to notice it, that's why there would be these "one playable hand situations" where only one of players would have strong holding and would play his hand. RNG would be creating natural environment, but actually it would be one big setup! It's possible someone with marginal hand and small stack will come into action and then again RNG's Guide will step in action."

"But after some time people will notice it's always two good hands clashing or three hands, how we will avoid this?" "You dummy, there would be "0 playable hand situations" too, when noone has good holding, but if somehow two or more players are all in with medium hands, RNG's Guide is just waiting here to decide winner!"

"But what about bubble and final table?" "Same old story, mostly two hands clashes, RNG's Guide decides who's gonna win bla, bla, bla..." "But wouldn't it bring some rediculous bad beats all over the place? Let's say someone who's registered just today wins all all-in situations, no matter he's favorite and dog, has huge stack and starts to shove every hand at final table, 'cause he thinks his invincible?" I smile and say "Have you heard phrase "that's poker, everything can happen"?" My friend itches his head "Ummm, i guess so, but wouldn't it be to obv?" "Well, RNG's Guide wouldn't allow this player to win every hand. Let's say he shoves every hand and now when he has 27 gets called by KK, he will lose, but it will not matter 'cause at the end he will win this tourney"

My friend rubs his hands "I taste money here! But you know what, when you get lot of money, you get this feeling that you need more, you know what i'm talking about? Is it possible that we get more money than we actually could get?" [Evil smile on my face once again] "YES WE CAN!" My friend "Man, you know answers to all of questions, please tell me!" And I begin...

"See, to get more money we have to make money to flow faster around site. Games finishes faster, new games starts, more rake goes into our pockets. How could we fasten up games you're asking? Easilly, our RNG (which actually isn't random at all, HA-HA!) will generate "action flops" as i call them - let's say there are two players before flop with playable hands, one has AK, second has 99. First raises, seconds calls, but there are two donkeys who come into action with marginal hands like KJ and JT and flop comes QJ9. See, everyone's connected and someone's gonna lose money, someones gonna win. By creating this environments money will go faster around, players will faster bust out of tourney and register to another, brilliant right?"

"Cool, can you tell me little more about RNG?" I ask "What exactly you want to know?" "Well, if it actually isn't random as all player will think it is, how we will hide it?" "Easilly, we will state that our RNG is bit different than live shuffle" My friend is confused "LOL?" "Yeah, LOL, dude, who cares anyway?" "We will state that it doesn't bury hands like in live games dealers does, it will shuffle deck before hole cards are dealt and will shuffle again before flop is dealt. By that we could state that it's bit different (unpredictable?) and actions flop can happen more often in online poker. Plus players want to see more action, right? Live poker is so boring, you sit there five hours without hand..." "That sounds great, but what if someone is suspicion when he gets aces five times in one SNG?" "Man, are you dumb? This is so simple - in online poker you get dealt more hand 'cause games go with faster pace, see?" "Yeah, but what if someone plays 50 hands in live poker SNG and then 50 hands in online poker SNG states that it's clearly more action going on in online poker? He thinks that is proportionally more action in online poker that in live?" "LOL, man, who cares? And what is 50 hand sample anywayz, play 10000000 live and online poker hands and then you can come up with some evidence!"

"Oh, more about this RNG thing, what if someone collect big quantum of hands into his poker tracker and sees that his aces wins only 50% of the time?" "Dude, you think i'm stupid? There wouldn't be any anomalies like that, aces would win as they should, same for other hands. You could play 100000000x1000000000 hands and extract them into PT and you wouldn't notice anything strage" "Yeah, but what if someone in first 50 SNG's would get dealt aces 100 times and all other pocket pairs only 25 times?" "Again, sample size, too small sample size means nothing!" "You could get dealt aces every second hand in your first SNG, so what? In long run all pocket pairs would be dealt aprox same amount." "Cool, but how this RNG who actually isn't random will know how much pocket aces and pocket duced player has? Maybe something goes wrong and player gets dealt pocket duced 500 times and aces only once?" "This is were algorithm kicks in!" "Algor... WTF?" "Yeah, that's bit complex - algorithm will deal "playable hands" for every player few times in blind levels. Let's say player gets pocket duces when blind are 10/20, he gets AQ when blinds are 25/50 etc. Between playable hands there would be junk hands, marginal hands etc." "Ok, but what if someone starts to notice this pattern?" "Noone will, algorithm can choose to deal to someone in one blind level more than one "playable hand", besides there are turbo and regular SNG's, in regular SNG's you'll get more playable hands 'cause they're longer." "So basically this algorithm chooses hands for players based on RNG's Guide info which stores information about each player and in long run there wouldn't be such anomalies as pocket aces get dealt twice less than pocket duced, right?" "That's right!" "Let's say you play five SNG's at once and in all SNG's it's first blind level, you get delt AQ/22/AK/88/99 one playabke hand on each table, but RNG's Guide says to RNG to deal one more "playable hand" on table nr.3 ., it does. Next blind level 15/30, you get only 4 playable hands, but in this time next orbit you get dealt one more playable hand on table nr.2. Anywayz, that's just a theatre, you could fold all those hand even pocket aces and kings, all what matters is what RNG's Guide will choose when you'll be in those "survival levels."

"I was thinking, let's say our room gets popular and there comes some skilled players to play and they start to eat our fish, they start to win big and fish are afraid to play and goes away, our business is gone..." "Well, that's impossible 'cause we regulate everyone's winning, remember? By regulating winning i mean giving bad streaks for players, mostly break even streaks, sometimes "heaters" and that is possible to do by configurating RNG's Guide. Yes, there would be winning players 'cause there can't be only loosers, right? But, even those players wouldn't win as much as they should no matter how skilled they would be! Environment we want to create is many fish who stays long enought around generating rake, middle class - little winners and couple big winners as they call themselves, they would be impressed how much more they would win if we would run fair game, but it's business, right? HA-HA!"

"Umm, that's about RNG for SNG's, what about MTT's and Cash games?" "RNG is the same, structures are different, but mostly it would be - action, action, action! Big MTT's with huge fields wouldn't last for days, they would be completed in few hours. Faster MTT's ends, faster we could start new ones, more rake we would gain!"

"What about taxes, if we run business we have to pay taxes, right?" "LOL? Taxes? What are you talking about, taxes would cut from our income. We will locate our servers in ofshore countries where you don't have to pay taxes!" My friend is so excited, but...

"What if actually players start to not believe that we run fair games?" I calm him down "It's impossible 'cause you always can say there are ups and downs in poker "variance" and our RNG would be tested by some THIRD companies, anywayz what those fools would find out? Nothing! Hand are deals corectly, boards comes a bit too spicey and bad beats happen a LITTLE more offten, but that's poker!"

"Sounds greate, when we shall start our room?" "WAT? I was just dreaming about it! Anywayz back to work grinding micro stakes SNG's. I hope today i will make more than 20$ in 100 SNG's..." My friend before leaving "GL, dude, i have to go home and maybe someday we will run that poker room!" Me "YEAH RIGHT!"

Anywayz, this dialogue between me and my friend never happened and all in this story is fictitious, but if someone reads this story and thinks that this could be way how online poker rooms run their games all i can say to those folks are: "ARE YOU RIGTARD?"

It just a model how i would create my poker room. Yes, i'm a greedy bastard, i would rob you all poker player who love this game so much, but you know what? I would sleep pretty good damn well at nights, knowing that it's impossible to prove that my poker room is "rigged". So you're decent player and had 100 buy-in downswing while playing micro stakes SNG's? So what, it's poker buddy! VARIANCE can hit your aars!

Anywayz, truth sometimes is stranger than fiction, right?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GRQhuj7g7Y

CHEERS!

Last edited by lenasrokas; 04-07-2009 at 11:44 AM.
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:23 AM   #1688
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

Quote:
Originally Posted by qpw View Post
Let's just see.

Do you know what the probability of that king turning up on the river was?

How often do you think you would see something with that probability in, say, 92 hands of poker?

Someone should do a nice photoshop flow chart of a progression of a hand with arrows pointing to new boxes.


Something like player has AA gets it all in vs AK

Flop K42 - in box player thinks Stars better not rig it against me this time

Turn / River blanks - The better player won, hand forgotten 5 minutes later

Turn or River K - Beliefs that Stars is conspiring against player confirmed, tin foil hat purchase considered.

Could make for a cute graph, can even add a part where those ranting in a crazed manner try desperately to find anyone who actually cares about their beat, failing , and still not realizing that no one cares.

I suspect a lot of these behaviors would be a fun form of study for some basic psychology courses.
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:25 AM   #1689
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

but what about the timing?

if you addressed it, I skimmed right over that part.
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:37 AM   #1690
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

And the patterns that can only be seen in the mind, not by statistics.
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:40 AM   #1691
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

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Originally Posted by SooperFish24 View Post
The timing of the beat is whats suspicious. The Villain had lost a full buyin the previous hand and had been playing terribly, he said himself he was -10 buyins for that session. He played that hand about as bad as is possible but yet the 8s there for him.
ok, lemme see if I'm getting you here...
  1. the site set-up the villain by making him lose all his monies 10 times
  2. immediately (or soon) after, he is given a marginal starting hand OTB.
  3. he gets his money in bad on turn and the Rigged Gods river him a miracle

do I have it right so far? if so, here's what I'm having trouble with...
  • so this guy lost 10 buy-ins previous to this hand, but it had nothing to do with him sucking?
  • they knew that he'd call a raise w/88 OTB (obv.) but he'd also call a solid reraise from you?
  • they knew he'd shove over your turn bet even though an overcard came out?

so if that's the case, somehow the software detected the villain's play on the turn and deck adjustments were made on the fly to give him an 8 on the river?

why didn't they just let him river a set after he lost his ninth buy-in? why did he have to lose ten? how would that be better for business than say, five or twelve?

help me out with these, would ya?
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Old 04-07-2009, 11:41 AM   #1692
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

It would be fun to see the end product, though less fun to actually bother making it. Maybe that guy who just wrote the 5,000 word post that no one will read can do it. A pretty graph would be at last looked at more...
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:04 PM   #1693
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

maybe i'm missing something but this seems like a pretty big leap.
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:10 PM   #1694
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

I haven't played a huge sample size on cake, probably about 25k hands or so. I agree that the players there often play non-standard and take really weird lines(like check/call check/call pot). That doesn't mean that they are all losing players, it is just something you adjust to. However, from my results these players lose a ton of $. So I think it is likely that what you are going through is variance and a (possible) failure to adjust to non-standard lines.
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:12 PM   #1695
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Re: OT: cake poker rigged? (tl;dr)

I have a friend who is a winner over 1,000,000 hands on stars and he got transfered some $ to cake and had KILLED the games from 1/2 up. He said it was the worst players he had ever seen and ran his BR up in a few days.

Maybe its the boom/doom switch effect.
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:20 PM   #1696
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

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Originally Posted by lenasrokas View Post

Grab popcorn, folks! This one is going to be long!

I think your poker room is missing one part, put out there a hand or two once in a while that would put players on tilt and even if they are playing a solid game make them lose money. Also alow a group of players use easy programable poker bots (Shanky Technologies). Actually, their forum has 1486 registered users. Only way to register into that forum is by purchasing a poker bot. The bots have premade scripts, witch u can also buy there for sngs, turbo sngs, Kill bil MTTs book, sklanksys books, limit no limit holdem, chiss moneymakers sng strategy and many others -.-. Buy a life .. I think i am done with online poker, i was wondering all the time why a guy keeps calling my checkraises with gutshots ?? And he won 2 hands out of me by hiting 1 of his outs (To a pair both times). Just was making no sense. A guy with 68/27/8 stats kicked my ass like i was somekind of noob in 2 hands. I checked his statistics, and he has only 9 tournamens played and his higest cash is bigger than mine in 700mtts ? Now why is that ? Is becouse he has more skill than me or what ?.


Just an example of a last hand in that particular mtt :

He minraised UTG. I was mp2 with J10h i called his raise. my M was around 20, and his around 80. 100 players left in the MTT. bb decides to call as well. Flop 5h9h4s. BB checks, he bets 2 bb into quite big pot, so i decide that he has **** like he always does, and my J10 with flush draw was the best hand. So i rase to 12bb. BB folds, and a ****** calls. Turn, 8d - I think at that point what a good card, now i have opended, flush draw, and 2 overcards. He checks, and i shove my last 5K or so. He instaaaa calls. Now, who can tell me what did he had ?



68c, nice hand sir. Very well played, river 2s and i am ****ing out. Now, once again me by playing a solid game, havnt got any major wining on that particular poker room in over 700 games. And some kind of ******, plays 9 games there and takes 4th place in a tournament without having a ****ing clue of what he is doing (over 600 people MTT).
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:23 PM   #1697
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

so did that guy end up cashing? 'cause it wouldn't make any sense to have him take out a good player like yourself and not make the money...
Quote:
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68c, nice hand sir. Very well played, river 2s and i am ****ing out. Now, once again me by playing a solid game,
maybe you should've reraised pre-flop?

pro tip: there's a difference between playing "solid" and "gay."
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:25 PM   #1698
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

Quote:
Originally Posted by Username^^ View Post
I think your poker room is missing one part, put out there a hand or two once in a while that would put players on tilt and even if they are playing a solid game make them lose money. Also alow a group of players use easy programable poker bots (Shanky Technologies). Actually, their forum has 1486 registered users. Only way to register into that forum is by purchasing a poker bot. The bots have premade scripts, witch u can also buy there for sngs, turbo sngs, Kill bil MTTs book, sklanksys books, limit no limit holdem, chiss moneymakers sng strategy and many others -.-. Buy a life .. I think i am done with online poker, i was wondering all the time why a guy keeps calling my checkraises with gutshots ?? And he won 2 hands out of me by hiting 1 of his outs (To a pair both times). Just was making no sense. A guy with 68/27/8 stats kicked my ass like i was somekind of noob in 2 hands. I checked his statistics, and he has only 9 tournamens played and his higest cash is bigger than mine in 700mtts ? Now why is that ? Is becouse he has more skill than me or what ?.


Just an example of a last hand in that particular mtt :

He minraised UTG. I was mp2 with J10h i called his raise. my M was around 20, and his around 80. 100 players left in the MTT. bb decides to call as well. Flop 5h9h4s. BB checks, he bets 2 bb into quite big pot, so i decide that he has **** like he always does, and my J10 with flush draw was the best hand. So i rase to 12bb. BB folds, and a ****** calls. Turn, 8d - I think at that point what a good card, now i have opended, flush draw, and 2 overcards. He checks, and i shove my last 5K or so. He instaaaa calls. Now, who can tell me what did he had ?



68c, nice hand sir. Very well played, river 2s and i am ****ing out. Now, once again me by playing a solid game, havnt got any major wining on that particular poker room in over 700 games. And some kind of ******, plays 9 games there and takes 4th place in a tournament without having a ****ing clue of what he is doing (over 600 people MTT).

I swore I'd never do this but:

wat?
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Old 04-07-2009, 12:57 PM   #1699
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

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so did that guy end up cashing? 'cause it wouldn't make any sense to have him take out a good player like yourself and not make the money...

maybe you should've reraised pre-flop?

pro tip: there's a difference between playing "solid" and "gay."

OK, i was checkraising him from a bb, becouse he was constanly raising my blind but he called with 78os i had K10, flop camed Q65 i made a cbet he called, turn 7 i puted him all in and he also called. and i lost. That was 1st suckout. And about 37 hands later i played J10 with him. Dont tell me about gay and solid **** coz i know what i am doing, and i know that hes not folding any 2 cards preflop (atleast i go all in ofcourse, but i dont feel like all in monkey.)
And about bots, its 100% real, and they are constatnly playing online on poker rooms like full tilt and poker stars. I am not inventing anything. I would post a link to a site, so you could check by your own but i guess its against the forum rules. Anyway, google ********* and check the forum.
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Old 04-07-2009, 01:02 PM   #1700
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Re: The great "Poker is rigged debate" - Collected threads edition

EDIT in too late
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