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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,502 34.89%
No
5,607 55.86%
Undecided
929 9.25%

02-15-2010 , 09:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qpw
It really is amusing to imagine that Sn8keChaRmer is a gimmick account set up by one of the poker sites to discredit rigtards.
^
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 09:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
Sigh.

You go from reasonable posts to this crap again.
Come on BoBo what am I suppose to think when you have like 8 accounts on here that all kiss eachothers butts lol and then turn around and flame other people. I mean his post was like being typed from his knees. I mean it just looks like some employees who ban together everyday to put down any claims of wrong doing. We might have a few guys from FTP, a few guys from Stars, and few guys from other sites. I mean its no secret they monitor this forum so why wouldnt they post in here? Josem does it on a regular basis. Why wouldnt ftp guys in here doing the same thing? I mean it just looks obvious. Players have no reason to be in here day after day (the same people) defending the sites. Theres no motive to pursue it so passionatly. This is just common sense.

And I hate to burst your bubble. But just cuz you're a mod doesnt make you the god of whats reasonable and whats crap. out of everything I admit to Ive never seen you admit to any of your faults (the negative way in which you post constantly). And Im not the only one that thinks that lol. Come on. Lets proceed without extreme hypocracy from now on. Just try it out
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 09:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
Come on BoBo what am I suppose to think when you have like 8 accounts on here that all kiss eachothers butts lol and then turn around and flame other people. I mean his post was like being typed from his knees. I mean it just looks like some employees who ban together everyday to put down any claims of wrong doing. We might have a few guys from FTP, a few guys from Stars, and few guys from other sites. I mean its no secret they monitor this forum so why wouldnt they post in here? Josem does it on a regular basis. Why wouldnt ftp guys in here doing the same thing? I mean it just looks obvious. Players have no reason to be in here day after day (the same people) defending the sites. Theres no motive to pursue it so passionatly. This is just common sense.

And I hate to burst your bubble. But just cuz you're a mod doesnt make you the god of whats reasonable and whats crap. out of everything I admit to Ive never seen you admit to any of your faults (the negative way in which you post constantly). And Im not the only one that thinks that lol. Come on. Lets proceed without extreme hypocracy from now on. Just try it out
And what's your motive for being in here day after day slandering the sites?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
Come on BoBo what am I suppose to think when you have like 8 accounts on here that all kiss eachothers butts lol and then turn around and flame other people. I mean his post was like being typed from his knees. I mean it just looks like some employees who ban together everyday to put down any claims of wrong doing. We might have a few guys from FTP, a few guys from Stars, and few guys from other sites. I mean its no secret they monitor this forum so why wouldnt they post in here? Josem does it on a regular basis. Why wouldnt ftp guys in here doing the same thing? I mean it just looks obvious. Players have no reason to be in here day after day (the same people) defending the sites. Theres no motive to pursue it so passionatly. This is just common sense.
There seem to be three types of people here:

1) Riggies and rigtards
2) Riggie debunkers
3) Observers

However, (1) and (2) are not two sides of the same coin.

By and large the members of group 1 (there are certainly exceptions) tend to post ill thought out and illogical rhetoric that is not supported by any evidence. When their assertions are debunked they respond by either ignoring the rational argument supplied or making absurd claims (as usual, not backed up with any evidence ), that the debunkers are employed by the poker sites.

On the other hand, members of (2) tend to post well thought out responses to even the most absurd theories propounded by members of group (1).
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by batair
It pretty clear and others have pointed it out. Almost no one is saying with certainty poker is not rigged. They just dont like people who say it is without proof.
that is due to the fact that no software on the market can provide it.
if you haven't notice, they hate it even more when people asking for such software.
especially request coming from winning rigtard with large database.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by signuptoday
that is due to the fact that no software on the market can provide it.
if you haven't notice, they hate it even more when people asking for such software.
especially request coming from winning rigtard with large database.
Do you have any evidence that people 'hate it even more when people asking for such software'?

It seems a standard 'tard '"I'll say anything irrespective of its veracity" response.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by qpw
Do you have any evidence that people 'hate it even more when people asking for such software'?

It seems a standard 'tard '"I'll say anything irrespective of its veracity" response.
search
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wiki
There seem to be three types of people here:

1) Riggies and rigtards
2) Riggie debunkers
3) Observers

However, (1) and (2) are not two sides of the same coin.


On the other hand, members of (2) tend to post well thought out responses to even the most absurd theories propounded by members of group (1).
Now this is funny. Maybe the funniest post so far
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
And is it possible to get handle on Mitch who has now posted the same post 7 times. Really its like 7 times.

To Mitch lol. As I stated before Im willing to make videos if Stars is willing to have a pro do the critisizing. If they can show in some of these games at the lower limits how I could be doing things differently and it not being the fact that its due to massive amounts of draw outs then I will post the video with theire commentary on 2+2 and admit that its my fault.

I dont see any of their pros finding this evidence nor do I see them taking me up on this offer. I do not wish to offer up free videos of my game to people like you who probably dont even understand much about the game and just will be looking to tear me down in anyway you can.
I posted it 7 (if it was actually 7) times, but only because you offered and then simply never followed through. Did you read my post about being stuck like 700 big bets, yet still being up 10,000 big bets in 675K hands? Trust me - I can point out your leaks, and if you play limit poker I could get you to crush these low limits. (Well... maybe not because I don't think you have the mental capacity to understand the EV behind the plays). That's fine; you actually make a good point... why should I give you a free lesson? Keep the fish, fish. Good day, sir.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 10:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
I'm just ****ted off that I fell for the "i want to have a substantive discussion about this particular point (the video)" trick, I spent the time to look at every single hand, comprehensively analysed every single hand, even did the pot equity calcs, and none of the riggies even comment on it that I saw.
I thought it was a nice analysis, but I am surprised you think exposing a riggie as a standard microstakes marginal player who fails to understand variance would change anything.

I respect what you and Arouet post, but frankly both of you are totally insane with how you handle some of these riggies when you try to take them even partially seriously.



Riggies come in a variety of flavors, and I will use some Dog Whisperer language to help identify them:

1) Snake/gimmick guy - Red zone case. A standard extremely angry guy who is not too bright. He thrives by getting attention and that is it. Nothing he will say will make much sense in a logical way, he is all emotion.

Talking to that variety of riggie is a total waste of time as you are never having a discussion, he is just looking for someone to yell at. Best to just ignore him, even a big ol TSST will not help snap him out of it.


2) Banonlineguy - Dog with an obsessive behavior issue. In this case a standard xenophobe. Not as generally angry as the snake type, but still fairly angry that he cannot beat the low stakes. He makes it more of a single cause - in this case that it is evil non - Americans.

This guy is similar to that Mears guy - single issue focus, blind to everything else and will take anything someone says out of context to fit his agenda. Look at how he partially quotes people to do just that.

Talking to that variety of riggie is also a waste of time, but not as frustrating since he will not jump all over you like an attention starved dog like the first kind of riggie as he is just too focussed on his singular issue - in this case not trusting anything but Americans.



3) Xev guy - more of a nervous, submissive dog. He likes playing and wants to be good, and maybe with work he can be a decent player, but after a bit of a bad run he starts wondering if maybe he is now a target of evil forces. After all, these other doggies are barking about how rigged it is and they bark loudly so maybe there is something to it. He is not sure, so he will ask questions in a nice way. Then more questions. Then more questions. Then more questions.

Talking to this riggie is a matter of choice. Once in a while like Donko they can be TSSTed into at least trying to approach the game in a more calm, rational way, but realistically the odds are that this is a person that is sliding deeper and deeper into the land of riggiedom.

Speaking to this type of riggie will take a lot of time and energy and will be a bit frustrating, but it will at least feel better than wasting time with the first two types.


I hope the "shills" in this thread will re-evaluate how they look at and respond to the different types of riggies in the future. If so, then i am glad this analysis helped in some small way.

All the best.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 11:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mitch Evans
I posted it 7 (if it was actually 7) times, but only because you offered and then simply never followed through. Did you read my post about being stuck like 700 big bets, yet still being up 10,000 big bets in 675K hands? Trust me - I can point out your leaks, and if you play limit poker I could get you to crush these low limits. (Well... maybe not because I don't think you have the mental capacity to understand the EV behind the plays). That's fine; you actually make a good point... why should I give you a free lesson? Keep the fish, fish. Good day, sir.
screen names or ur not crushing anything
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 11:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
screen names or ur not crushing anything
I very much doubt that he cares about what you believe.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 11:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
Riggies come in a variety of flavors, and I will use some Dog Whisperer language to help identify them:

1) Snake/gimmick guy - Red zone case. A standard extremely angry guy who is not too bright. He thrives by getting attention and that is it. Nothing he will say will make much sense in a logical way, he is all emotion.

Talking to that variety of riggie is a total waste of time as you are never having a discussion, he is just looking for someone to yell at. Best to just ignore him, even a big ol TSST will not help snap him out of it.


2) Banonlineguy - Dog with an obsessive behavior issue. In this case a standard xenophobe. Not as generally angry as the snake type, but still fairly angry that he cannot beat the low stakes. He makes it more of a single cause - in this case that it is evil non - Americans.

This guy is similar to that Mears guy - single issue focus, blind to everything else and will take anything someone says out of context to fit his agenda. Look at how he partially quotes people to do just that.

Talking to that variety of riggie is also a waste of time, but not as frustrating since he will not jump all over you like an attention starved dog like the first kind of riggie as he is just too focussed on his singular issue - in this case not trusting anything but Americans.



3) Xev guy - more of a nervous, submissive dog. He likes playing and wants to be good, and maybe with work he can be a decent player, but after a bit of a bad run he starts wondering if maybe he is now a target of evil forces. After all, these other doggies are barking about how rigged it is and they bark loudly so maybe there is something to it. He is not sure, so he will ask questions in a nice way. Then more questions. Then more questions. Then more questions.

Talking to this riggie is a matter of choice. Once in a while like Donko they can be TSSTed into at least trying to approach the game in a more calm, rational way, but realistically the odds are that this is a person that is sliding deeper and deeper into the land of riggiedom.

Speaking to this type of riggie will take a lot of time and energy and will be a bit frustrating, but it will at least feel better than wasting time with the first two types.
I think we need a player-type system, similar to the passive-aggressive/tight-loose (PATL) system for poker players. We could create a riggie quadrant with something like

logical <<<-->>> psychotic on one scale for their reasoning ability.
and
paranoid <<<-->>>stoic on the other scale for their degree of irrational fear that it's rigged.

So the archetypes would be
logical-stoic (LS) - he thinks it's probably rigged and actually puts forth an argument, but also doesn't worry about it and knows good play still wins and he works on his game. TwoMoos ?

logical-paranoid (LP) - he understands math and non-rigged arguments but just can't get over his feeling that the bad beats are just wrong and believes that dishonesty is inevitable with big business and lots of money.

psychotic-paranoid (PP) - snake. Nuff said.

psychotic-stoic (PS) - Meares/R4R. Makes ridiculous conspiracy arguments with pattern/timing theories and undetectable rigging, and writes long theories about how you have to play to beat the system.

Feel free to refine this, this is just a quick outline of an idea. Gotta head off to work.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
Now this is funny. Maybe the funniest post so far
Funny how he seemed to nail it, yes.

Of course, I'm sure you are deluding yourself into believing that your debating with others here is a match of equals.

Nothing could be further from the truth.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Josem
But that's a false assumption that anyone can verify by putting the hand history numbers into the PokerStars client. Why would we work on demonstrably false assumptions? See below for the details.



Well, any consideration of "beats" needs to take into account how many hands were played.

I've just looked at the first video at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXMUPjhTQSk

I've marked my comments by the timeline of the video:

0:00 - 0:32
-Hand #38611290873
-This hand was played on 2010/01/23 at 14:39:21 ET (as anyone can check from the HH number)
-The JJ is a 55% favourite to win*. This is like 22 v AK. Losing what is almost a coinflip isn't really much of a beat.
-It's in a $1.20 tournament.

0:33 - 2:31
-Hand #38617390911
-Played at 2010/01/23 16:36:17 ET
-QQ is a 72% favourite to win. The chances of losing that hand is slightly smaller than rolling a six-sided die, and getting a five or a six.
-It's in a $2.20 tournament
-I note that during this hand, he gets dealt JJ and shoves allin. Presumably it wasn't a beat?

2:32 - 3:11
-Hand #38673156961
-Played at 2010/01/24 17:26:41 ET
-On the flop, A5 is a 71% favourite. On the turn, this has dropped to being only a 68% favourite
-He puts the vast majority of his money in on the river with the worst hand, when every conceivable draw has hit: both the flushes and straight draws.
-It's a $2.75 tournament

3:12 - 3:47
-Hand #38635825284
-Played at 2010/01/24 0:24:13 ET
-QQ is a 55% favourite.
-Losing coinflips is not a "beat" imo.
-It's a $1.20 tournament

3:48 - 4:15
Something about OPR; not a hand.

4:16 - 6:00
-Hand #38687598744
-Played at 2010/01/24 23:47:50 ET
-Of the players who called the flop bet (including michf50), AK would win 65% of the time.
-If he's concerned about getting outdrawn by bad players, why would he limp preflop? That maximises the opportunity to do so.
-After the turn bets, AK would win around 88% of the time (ie, excluding michf50).
-He puts in the vast majority of his stack (around 920 chips) when he has the worst hand. People who put their money in behind shouldn't complain about bad beats, imo.

6:01 - 7.32
-Hand #38692076399
-Played at 2010/01/25 3:44:05 ET
-He's raises all-in to 7 big blinds; it seems entirely predictable for him to be called by a weak hand
-He's a 61% favourite. I guess that's slightly better than a coinflip, but 3:2 is not a huge edge
-A $4.40 tournament

7.33 - 8:17
-Hand #38797019069
-Played at 2010/01/27 5:41:58 ET
-A $4.40 tournament
-Pre-flop, in the three way spot, he's a 37% favourite
-After the flop betting he has a 8% chance of winning the hand
-After the turn betting he has a 5% chance of winning the hand
-It's not a "bad beat" if he's the underdog

8:18 -
-Hand #38895710328
-Played at 2010/01/29 3:48:02 ET
-A $3.40 tournament
-After the preflop betting, he is a 66% favourite
-After the flop betting, is a 84% favourite.
-His chances of losing from here are almost precisely the same chance as rolling a six-sided die, and getting a six.
-After the turn betting, he is a only a 77% chance to win the whole pot.
-Thus, 1 out of 4 times, he won't win the whole pot.
-In the commentary, he mistakenly says that a Ten will split the pot.


Also, on the issue of buy-in, it seems to me to be entirely natural for small stakes games to have weak players in them - and what do weak players do a lot? They put their money in behind. So, if you have lots of situations where players put their money in behind, there are lots more opportunities to outdraw the leading player.

So, we have 8 hands in that video. Of those 8 hands:
-Two of them were coinflips
-One he was just better than a coinflip
-Two genuine "bad beats"
-Two where he puts his money all-in behind
-One email where he was actually an underdog to win

I'd suggest that before he tries to blame external factors that he should take a good hard look at himself and his own play here.

*All pot odds calculations courtesy of www.pokervillain.com
I have not posted a response sooner since I was wining and dining my wife enjoying the fruits of a good marriage on Valentines day. I am going to review every point you made right now and try to understand what you are saying.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
Now this is funny. Maybe the funniest post so far
And yet with regard to my serious response to you?

:crickets:


Monty, Spade: you are no doubt correct, but I do like a challenge. And you know I don't get this involved in every case, but every so often I do like to do this. It worked with Donko. I honestly doubt that it will work with this guy (as he seems to have no intention of responding to me, despite his statements otherwise, soon it will be) but there's those 7 guys who pmd him about how thankful they are to see him standing up for their interests. I hope they see that he's not, nor does he appear to have any intention of it. Otherwise, why would he even bother replying to the noise posts? He has no real interest, but others' do.

His attacks on Josem, who was instrumental in bringing down UB/AP, are inconceivable as he should be asking Josem for advice rather than dismissing outright anything he says (also J I also appreciate the analysis you did- I tried to key in a tournament number but I couldn't fit all the numbers in)

Anyhow, I'm winding down with him, unless he actually answers one of my posts.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:09 PM
Bobo Fett,

For most of the over the top posts that should result in a message board moderator warning, there seems to be someone or a few people pouring gas onto the fire creating the scenario.

I suggest calling out the other players in this dynamic that are not promoting a positive message board atmosphere.

Thanks.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xevoius
Bobo Fett,

For most of the over the top posts that should result in a message board moderator warning, there seems to be someone or a few people pouring gas onto the fire creating the scenario.

I suggest calling out the other players in this dynamic that are not promoting a positive message board atmosphere.
Wat?
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
screen names or ur not crushing anything
You should be able to figure out my win rate from my post, but I'll warn you ahead of time - it will take some basic math skills learned in grade 3.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:21 PM
Yes, I would like +infraction points for all my positive posts.

Why does asking for security in online poker, mean somebody is stupid/dellusional?
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sn8keChaRmer
Making accusations against people who conduct themselves behind closed doors is completely justified.
No its not.

If i think someone stole from me but they wont let me or the cops in their house to look for my stuff without a warrant and probable cause. But i go around anyway saying they are crooks, im wrong for doing so.


Quote:
If they feel this is disrespectful then they should open up their doors for examination of their inner workings.
They already have you just dont like the way in which they do it.


Quote:
I think looking out for the feelings of a multi million/billion? dollar company is bad practice.
Yes its wrong to damage the reputation of a multi billion dollar company without evidence of your accusations.

Quote:
Aslong as they are making that kind of money then scrutiny comes with the territory. Its the only way to keep comapines honest. If we dont challenge companies in these positions then they are free to do whatever they want.
You're are not challenging anything with your theory. It takes proof to do that.


If you want to say online poker needs better regs, ok. If you want to say without better regs you wouldn't trust them, ok. If you want to say you think they are cheating, get some evidence first.

Last edited by batair; 02-15-2010 at 12:56 PM.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
I thought it was a nice analysis, but I am surprised you think exposing a riggie as a standard microstakes marginal player who fails to understand variance would change anything.

Insert usual conceited drivel here

All the best.
And how would you fare if your contributions were analysed? Just because you agree with the popular conceptions in this thread it doesn't make you comparable to the people putting forward intelligent responses. That last response of yours makes you look even sadder than you already did, if that was possible, because it shows that you have an obsession with being regarded as "intelligent and funny" by people who care not one jot about you personally.

A lot of people go through a period in their poker career where they begin to question the randomness of the games they are playing, it is nothing to be ashamed of. People like Josem and Spadebidder do a great service in providing actual data that refutes the allegation of internal tampering with the rng, but they also back up what they say with a bit of empathy for the person asking the questions.

People should be able to post in this thread without having to deal with the constant insults and distractions that you contribute.

You are called a "shill" (not an insult by the way) because you act like one. Why would you even care how other people deal with the "rigtards" enough to make that last post about it??
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tk1133
Why does asking for security in online poker, mean somebody is stupid/dellusional?
It's stupid asking for something when it already exists.

It's stupid asking for more of something when there is no evidence that the current amount is inadequate.

It's stupid asking again and again and again and again in a place that has no power to grant your request.


Hope that helped.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riff Raff
People should be able to post in this thread without having to deal with the constant insults and distractions that you contribute.
People can post here without being insulted.

The insults are reserved for those who repeatedly:

a. Make libelous statements against poker sites without evidence.
b. Make libelous statements against other posters without evidence.
c. Ignore carefully constructed answers to their concerns or answer them with more instances of a & b above.



And PLEASE: no riff-raff in this thread.
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote
02-15-2010 , 12:47 PM
riff raff, I don't read this thread much but I do know there is an ignore feature. You could use that if you want.

I do, and I'm sure there are some that ignore me One day it'll just be one big silent board!

Last edited by Nofx Fan; 02-15-2010 at 12:48 PM. Reason: Oh ****, unsubscribe
The great &quot;Poker is rigged&quot; debate - Collected threads edition Quote

      
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