Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
I backed a sports betting arbitrage group long ago, and it was genuinely crazy to see the setup they had and what they had to do in terms of wagering and moving money around. I also knew first hand the bankroll needed to do it properly. Hint, it was not the same as the 10NL games you failed at.
The method you use is literally called the newbie method. Lots did exactly what you are doing (they used Pinnacle as their odds base for sports betting), and some had some minor success when paired with bonuses (though online sports books were notorious for banning people fast). I figured it would not be hard to get you to explain your strategy, and I also knew it would be about the level you presented. Hey, at least you are not doing martingaling, so there is that. Congrats on uncovering an online strategy used by casuals for over 15 years!
Good luck with your pretend successes in the future.
All the best.
I never claimed it was a highly complex strategy. I actually said earlier in this thread that the edge with horse betting was massive, and it was
much easier than poker. Quite frankly, I care nothing for whether something is complex or not, so long as it works. Yes, it's much harder to beat 10nl than it is to win on horses, but given I'm the one raking in the money while the 10nl guy is sitting there with his solvers and his coaching group just to make the equivilant wage of a McDonalds worker in East Europe, I'll take my 'simple' approach any day of the week.
Now why don't you have a google for 'betfair' and also while you're at it, look up 'efficient market hypothesis'. Betfair closing prices are very accurate - within 1% of the true odds of an event happening over a large sample, so if you're consistently beating betfair prices, you
will win in the end.
Now compare that simple strategy than anyone can learn to print money in about an hour, with the level of work it'd take to make decent money at poker. It's not remotely comparable, it's clear horse racing is by far the winner in, and my future is pretty bright, while yours involves the dole queue.