An interesting hand took place in an Omaha DoN today that really showed how a cycle of rigged beliefs can be formed that eventually create completely bad (in terms of EV) habits that eventually re-enforce those very beliefs.
After the hand a couple players laughed at it wondering how it did not go all in on the flop (note, my flop bet was a mis-click in a way as I moved the slider over for what I thought was a full pot bet but somehow only moved it to 120, but really the bet size was unimportant for this issue).
The opponent explained that he knows the boards will pair too much on Stars so he has learned to play it slow until he knows his hand is good.
Thus, he gave up a huge +EV freeroll opportunity and even if he actually hit his flush (or even a boat on the river) he would have not extracted any real value from it as a result.
It's spots like this which is why some players lose, or win a lot less, then they should and it adds up (though in this hand it would still be a chop).
After the hand he was totally convinced he played it correctly because the board did pair after all. He will continue to repeat the behavior and it is one of the many reasons why his general results are shall we say not great.
In his mind though it was never his fault, he did the right thing by playing with the software's behavior as a key factor.
Ignore his weird tiny river bet, he tends to play kind of backwards.
Poker Stars $10.00+$0.40 Pot Limit Omaha Hi Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 10 players
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2+2 Hand Converter
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SB: t1185 M = 26.33
BB: t1535 M = 34.11
UTG: t1350 M = 30
UTG+1: t1810 M = 40.22
UTG+2: t1470 M = 32.67
MP1: t1780 M = 39.56
MP2: t1270 M = 28.22
MP3: t1450 M = 32.22
CO: t1585 M = 35.22
Hero (BTN): t1565 M = 34.78
Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is BTN with K
T
9
J
4 folds, MP2 calls t30,
2 folds,
Hero raises to t135,
2 folds, MP2 calls t105
Flop: (t315) A
T
Q
(2 players)
MP2 checks,
Hero bets t120, MP2 calls t120
Turn: (t555) Q
(2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero checks
River: (t555) 4
(2 players)
MP2 bets t60, Hero calls t60
Final Pot: t675
MP2 shows J
K
5
K
(a straight, Ten to Ace)
Hero shows K
T
9
J
(a straight, Ten to Ace)
MP2 wins t338
Hero wins t337
Also in a single NL tournament today these hands took place. What happened in hand 1 happens to me about once a year and it nearly happened twice in the same sit and go.
With the same hands.
To top it off, the final hand of the same tournament had me beating the same hand again (in terms of rank).
Weird stuff like this happens all the time, so it is funny when in contrast we see single 2-1 type hands or 2 outers posted as "proof." Those happen every few minutes if you play enough tables (as they should).
Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t75/t150 Blinds - 5 players
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2+2 Hand Converter
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UTG: t2600 M = 11.56
CO: t2005 M = 8.91
BTN: t4200 M = 18.67
Hero (SB): t1000 M = 4.44
BB: t3695 M = 16.42
Pre Flop: (t225) Hero is SB with T
A
2 folds, BTN calls t150,
Hero raises to t1000 all in,
1 fold, BTN calls t850
Flop: (t2150) 8
2
4
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t2150) 9
(2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t2150) 5
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t2150
BTN shows A
T
(high card Ace)
Hero shows T
A
(a flush, Ace high)
Hero wins t2150
Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100/t200 Blinds + t25 - 3 players
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2+2 Hand Converter
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SB: t3525 M = 9.40
Hero (BB): t2700 M = 7.20
BTN: t7275 M = 19.40
Pre Flop: (t375) Hero is BB with A
T
1 fold,
SB raises to t600,
Hero raises to t2675 all in, SB calls t2075
Flop: (t5425) 3
2
5
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t5425) 7
(2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t5425) K
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t5425
SB shows A
T
(high card Ace)
Hero shows A
T
(high card Ace)
SB wins t2713
Hero wins t2712
Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t25 - 2 players
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2+2 Hand Converter
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BTN/SB: t3601 M = 5.54
Hero (BB): t9899 M = 15.23
Pre Flop: (t650) Hero is BB with K
3
BTN/SB raises to t3576 all in, Hero calls t3176
Flop: (t7202) 2
3
Q
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Turn: (t7202) 7
(2 players - 1 is all in)
River: (t7202) 3
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: t7202
BTN/SB shows T
A
(a pair of Threes)
Hero shows K
3
(three of a kind, Threes)
Hero wins t7202