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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,508 34.88%
No
5,615 55.84%
Undecided
933 9.28%

06-04-2015 , 07:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Possible, sure. The prevailing wind has been though that it would be technically demanding, requiring highly sophisticated algorithms or constant monitoring.



My point is that in truth, it's incredibly easy for sites to use card-removal to alter the odds yet still offer a "random" game that would pass inspection. This is not a given fact for many, including yourself perhaps.



There is true beauty in the power of this simple concept to surreptitiously rule any way you see fit.

Even IF hand histories are amalgamated or thoroughly audited, the picture will look entirely normal over the macro scale, e.g. AA vs AK. If some players win at exceptionally high rates with both AA and AK, while others rarely win with either, the big picture is entirely within expectations. It's trivial to make daily adjustments and produce a graduated scale of pre-selection that optimizes revenue and passes inspection.

A huge point of denial for some is the risk involved in such a process. It's virtually nil.

I could set you up all day long for years, 3 standard deviations from the mean. Your results would prove precisely nothing other than showing you lie within the verified 99.7% of aggregate expectations. Only an insider or hacker, or regulator with real-time source code access and metadata, could prove such a rig exists to the benefit or detriment of individual players.



NO, but I will tell you it is a fact under one special circumstance ...... when the people are looking for things that the machines are not. If this special circumstance did not exist, human analysis would be obsolete.



I must ask:- Do you believe this post is intrinsically truthful? If not, why not?
Believe is irrelevant, since your posts look like an ad for the movie "rigturds from bizarro-world"
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 08:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed

My point is that in truth, it's incredibly easy for sites to use card-removal to alter the odds yet still offer a "random" game that would pass inspection. This is not a given fact for many, including yourself perhaps.



There is true beauty in the power of this simple concept to surreptitiously rule any way you see fit.

Even IF hand histories are amalgamated or thoroughly audited, the picture will look entirely normal over the macro scale, e.g. AA vs AK. If some players win at exceptionally high rates with both AA and AK, while others rarely win with either, the big picture is entirely within expectations. It's trivial to make daily adjustments and produce a graduated scale of pre-selection that optimizes revenue and passes inspection.

A huge point of denial for some is the risk involved in such a process. It's virtually nil.

I could set you up all day long for years, 3 standard deviations from the mean. Your results would prove precisely nothing other than showing you lie within the verified 99.7% of aggregate expectations. Only an insider or hacker, or regulator with real-time source code access and metadata, could prove such a rig exists to the benefit or detriment of individual players.



NO, but I will tell you it is a fact under one special circumstance ...... when the people are looking for things that the machines are not. If this special circumstance did not exist, human analysis would be obsolete.
One of the best and most accurate posts in a long time.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rig Astley
Believe is irrelevant, since your posts look like an ad for the movie "rigturds from bizarro-world"
Confirmation above. When this "shill"/moron has something bad to say about it, you KNOW its right!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 08:19 AM
Confirmation above:

Poker can turn you into a raging madman.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 04:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewOldGuy
No you can't, and this is but one of the big fallacies in your post. As the sample gets bigger, a constant rig of any kind will become statistically greater and greater as measured in standard deviations. To stay under some threshold of suspicion you have to continually decrease the frequency of the rig until eventually it becomes insignificant.
I see you didn't actually read my previous posts or else didn't understand them.

Quote:
You have other huge flaws in your reasoning too. Such as thinking an "amalgamated" average of anything is the way to test for randomness. Tests for randomness look at the entire sequence.
I'm beginning to doubt you guys even work for the card rooms, given your stated knowledge. Where do such assertions come from, your morning bowel movements?

Quote:
Don't lecture condescendingly about things you don't know much about.
I have more than passable knowledge of statistics sir. It's become apparent I also know significantly more than you do about the validation processes and "independent" internal audits the major card rooms carry out.

Under both SPVs, the micro scale is not considered. It's much too inconvenient to include the extra X million player variables in any analysis. As a genius you already knew that simultaneously considering more than around 8 dynamic variables will cause most standard statistical models to break down.

You also know there are minimum thresholds for 99% confidence intervals, probability distributions and standard deviations. If one were to take my AA vs AK example, I personally would require around 4000 replica scenarios to reach the level of clarity I am seeking. From a macro perspective, there may be 4000 such matchups per day (or whatever period) over an entire site. When independent audits take place, it is these macro factors which provide the benchmark. This would be entirely reasonable in most cases but not when applied to poker, when individual actors can have disproportionate and statistically significant impacts on independent variables (e.g. the prize pools).

SO, no analysis has ever been carried out for singular players vs the field on a macro scale. I must talk to your boss more than you do because he told me his staff don't even have access to the analytical tools required to carry out such a task. All they can do is analyze samples based on seriously restricted variables, such as a very limited analysis of holdem cash games. PokerTracker, HoldemManager etc produce reports many times more detailed than staff ever could, according to the staff themselves. There is zero or even less analysis available for stud and TD, other than ad-hoc by the most senior staff, who also carry out all other sensitive analyses.

Regulators verified the source code and the RNG of card rooms, off-line, according to macro analyses. If you consider the sources of entropy for e.g. stars RNG, the laws that make the photon reflection thing certifiable can only be observed on a macro scale, same for player entropy. Groups of micro observations are entirely meaningless without the macro context.

Thus individual players, even those with extensive histories, aren't really relevant. It would take a minimum of 10 million hands to get a base-line from a single player. This doesn't explain, however, the paltry studies referenced by the poker sites themselves, as 150K hands is apparently plenty for them to declare, "everything is random here". Then again, perhaps they can't find any larger random samples

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo_Boy
You made a claim that they remove a Q from the deck when you have QQ vs AK
Which one are you again, Aramis or Porthos?

Musketeers obviously aren't big on proof reading. No such claims were made
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 04:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
I see you didn't actually read my previous posts or else didn't understand them.



I'm beginning to doubt you guys even work for the card rooms, given your stated knowledge. Where do such assertions come from, your morning bowel movements?



I have more than passable knowledge of statistics sir. It's become apparent I also know significantly more than you do about the validation processes and "independent" internal audits the major card rooms carry out.

and the rest of his postfrom above i left out to conserve eye strain /room

very well put. stupid shills. maybe the poker sites should pay for these shills to go back to school so they can at least pretend better to know what they are talking about.

the more these shills deny deny deny the more they get caught up in their own web of lies and logic

in advance maybe i should just call myself right now a "******, rigtard, bad player, lunatic, crazy, stupid, poor, uneducated, pathetic" or one of so many other predictable insults. feel better? wheww i do- its so much more insulting to me when i call myself names than when strangers who r paid to bully me do

to anybody who might not believe such shills are paid by the poker sites to refute any claim of rigged to calm down any potential panic... shills being paid users with thousands + posts on here who continually post mostly insults and arguments related to a few small select topics- (rigged in some way) why would somebody who has so much intelligience to clearly and repeatedly claim its not rigged spend so much time obsessing over this thread and similar claims so often usually on a daily basis? whats their motivation? they obviously have experience showing them online poker isnt rigged so shouldnt they be using that time to win lots of money since they are apparantly good players and chalk up strangers saying its rigged to being bad players.

maybe these shills havent played enough online with their own money to have any bad experiences whatsoever? if they are allowed to do so. hell who knows they might even be babysat with an unknown lucky bonus unbeknownst to them which makes them feel so good like they are the best mack daddy poker players online and gives them an experience of it doesnt matter if its rigged or not because im winning enough money not to care or pay attention.

the people who r so passionate about posting and debating that poker online is rigged in some way have far more believable motivation to keep at it then those same old paid shills w thousands of posts do. (aside from their paychecks) the riggies r the ones who've experienced something so out of the ordinary that was enough to drive a passion for them to try to draw some attention to what they feel may be going on.

most normal people who dont believe its rigged wouldnt get caught up trying to debate or change the mind of a random riggie through this forum or another and even less would spend so much time obsessing over these threads and getting so much joy and excitement repeatedly publicly putting others down who feel it may be rigged. once somebody's mind is made up its rigged or shady in some way its very hard to pull them back from it.

so let me guess these nonriggies that argue so often and linger waiting for a riggie statement (obviously they check the forum quite often and regularly) are trying to convert a few riggies and bring them back to the player pools because they need more fish or for some other noble cause of protecting online poker by keeping more people playing regularly?

if you were trying to convince somebody its not rigged ok debate them make your points but do you really think constantly calling them stupid and verbally abusing them is going to help you win the arguement? makes you look like fools with a much different agenda. i think you put so many own so quickly and repeatedly who make any claim of believing its rigged just to chase them off the forum so they WONT POST ANYMORE ABOUT ANY OF IT and just give up trying. thats what i would tell my shills to do. make them go away. dont try to change their minds just make them stop posting those claims
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 05:01 PM
The kinda hands played out at my expense day after day. This one was worth $5K at least in equity.

PokerStars Hand #13456789rigged: Tournament #12skipafew, $50.00+$5.00 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXIV (1200/2400) - 2015/05/03 19:19:41 ET
Table '12skipafew 29' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: donkey (22854 in chips)
Seat 2: idiot (24681 in chips)
Seat 4: reg (17001 in chips)
Seat 5: rigged (91762 in chips)
Seat 6: Hero (86443 in chips)
Seat 7: muppet (56021 in chips)
Seat 8: fish (58857 in chips)
Seat 9: newbie (44392 in chips)
donkey: posts the ante 300
idiot: posts the ante 300
reg: posts the ante 300
rigged: posts the ante 300
Hero: posts the ante 300
muppet: posts the ante 300
fish: posts the ante 300
newbie: posts the ante 300
donkey: posts small blind 1200
idiot: posts big blind 2400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Kd Kh]
reg: folds
rigged: raises 2400 to 4800
Hero: calls 4800
muppet: folds
fish: folds
newbie: folds
donkey: folds
idiot: folds
*** FLOP *** [Qh Qc Kc]
rigged: checks
Hero: checks
*** TURN *** [Qh Qc Kc] [Ad]
rigged: bets 4800
Hero: calls 4800
*** RIVER *** [Qh Qc Kc Ad] [4d]
rigged: bets 16800
Hero: raises 59743 to 78943 and is all-in
rigged: calls 59743
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Hero: shows [Kd Kh] (a full house, Kings full of Queens)
rigged: shows [Qd Qs] (four of a kind, Queens)
rigged collected 178586 from pot
Hero finished the tournament in 38th place and received $200.19.
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 178586 | Rake 0
Board [Qh Qc Kc Ad 4d]
Seat 1: donkey (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 2: idiot (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: reg folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: rigged showed [Qd Qs] and won (178586) with four of a kind, Queens
Seat 6: Hero showed [Kd Kh] and lost with a full house, Kings full of Queens
Seat 7: muppet folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: fish folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: newbie (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Quote:
Originally Posted by scumbagsall
One of the best and most accurate posts in a long time.
TY

Quote:
When this "shill"/moron has something bad to say about it, you KNOW its right!
Haha so true
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
to anybody who might not believe such shills are paid by the poker sites to refute any claim of rigged to calm down any potential panic... shills being paid users with thousands + posts on here who continually post mostly insults and arguments related to a few small select topics- (rigged in some way)
I get paid every time I post. That is something I happily agree with whenever a riggie suggests it, while I also point out that you get paid $0 per post. Cool, isn't it?

Anyway, to try to help out those of you who remain unpaid in this world what I have done is offer a reward to any riggie that can definitively prove the RnG is rigged at any of the major sites.

I have even provided you with a healthy list of different riggies and their theories for you to consider, and usually my reward is $5,000, but here is what I will do to encourage some riggie teamwork:

You and the poster before you (who claims to have skills with statistics and who posts fictional hands) should team up and form a think tank of sorts, and decide on a specific rig you both agree that you "see" and then once you have all four eyes knowing it exists the rest should be easy in terms of proving it mathematically. Your partner can do some of the math work, while you hurl waves of moody depression at everyone to keep them busy.



In the end, you guys pocket $10,000, which is $10,000 more than the two of you combined get paid to post here. I am all about helping people like you out, so good luck with this new venture.


All the best.


P.S. To the poster above this - you did not even get paid for posting that made up hand history, but check this baby out!


PokerStars Hand #1rigged?3627: Hold'em No Limit ($25/$50 USD) - 2015/06/02 16:03:09 ET
Table 'Isberga' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Hero ($5252.40 in chips)
Seat 2: other ($4506.50 in chips)
Seat 3: another ($3218.08 in chips)
Seat 4: yet another ($4743.23 in chips)
Seat 5: sidekick ($3924.32 in chips)
Seat 6: Mean Old Villain ($7873.18 in chips)
Mean Old Villain: posts small blind $25
Hero: posts big blind $50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Ad Ah]
other: folds
another: folds
yet another: folds
sidekick: folds
Mean Old Villain: calls $25
Hero: raises $1025 to $1050
Mean Old Villain: calls $1025
*** FLOP *** [Td 9d 6h]
Mean Old Villain: checks
Hero: bets $3178.20
Mean Old Villain: calls $3178.20
*** TURN *** [Td 9d 6h] [7h]
Mean Old Villain: checks
Hero: checks
*** RIVER *** [Td 9d 6h 7h] [2d]
Mean Old Villain: bets $72.04
Hero: calls $72.04
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Mean Old Villain: shows [3d 8s] (a straight, Six to Ten)
Hero: shows [Ad Ah] (a pair of Aces)

Last edited by Monteroy; 06-04-2015 at 05:18 PM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
I get paid every time I post. That is something I happily agree with whenever a riggie suggests it, while I also point out that you get paid $0 per post. Cool, isn't it?

P.S. To the poster above this - you did not even get paid for posting that made up hand history, but check this baby out!

shows how smart you are i and many others wouldve put that hand history into a second post to get paid extra for it. moron. also shows you have relatively no life in which you sit around on your comp watching this forum for x hours every day in edition to the job you may or may not have. not just a bastard but prolly a fat bastard too.

just goes to show how far those poker sites would go to protect against claims of rigging. that is by paying people to post on a public forum when there are plenty of people every day who post on the forum for free. so its not like their motivation is to keep this forum alive because its slowing down and somehow bad for poker.

why would a gambling company that makes so much money every year go to such great lengths to discourage any claims of rigged? its the gambling industry - you're always going to have people claiming some crazy **** of its rigged.

if the claims were so unbelievable they would just figure something like " its so farfetched nobody in their right mind could believe it" why r they so scared about their images to warrant hiring bullies to insult those who do make such claims hopefully to chase them away. cuz to me and many others who read this thread thats what it seems. it doesnt seem like its a few die hard nonriggies (non paid posters) always refuting the riggies. they dont even go as far as the riggies do (showing enough know how and intelligence) to prove those claims are ridiculous.

if you ask me the companies are afraid of something aside from bad pr infecting some potential clients. sure the poker companies have interests to protect and pr to maintain but in a world with forums and open discussions available to the masses, why panic and go to such great lengths to try to quell a debate in which regardless whatever you do isnt going away?

to me such lengths r the actions of people who have something to hide in some way shape or form. thats not the actions of "oh no what if other nonplayers or players read it and decide not to play". the only players reading such things that would decide not to play from reading such things r those who are already suspicious, and/or arent experiencing winning. and some may not stop playing maybe cuz they are in a desperate dream world.

so i sound depressed and grim do i? guess what most of the population on this planet is in some way shape or form. how do you sound? like an *******, bully, bigot, stubborn, etc etc. ill take sounding "depressed" over any of those things anyday, guess what i can get a woman anyday being depressed but not with your list. at least i have an open mind about what is possible and what isnt.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 06:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
shows how smart you are i and many others wouldve put that hand history into a second post to get paid extra for it.
The mods here merge posts like that, and if you were ever paid for actual work you would understand that tactics like that rarely work long term. This is why people like your continue to be unpaid in your life. I certainly agree that people like you genuinely believe that to be an example of an "expert" angle shoot...

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
also shows you have relatively no life in which you sit around on your comp watching this forum for x hours every day in edition to the job you may or may not have. not just a bastard but prolly a fat bastard too.
You sure seem depressed and angry in general. You even chose a whiny user name. In the end, all of that is your problem, and the only reason I am replying is to get paid for this post, as I am indifferent to your general existence otherwise.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
just goes to show how far those poker sites would go to protect against claims of rigging. that is by paying people to post on a public forum when there are plenty of people every day who post on the forum for free. so its not like their motivation is to keep this forum alive because its slowing down and somehow bad for poker. why would a gambling company that makes so much money every year go to such great lengths to discourage any claims of rigged? its the gambling industry - you're always going to have people claiming some crazy **** of its rigged. if the claims were so unbelievable they would just figure something like " its so farfetched nobody in their right mind could believe it" why r they so scared about their images to warrant hiring bullies to insult those who do make such claims hopefully to chase them away. cuz to me and many others who read this thread thats what it seems. it doesnt seem like its a few die hard nonriggies (non paid posters) always refuting the riggies. they dont even go as far as the riggies do (showing enough know how and intelligence) to prove those claims are ridiculous.if you ask me the companies are afraid of something aside from bad pr infecting some potential clients. sure the poker companies have interests to protect and pr to maintain but in a world with forums and open discussions available to the masses, why panic and go to such great lengths to try to quell a debate in which regardless whatever you do isnt going away? to me such lengths r the actions of people who have something to hide in some way shape or form. thats not the actions of "oh no what if other nonplayers or players read it and decide not to play". the only players reading such things that would decide not to play from reading such things r those who are already suspicious, and/or arent experiencing winning. and some may not stop playing maybe cuz they are in a desperate dream world.so i sound depressed and grim do i? guess what most of the population on this planet is in some way shape or form. how do you sound? like an *******, bully, bigot, stubborn, etc etc. ill take sounding "depressed" over any of those things anyday, guess what i can get a woman anyday being depressed but not with your list. at least i have an open mind about what is possible and what isnt.
I already earned my pay, so no need to read, nor reply to your whatever whiny, depressing manifesto of the moment you chose to hurl upon the world, however if you do get together with that other guy, then perhaps you can collect the reward! If nothing else, have him post a better fake of a HH.

Congratulations on the $0 you made with your post. I made more with this reply, just as you believe. Some people have value. Others have none. Welcome to the world.

All the best.

Last edited by Monteroy; 06-04-2015 at 06:28 PM. Reason: Don't forget to quit all forms of poker.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 06:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
*lots of unimportant lies and stupid ramblings*
Ohhhhh, you're the laser beam rigtard, aren't you?

Go see a doctor already, your posts make me cringe.

Trolling on such a level is a sign of mental illness. Seek help, it's not too late.


Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
why would somebody who has so much intelligience to clearly and repeatedly claim its not rigged spend so much time obsessing over this thread and similar claims so often usually on a daily basis?

Posting here a few times a day is not exactly obsessing (unlike your obsession with the invisible undetectable super rig)

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
maybe these shills havent played enough online with their own money to have any bad experiences whatsoever?
I play poker, i get a lot of bad beats. Difference is, I'm not a results oriented spewtard who starts to cry when he loses with aces. Poker is not for everyone and it looks like it's not for you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
the riggies r the ones who've experienced something so out of the ordinary that was enough to drive a passion for them to try to draw some attention to what they feel may be going on.
lol, it's getting better and better. Try drawing attention with some hard proof, might work.


Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
if you were trying to convince somebody its not rigged ok debate them make your points but do you really think constantly calling them stupid and verbally abusing them is going to help you win the arguement? makes you look like fools with a much different agenda. i think you put so many own so quickly and repeatedly who make any claim of believing its rigged just to chase them off the forum so they WONT POST ANYMORE ABOUT ANY OF IT and just give up trying. thats what i would tell my shills to do. make them go away. dont try to change their minds just make them stop posting those claims
Said it many times before: If you claim, we're here to convince you it's not rigged, you are basically saying that your kind is so extremely stupid and naive that all it takes is some posts in a forum.

If you weren't so lazy, I would suggest you read the whole thread from the beginning and show us only one example where "we" converted a rigtard.

Spoiler Alert: There is none. Rigtards just keep whining and claiming and then some whining again. Not a single one who said: "Ok, I stopped being a rigtard because of the shills"

You think they would pay all these people for years with an alltime 0% success rate? Dream on.

Last edited by Rig Astley; 06-04-2015 at 07:11 PM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo_Boy
You made a claim that they remove a Q from the deck when you have QQ vs AK. Lets see some numbers.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed

Which one are you again, Aramis or Porthos?

Musketeers obviously aren't big on proof reading. No such claims were made
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Mike these patterns are caused by algorithms governing card removal.

Let me explain. So Pokerstars and other sites like 888, who offer full-ring draw and stud games, use card-removal algorithms to ensure that discarded cards aren't returned to the player who just discarded them.

What does this show us?

The "complexity" of rigging a deal was taken care of a long time ago and by tweaking the algorithm, the software can remove your outs from the deck, massively skewing your odds.

Like if you have QsQh vs AcKc, the software removes one card, the Qd, from the deck. Why would the software do this? It's partly an equalizer and partly a punishment for cashing out or winning too much.

So, a new player hits 888 or pokerstars, they sit at a table with several players who the software is targeting. Each hand that is dealt, the most desirable cards for the targeted players are removed (or parked at the back of the deck on Pokerstars), leaving the deck heavy with cards that suit the new players.

It explains everything. When you cash out, more of your outs are removed from the deck. After you have lost sufficiently, your outs are gradually reintroduced to the deck until the point you can statistically win again. There is no other explanation for sessions in which scores of underdog hands consecutively hit.

The software uses the predetermined "spin n go" prize allocation to govern the card removal process. Thus you can sit there for eternity, play perfect cards and post a consistent losing record, or you can sit there, play like a loon with 4 7, 2 Q, 4 J in your range, and make 2 pair or better 33 times in 59 hands.
Let me guess, that was a "hypothetical example" just to illustrate your point?

I mean, why would you use an example of something that actually happens to you and has convinced you of rigging (let alone prove it with your hand histories) when you can just ramble on and on in a way that makes it difficult to find out / prove if you're lying / mistaken.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
shows how smart you are i and many others wouldve put that hand history into a second post to get paid extra for it. moron.
yeah, perhaps it would have been merged; but this is still funny. :-)
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 07:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
Your partner can do some of the math work
Mock Exam Question:

Monteroy = $10000, show your working:-

Assumptions:

1. 7422 posts = work....
2. 7422 posts = work?!?


Conclusion: LOL


Examiner's remarks: Student Mocks subject perfectly. Full credit.




Blank Page




If you have time and for extra credit, respondet per iactantiam:

Quote:
P.S. To the poster above this - you did not even get paid for posting that made up hand history, but check this baby out!
Those who believe Monteroy either has or would take $5000 of his own money to a rigged cash table:

[ ] everyone
[X] no-one

Those who aren't in the least bit shocked by my hand history:

[ ] everyone
[X] anyone who has ever played on-line poker


Examiner's final remarks: egregia cum laude
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 07:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
The mods here merge posts like that

.
they do?!!?? see they even rigged it against you to cap your earnings!!! lol you just admitted to collusion to try to scam them into paying you for more posts. teasing

btw i never made such claims of they are using this method or that method. lol i stated some ways in which they could do it but left it open to interpretation. when did i whine about getting AA cracked or anything like that?

you guys should at least do your homework better. i like how some themed statements you dont even try to refute. whats the matter can't come up with anything.

but seriously why r you guys so angry all the time and take rigtards claims so personally? if we are so stupid and such bad players shouldnt you be trying to keep us playing so you could take all of our money over and over again?

guess what tens of thousands of players claiming publicly or amongst themselves that something fishing is going on is more than your "bad player/ bad luck excuse" can explain. where is your hard proof?

i never claimed your here to convince or others its not rigged. it does seem like your here to bully anybody who might say its even possible for it to be rigged into leaving and not posting.

it seems like you're here to suppress any legitimate conversations of whether its rigged from even being able to take place. LET ALONE AN INTELLIGENT CONVERSATION

you should be more concerned about the US government saying these sites are funding terrorists and some bs like that and somehow shaking things up so much it jeopardizes the only thing that makes you happy.- than being concerned about a few rigtards crazy conspiracy theories about how its rigged. all that money theyd confiscate potentially means more to the US government than the potential tax revenue complete legalization in the US might bring. it has been disappointing so far. they're just itching to get their cut. hell they probably still holding a grudge against certain companies and affiliations because they got off so easy. you think they illegalized it on black friday to protect a few citizens from getting scammed potentially? it was all about getting their cut in tax dollars and all about the money laundering and undeclared tax money they were missing out on. maybe the US government should investigate further. maybe something crooked is going on and the poker sites are knowingly or unknowingly funding IS and other terrorist groups. maybe they're shadily funding russia or china or some other country the US government would probably love to take a piece out of at least financially.

now did i at least get the record for craziest stupidest rigtard yet? did i make the top 5 at least?

i hope the nsa's filters picked up on that and it gave somebody a good idea. i'd **** my britches if something anywhere near like the above went down.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 07:44 PM
Quote:
respondet per iactantiam

egregia cum laude
He knows how to copy paste latin words, he must be smarter than us. Better believe the bs he claims from now on.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
. lol i stated some ways in which they could do it but left it open to interpretation.
lol, sure. what else could you do since you don't know what you're talking about.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
when did i whine about getting AA cracked or anything like that?
Everytime?
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
you guys should at least do your homework better. i like how some themed statements you dont even try to refute. whats the matter can't come up with anything.
Yeah, you're on to something. Keep it up.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
but seriously why r you guys so angry all the time and take rigtards claims so personally? if we are so stupid and such bad players shouldnt you be trying to keep us playing so you could take all of our money over and over again?
It's a free world.We do what we want to do, the tantrums of the mentally ill are not important to us. Tell me again who forces you to post here?

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
guess what tens of thousands of players claiming publicly or amongst themselves that something fishing is going on is more than your "bad player/ bad luck excuse" can explain.
If this were true, it would only prove that there are tens of thousands of idiots out there.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
i never claimed your here to convince or others its not rigged.
Yes, you did, better re-read your own posts when the drugs wear off.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
LET ALONE AN INTELLIGENT CONVERSATION
with you? Impossible


Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
now did i at least get the record for craziest stupidest rigtard yet? did i make the top 5 at least?
your self-flagellation is even more cringeworthy than the ramblings of the laser beam rigtard.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
i hope the nsa's filters picked up on that and it gave somebody a good idea. i'd **** my britches if something anywhere near like the above went down.
lolwut

Last edited by Rig Astley; 06-04-2015 at 08:11 PM.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 08:04 PM
Hey poorme,

I used to get paid to post here but I quit. It's hard to sell your soul day after day. If you have any questions about how it works feel free to ask.

Best,
TiltedDonkey
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 08:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
it seems like you're here to suppress any legitimate conversations of whether its rigged from even being able to take place. LET ALONE AN INTELLIGENT CONVERSATION
Dude, I gave you a huge list of riggie theories! How is that suppressing anything. If you had anything entertaining I would add it to the list as well for other riggies to enjoy. I am trying to help build the riggie culture for people like you! I even offer to pay you for proof of a rig.


Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
you should be more concerned about the US government saying these sites are funding terrorists and some bs like that and somehow shaking things up so much it jeopardizes the only thing that makes you happy.- than being concerned about a few rigtards crazy conspiracy theories about how its rigged. all that money theyd confiscate potentially means more to the US government than the potential tax revenue complete legalization in the US might bring. it has been disappointing so far. they're just itching to get their cut. hell they probably still holding a grudge against certain companies and affiliations because they got off so easy. you think they illegalized it on black friday to protect a few citizens from getting scammed potentially? it was all about getting their cut in tax dollars and all about the money laundering and undeclared tax money they were missing out on. maybe the US government should investigate further. maybe something crooked is going on and the poker sites are knowingly or unknowingly funding IS and other terrorist groups. maybe they're shadily funding russia or china or some other country the US government would probably love to take a piece out of at least financially. now did i at least get the record for craziest stupidest rigtard yet? did i make the top 5 at least? i hope the nsa's filters picked up on that and it gave somebody a good idea. i'd **** my britches if something anywhere near like the above went down.
You do like manifestos, I will give you that. I will check to see if there is a manifesto riggie on the list, if not I will toss the last two you spewed so that other riggies can enjoy that at their leisure. Odds are they will say doing so means I am trying to suppress them...



Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Those who believe Monteroy either has or would take $5000 of his own money to a rigged cash table:

[ ] everyone
[X] no-one
My hand was just as real as your hand


Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Those who aren't in the least bit shocked by my hand history:

[ ] everyone
[X] anyone who has ever played on-line poker


Examiner's final remarks: egregia cum laude
Your hand was fake as well, so I doubt anyone was surprised that you made one up. Riggies make stuff up all the time. The Hot 55 finishes around the time of the hand you posted, and the big 55 may have around that many people around that time, but usually it is later (tonight there are still 35 left an hour after the time stamp on your hand).

Also, the prize you listed for 38th did not match any of the $55 tournaments on Stars run the past couple of days. It was $237.36 for the Big 55 yesterday for instance, and 218.59 for the Hot 55, and the nightly 55 typically only has 36 or 45 prizes, and when it is 45 prizes 38th is around $80-90.

You posted a fake hand history. Noone is surprised. Better luck in the freerolls.

All the best.


P.S. Already is a manifesto riggie, and this guy really knows what a manifesto is about. poorme will have a bit of a manifesto inferiority complex compared to...

Manifesto Riggie:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...ostcount=64510


Quote:
Originally Posted by GabryRox
Many interesting points here, but certainly a lot of conjecture based on assumptions or feelings, which in itself, doesn’t prove anything. Also, there are many things that would constitute being rigged, so I will address them all separately. However, first I will start with some background… I’ve been playing about 6-7 years online, specializing in Omaha Hi-Lo (at least 95% of my games). I used to play extensively on PS and FTP before both were removed from the US market. Usually I was multi-tabling low-mid stakes O8 cash games (.10/.25 PL & NL, up to $3/$6 FL). Didn’t play many tourney on PS but starting getting into O8 MTT’s on FTP. Overall, did pretty well in cash games, but even better in MTT’s, running about 50% ROI. Since those 2 sites got shut down for US players, I’ve mostly been playing on the Merge network. All of this has added up to me playing somewhere north of 10 million hands of O8, so while I certainly don’t claim to be one of the biggest winners, I have seen quite enough to make a fair assessment on this issue. OK, now to the fun stuff…Shills (someone who works for or with the site in order to increase the site’s profits, or reduce their losses) – this one is probably the hardest to prove because without actually getting first-hand info from someone involved in this and being able to confirm it. The two big problems here? Why would either party ever admit to this? But, that said, this is what I have observed to make me believe it is very highly likely this is prevalent. I’ve observed countless idiots playing O8 MTT’s on both FTP & Merge. Especially the rebuy variations of these bring out seemingly every clueless moron on the site. When you look up the vast majority of these guys on SharkScope, they are huge losers with negative ROI’s that make you wonder how they can afford to lose that kind of money. However, every once in a while, I look up a horrible player and they come back with some ridiculous ROI… like over 100%. I usually mark these guys to watch to make sure they are just not on tilt or something. Sure enough, they almost always continue to play like a moron… and I’m talking about PFR max every hand, going all in with low pair and no low draw, completely clueless kind of donkeys here… a player who in reality would stand no chance of even breaking even, much less pulling a 100% ROI. I’ve seen first-hand, these idiots continually hit suckout after suckout to stay alive and a good portion of the time end up winning the MTT. Now certainly, even the biggest idiot on the planet can get lucky enough to win 1 or 2 of these but not to the extent that these guys do… not even close! So, the only logical conclusion is that they have an agreement with the site to play, be artificially awarded victories and high place finishes, but have to split the winnings with the site. Because oh, btw, this usually happens when the guaranteed payout pool is not met by the total buy-inns, meaning the site would lose money on the tourney. Both parties win here… the donkey get some money that he would have otherwise not even sniffed, and the site covers what they would have lost due to the shortfall of buy-inns.
Bots – I know for a fact that these exist, although I haven’t noticed any lately. Have contacted the site a couple of times about them with no apparent action, but to be honest, most of them were totally exploitable and easier to beat than your average player once you figure out what their parameters, so I stopped reporting them because I didn’t feel they were hurting my ROI.Super-users & colluders – this doesn’t seem to be a huge issue, at least in O8, but collusion almost certainly exists at the higher stakes, which is one big reason I won’t play at that level. I mean let’s face it, for anyone with any kind of tech savvy, it’s easy to get around the “protections” built in by the site and even be sitting in the same room with your friend(s) playing the same ring game against unsuspecting other players.
Rigged RNG’s – OK, so this is the big one, right? I’ve read several posts stating how people have selective memory; forget when they sucked out, etc, etc. And, while there is certainly some validity to this argument, it does not account for what is obvious manipulation of the RNGs on all 4-5 sites that I have played on. Look, why wouldn’t the sites do this? When a simple tweak that would go un-noticed and be unprovable by most resulted in millions extra in revenue for your site… and oh btw, there’s essentially zero chance of getting caught (or at least of having it publicized)… how could they pass up that money? For those that don’t quite understand the incentive here, I will explain it. First, you’ve got to realize that donkeys/maniacs/plain old clueless morons drive a TON of profits for these sites. Just talking about ring games alone, which are based on rake to make profits, how much $ do you think the sites would get with a bunch of super-tight players who only play premium hands? So, based on this knowledge, how can you best take care of the donkeys to ensure they play as much as possible? Why, provide them with artificial winnings of course! This is the crux of this entire issue and it absolutely occurs… at least on all of the sites that I have played so far. When I first started noticing this, I began doing some modest tracking (aside from collecting every hand in poker tracker). Essentially, every time someone needed a 4 outer or worse to beat me in a hand, I would note it. In Omaha-8, if you flop needing a 4-outer to win, you have about a 16-17% chance of hitting. Well, after about 3-4 months of tracking this, it turned out that people were hitting 4 outers against me at a clip of about 20-21%. That might not seem like much but in reality, it means they are hitting miracle suckouts 25% more of the time than they should. Now sure, I know what you doubters are gonna say… your sample size was too low or you forgot to track certain hands… ok, I might agree somewhat on the sample size, but this led me to perform a much larger analysis. This time, I used a sample of over 7 million hands from my own personal poker tracker records. I started by isolating every hand where I flopped top hand then broke down further by number of outs the opponent had to beat me. My lowest tolerance was 1 out (obviously) and highest was 11 (didn’t see much point in going higher than that as 11 outs equates to ~44% chance of hitting after flop, so many more than that and it’s a race). What I found was astonishing but confirmed my suspicions beyond any sense of doubt. In every single category, from 1 out to 11, the hit rate was higher than it should be based solely on real odds. In a couple of cases (high end like 10 or 11 outs) it was closer to even but still over what it should be. From here, I drilled down into individual outs categories for further clarification of what was going on. Again, the results were disturbing but quite uniform. I was specifically looking at quality of player in this split. I eliminated all players with too low of a sample size and then categorized as either good player or bad player. I eliminated anyone with a -15 to +15% ROI since I considered those players to be middle-ground and therefore not truly classifiable as either good or bad. When looking at the good player pool, they hit suckouts against me very close to true odds… sure, some were slightly lower, some a bit higher but overall it was within acceptable tolerances. However, when I plotted the bad players this way, there suckout rate exceeded real odds excessively… ranging between ~25% more on the low suckout end to around 15% more on the high end. Truly astounding results and I’ll be honest, even worse than I expected based on unbiased observation. Since then, I’ve only did 1 other analysis… on MTT’s since that’s mostly what I play now. While I only had about 2 million HH to deal with this time, the results mirrored the those of the first analysis to a great extent.
This literally proves 2 things… yes, these sites are most certainly tweaking their RNG’s AND, they are doing so to favor the worst players on the sites! Now I don’t think they really have to capability of deciphering between just bad players and bad players who are also maniacs and drive more profits for them because that would involve too many variables. But certainly it remains in their best interest to keep these players funded as long as possible so they will keep driving those profit margins.
I think the REAL question here is… how does the site’s favoring of donkeys truly affect your long-term winnings capability? On the surface, you would certainly think that it hurts it right? In my case, I run about 70% ROI on O8 MTT’s. I did a quick calculation that showed that I would be in the 90%+ range if other players only hit suckouts at a rate of true odds, not the ones created by these site’s tweaked RNG’s. However, what this doesn’t account for is the likelihood that at least a portion of these donkeys would go broke if not for the preferential treatment, and therefore would not be throwing their money into the prize pool, leading to at least a slight reduction in winnings. So, given that there is no way to tell how many of these donkeys would stop playing if not for their artificial gift winnings from the sites, it’s impossible to really tell what impact this has on a decent player’s ROI. My opinion is that only a relatively small % of them would stop playing… many of them have already lost multiple thousands and most likely just have money to burn… so I would say that this aspect of site cheating may take 5-10% off your run-of-the-mill good to very good player.

Last edited by Monteroy; 06-04-2015 at 08:23 PM. Reason: Seriously, quit all forms of poker!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
guess what tens of thousands of players claiming publicly or amongst themselves that something fishing is going on
HOLY FALSE CONSENSUS BATMAN!

You should read that link carefully.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-04-2015 , 11:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rig Astley

If this were true, it would only prove that there are tens of thousands of idiots out there.
and how many did you think there are? it took my ******ed post to get you to realize that? the worlds population is how big? not asking so much

tens of thousands isnt that far fetched- youve already got nearly 3 thousand from the poll on this site. how long has that been running? i guess everybody who plays poker online knows about this forum and from how many countries is online poker legal and played in?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 02:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
and how many did you think there are? it took my ******ed post to get you to realize that? the worlds population is how big? not asking so much

tens of thousands isnt that far fetched- youve already got nearly 3 thousand from the poll on this site. how long has that been running? i guess everybody who plays poker online knows about this forum and from how many countries is online poker legal and played in?
In order:

48

15

162

342
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 05:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
and how many did you think there are? it took my ******ed post to get you to realize that? the worlds population is how big? not asking so much

tens of thousands isnt that far fetched- youve already got nearly 3 thousand from the poll on this site. how long has that been running? i guess everybody who plays poker online knows about this forum and from how many countries is online poker legal and played in?
Sigh, if ten thousand braindead idiots believe the moon is made of green cheese, what will happen to the moon?

Read the text which newoldguy linked, I know it has a lot of words and rigtards have a low to non-existant attention span but your bs posts are a Class A example of false concensus.

Also, HERE is a representative petition, it clearly shows there are only 11 rigturds on the whole planet.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 10:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by poorme
very well put. stupid shills
Back at ya and TY

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rig Astley
Ohhhhh, you're the laser beam rigtard, aren't you?

Go see a doctor already, your posts make me cringe.
Not quite sure what a laser beam rigtard is but if it turns you on, I'll be whatever you want me to be.

PS: I have a musketeers cosplay outfit, PM to flirt

Quote:
here is a petition ........
On which I see 4 comments. One from a "Rig Astley" and 3 from normal human beings who strongly disagree with Rig Astley.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
Your hand was fake as well, so I doubt anyone was surprised that you made one up.......and the big 55 may have around that many people around that time, but usually it is later (tonight there are still 35 left an hour after the time stamp on your hand)
"When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."

I am security conscious. Every identifiable marker was altered in that hand, including reference #s and time stamps.

Anyway, after I eliminated the impossible (that on-line results are the consequence of a true RNG), it became apparent I was being cheated and that the games are rigged.

Your manifesto guy makes many interesting points, points that have been repeated by many different people over a considerable period.

Is it possible such eloquent posters are mentally deficient? No. Is it possible to share dreams or thoughts? No. Is it possible to share identical psychosis without genetic links? No. Is it possible the card rooms rigged their deal to cheat the posters in this thread? YES.

See? It's elementary dear d'Artagnan.

PS: I also have a Sherlock Holmes cosplay, PM for the chance to suck Sherlock's pipe
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 11:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Every identifiable marker was altered in that hand, including reference #s and time stamps.
I see, so you changed every detail about the single hand, yet you posted it in the belief that it should be accepted as valid and as proof of something. Interesting!

Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Anyway, after I eliminated the impossible (that on-line results are the consequence of a true RNG), it became apparent I was being cheated and that the games are rigged.
Then quit if you cannot work out a way to beat a rigged system where you can identify the rig, or earn a $10,000 reward by posting verifiable proof. Hate to tell you, but a single hand history that had "every detail" changed by you does not quite qualify as proof .

Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
Your manifesto guy makes many interesting points, points that have been repeated by many different people over a considerable period.
Not really shocked that one paranoid dude sounds like other paranoid dudes. I never actually read his crazy, but you should feel free to contact him and share your thoughts with him.


Quote:
Originally Posted by NeedB4Greed
PS: I also have a Sherlock Holmes cosplay, PM for the chance to suck Sherlock's pipe
When you are finished chatting with manifesto riggies you can search the internet for those interested in your fetish as well.

Also, feel free to post another completely altered hand history as proof of something. That was actually mildly amusing, especially compared to Mr Moody riggie. Maybe encourage him to try that pipe sucking thing or something... Better luck in your freerolls.

All the best.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 12:29 PM
I have discovered suspicious data on WSOP.com.

I played one hand, and I was dealt 7s6c. The expected number of times that I should get 7s6c in a sample of 1 hand is 0.000754 and the standard deviation is sqrt(.000754*(1-.000754)) = .0274.

Thus, my result of 1 is 36 standard deviations away.

EXPLAIN THAT SHILLS!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
06-05-2015 , 12:37 PM
I was dealt 7c6s so it balanced out.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote

      
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