Quote:
Originally Posted by javi
Of course you arent sucking out on people because you arent playing rags against them. If you started playing K5o more often I'm sure you'd suckout more often. Of course you would become a net loser but thats beside the point. You think these guys sucking out on you are winning players moving up to NL25?
Winning at 600BB/100 is pretty much right on par with KK. What are you expecting when you have KK, to always get it in vs QQ or worse?
Forget this idea that you are going to beat the game for 15BB/100. Yeah some people do, some people beat it for more, and some less. Some people beat NL5000 for 15BB/100. 6BB/100 aint all that bad. Dont try to hold yourself to other peoples standards, at least you're winning. The average 4NL player is most definitely losing.
I'll rephrase what I mean by 'sucking out'. I don't mean for instance, villain calling preflop with ATC against my AK, I miss the flop and have to fold when 60% VPIP villain pots the turn. That's pretty standard, albeit annoying.
It's stuff like - when villain has 20% equity on the turn, he'll win more than 20% of the time on the river. When I have a hand with 20% equity, I'll win about 10% of the time on the river. And these are normally reasonably big pot hands too. Think stuff like sets vs flushes where they can river a full house. Or my 2 pair vs an OESD where they hit their 8 outer. Basically, their draws hit often whereas mine do not. This is backed up by that luck bell curve thing in PT4, showing with sets, straights, and flushes I've been 'unlucky'.
If there's people out there who are beating 4nl for 15bb/100, it basically means one of two things:
1) 888poker are rigging the deck to stop me winning at that level.
2) The players winning at 15bb/100 play a fundamentally better game than I do.
Now yeah, I know every shill is going to scream the answer is number 2. But I don't really see what I could do to improve my winrate. I bet when I have it, never triple barrel bluff, open more when in late position, and I'm ready to fold TPTK to a raise.
Probably my 3bet game needs some work, but that can't account for a 9bb/100 discrepancy between the results of myself and others. So that brings me back to point 1 - that 888poker are rigging the deck.
Sure most players are net losers, but the guy winning at 15bb/100 is going to be able to move up a lot faster than the guy winning at 6bb/100. And given it's such a massive difference, I'm interested in exploring possible reasons why.