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The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition
View Poll Results: Is Online Poker Rigged?
Yes
3,502 34.89%
No
5,607 55.86%
Undecided
929 9.25%

12-16-2010 , 04:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by batair
Cant happen because then the zoo would be overrun with rigged threads.

Not that id mind. Individual rigged threads were way more entertaining. Now we got tldr posts, stats and rigged folk learning how to play... who wants that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobo Fett
...

This.
Really, close the thread, archive it, delete new threads on the subject and refer the thread-openers to the archive.

An historic moment, a riggie sees the light, all are happy, close thread, move on.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-16-2010 , 10:41 PM
Nice post SCJ! hopefully riggies will read it.
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12-17-2010 , 01:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoMoos
Really, close the thread, archive it, delete new threads on the subject and refer the thread-openers to the archive.

An historic moment, a riggie sees the light, all are happy, close thread, move on.
If they did that then you all would be crying conspiracy and 2p2 is hiding the truth.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-17-2010 , 01:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by batair
If they did that then you all would be crying conspiracy and 2p2 is hiding the truth.
This

We got already some riggies crying and whining because 2+2 used the rigged containment thread!
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12-17-2010 , 10:42 PM
i won a 1k pot w 84s...poker is obv rigged.

Spoiler:
o wait...it was live
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-17-2010 , 10:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smithcommajohn
Nice to see this thread is still alive and well (in a matter of speaking).

Brief synopsis of my hiatus:

I learned a new format of poker with the guidance of a person who posts regularly in this thread and I used a $100 deposit to turn out over $500 in profit playing very casual volume. These months have been very eye opening, as I got a first hand glimpse of how a highly documented (think sharkscope leaderboard) winning online poker player views the game and his approach to it.

If a serious winning player at the top of his game is not employing some oddball strategy to "beat the algorithm", then I can't imagine such a strategy could even exist. If it did, it would be exploited. Instead he uses the strategies that make the most sense for random events. Get yourself into highly equitable positions as often as possible and the numbers will work themselves out.

When reality really hit me was during the reading of "Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (which I highly recommend). The human mind just isn't designed to understand random events. We are geared for "cause and effect" to help understand the world and the consequences of our actions. This style of thinking just can't understand randomness. If an 80% probability fails 4 times in a row, we think there must be some "cause" of it rather than it being a completely random event. So what caused it? A deposit? A withdrawal? A seat change? A money transfer? A huge tournament win? The human mind will search for that cause because that is what it is designed to do. To seek the pattern for something that has no pattern only leads to lost time and sanity.

Anyone miss me?
+10000000 to "Fooled By Randomness"

amazing book!
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 01:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smithcommajohn
If you do not use a database, it will be like looking at the illusion without a ruler or straight edge. You will never be able to verify reality. Some people need no verification and accept that randomness is something that our minds cannot fully measure on their own. While others, like us, tend to question things when we see something that seems to be "not right".

I don't blame anyone for thinking online poker is rigged, because it shows that their mind is doing its job in seeking patterns. However, finding patterns where none exist and then purporting that they do exist is, in my opinion, the pathway to madness.
Yes I agree with everything you said about perception which is why I now have a detailed database taken from my Pokertracker stats hand by hand becasue that program is too lame to have a facility to search for pre-flop all ins.
Since this thread started I have added nearly 400 preflop all ins to my datatabse - up to 1392 - and the results are still biased by nearly 20% against a reasonable average result.
For instance - Over pair vs under pair - Probability average 80% - my results 69% - only 149 results but over this FY of the 58 results recorded I have actually dropped to 66%
Over cards vs a pair and a pair vs over cards 485 hands - expected average result 51% (more pairs than overcards) - actual result 44%
11 weeks straight I have not been above average in expected results - and yes I know that is the same is tossing a coin heads 11 times straight (1 in 2,048) but it is getting ridiculous. I now track every Pre Flop All In i am involved - 18 categories - I am not above average in one of them - which is a 1 in 131,072 chance - still plausible of cause.
And I know all the stats gurus wlll say 1392 results is not a big enough sample just as they did with the 1000 odd I had the first time I posted which is why I still adding results every week and I will keep posting and posting and posting until some of you closed mind ignorant fools realise the sites are RIPPING YOU OFF
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 02:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoMoos
Really, close the thread, archive it, delete new threads on the subject and refer the thread-openers to the archive.

An historic moment, a riggie sees the light, all are happy, close thread, move on.
You could also just not open the thread.
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12-18-2010 , 03:22 AM
Thats just crazy talk.
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12-18-2010 , 05:26 AM
Far to obvious and logical for a riggie.
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12-18-2010 , 06:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Octavian30
Yes I agree with everything you said about perception which is why I now have a detailed database taken from my Pokertracker stats hand by hand becasue that program is too lame to have a facility to search for pre-flop all ins.
Since this thread started I have added nearly 400 preflop all ins to my datatabse - up to 1392 - and the results are still biased by nearly 20% against a reasonable average result.
For instance - Over pair vs under pair - Probability average 80% - my results 69% - only 149 results but over this FY of the 58 results recorded I have actually dropped to 66%
Over cards vs a pair and a pair vs over cards 485 hands - expected average result 51% (more pairs than overcards) - actual result 44%
11 weeks straight I have not been above average in expected results - and yes I know that is the same is tossing a coin heads 11 times straight (1 in 2,048) but it is getting ridiculous. I now track every Pre Flop All In i am involved - 18 categories - I am not above average in one of them - which is a 1 in 131,072 chance - still plausible of cause.
And I know all the stats gurus wlll say 1392 results is not a big enough sample just as they did with the 1000 odd I had the first time I posted which is why I still adding results every week and I will keep posting and posting and posting until some of you closed mind ignorant fools realise the sites are RIPPING YOU OFF
Neverending story as it seems.
Probably you should quit poker or stop whining.
Everybody knows it is a cruel game. These things happens. But there is no connectivity between these and the sites ripping you off. Why would they? Where is the evidence?
Of course I can sympathise with someone running bad, but you should for your own good realise at some point that blaming the sites clue- and pointless does not get you anywhere.
More so, the inability to accept reality probably handicaps you in real life too.
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12-18-2010 , 08:16 AM
Far to obvious and logical for a riggie.
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12-18-2010 , 08:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by okiehustler
Bad beats are part of the game. I understand that. But after absorbing more than my fair share on Poker Stars I switched to Full Tilt six months ago. The first few months were much better over on Full Tilt.

Now Full Tilt is worse than Poker Stars ever was. The past month has been brutal. Tonight I've had pocket aces six times. All six times I lost to someone with a lower pocket pair.

I can't tell you how many times (at least 100 times the past thee weeks) where someone needs one card, especially two or three hours into a tournament, and they hit when odds are 90 to 95% in my favor.

You tell yourself that's poker until it happens time after time after time.

I enjoy playing poker online but I'm about ready to give it up. There doesn't seem to be a site to where it plays out like a casino. You see bad beats in a casino but NOTHING like Full Tilt and Poker Stars back when I played over on that site.

Curious as to others observations. Is there a site that's on the up and up or is it time to retire from online poker where you start to get the feeling the deck literally is stacked against you?
you answered your own question with your post. none of these sites are on the up and up and it doesnt look like they ever will. obviously, the cards are not dealt randomly. i used to enjoy playing as a newer player, since the sofware is programmed to let you win most hands to give you a false sense of being a good player to suck you in. Then, after you accumulate a good profit, its slowly taken away with ridiculous bad beats. best advice, STAY AWAY!
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12-18-2010 , 08:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xevoius
Interesting that you posted arcticbeatle.

I just happen to be following you on PTR to see if you reach your goal and good luck to you with it.

Anyways...

I write software for a living.

Do you know how easy it would be to simply teak the deal algorithm for a poker application. There are a number of ways you could do it that would not be easily detectable and only the engineers working on the code would know how it really worked.

I think that most of their income via rake is generated via microstakes tables which serve as a perfect environment to manipulate. The most anyone might lose is a small tournament buyin or get stacked on a cash table. Do you really think anyone is going to go after them for that kind of loss?

I have become very skeptical of both Pokerstars, Fulltilt and online poker in general since it just seems too easy for them tweak the game to make more cash. I think it would be naive to trust them. I mean this is gambling going on outside the US.

Two easy ways they can make a ton of extra cash is by simply creating more action and not allowing players to dominate the game by letting players that are behind catch up more frequently.

Your estimate of 15k-20k hands for my 100 sessions sounds right but I think it is unreasonable to believe that I have just ran good and have been lucky in my live game.
you are right on the money. the software is programmed 2 different ways. one for heavy rake action, and another for moderate action. bodog and merge network are examples of heavy. ftp and ps would be considered moderate.NOW, the only people who will disagree are total dreamers, idiots, or poker site promoters.
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12-18-2010 , 08:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
you answered your own question with your post. none of these sites are on the up and up and it doesnt look like they ever will. obviously, the cards are not dealt randomly. i used to enjoy playing as a newer player, since the sofware is programmed to let you win most hands to give you a false sense of being a good player to suck you in. Then, after you accumulate a good profit, its slowly taken away with ridiculous bad beats. best advice, STAY AWAY!
Thanks for your fresh, well-thought out views and accompanying evidence.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Octavian30
And I know all the stats gurus wlll say 1392 results is not a big enough sample just as they did with the 1000 odd I had the first time I posted which is why I still adding results every week and I will keep posting and posting and posting until some of you closed mind ignorant fools realise the sites are RIPPING YOU OFF
If you know the sites are ripping you off, why do you keep giving them your money by playing, ******?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 08:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief Justice
Neverending story as it seems.
Probably you should quit poker or stop whining.
Everybody knows it is a cruel game. These things happens. But there is no connectivity between these and the sites ripping you off. Why would they? Where is the evidence?
Of course I can sympathise with someone running bad, but you should for your own good realise at some point that blaming the sites clue- and pointless does not get you anywhere.
More so, the inability to accept reality probably handicaps you in real life too.
sounds to me that you are the only one who has the inablility to accept reality, or just another poker site promoter. any stooge should know by now these online sites are pure rigged.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 09:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
sounds to me that you are the only one who has the inablility to accept reality, or just another poker site promoter. any stooge should know by now these online sites are pure rigged.
You're a paedophile
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 09:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Resistance
You're a paedophile

brilliant argument, And he cant even spell!!!LOL
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 10:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
sounds to me that you are the only one who has the inablility to accept reality, or just another poker site promoter. any stooge should know by now these online sites are pure rigged.
No. Had a pretty bad run over the last 700 hours or so. Hence I can really sympathise with your position in a way.
Nevertheless, even though poker can be pretty discouraging and frustrating, I do not see any evidence which underlines your claim that the sites are rigged.
Asked again: What would be the benefit for the sites?
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 10:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
brilliant argument, And he cant even spell!!!LOL
I was just pointing out that both of us can throw out pointless accusations with no evidence behind them
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 11:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
brilliant argument, And he cant even spell!!!LOL
There is nothing incorrectly spelled in the section you quoted.

I suppose, on the evidence of your posts to date you are too ******ed to be aware of the etymologically correct way to spell 'paedophile'.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 11:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wiki
There is nothing incorrectly spelled in the section you quoted.

I suppose, on the evidence of your posts to date you are too ******ed to be aware of the etymologically correct way to spell 'paedophile'.
ok, fair enough, if you live in the uk that is the correct spelling.

to get to the point though, I was waiting for you Wiki. arent you the imbecile that posted on covers.com with two or three different names and swore that online poker wasnt rigged? that you electricfairyland? not too many people stupid enough to still think online poker is legit.
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12-18-2010 , 11:54 AM
Last message from me. This is for Octavian30. Dont waste your time trying to reason with anybody sticking up for the rigged sites on here. You are up against poker site promoters and will get nowhere. Just know the obvious and leave it at that,bro.
The great "Poker is rigged" debate - Collected threads edition Quote
12-18-2010 , 12:01 PM
idiots. l2play poker.
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12-18-2010 , 12:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTruth5
Last message from me. This is for Octavian30. Dont waste your time trying to reason with anybody sticking up for the rigged sites on here. You are up against poker site promoters and will get nowhere. Just know the obvious and leave it at that,bro.
You should quit. You believe in new player boom switches yet can't seem to figure out that if they were real then all you have to do is create new accounts each week, play high limits for a short time, get boom switched, cash out, and repeat with a new site.


Now you sound like the guy who gets kicked out of a bar screaming "I never wanted to drink there in the first place."

Nobody will listen to you, but I suspect that you are used to that by now in general, so all you have left are parting comments in the character of an angry guy standing on a crate screaming at the sky.

Congrats on quitting poker if you did that - it literally is your only logical choice you have made given you were a losing micro stakes player.

Best of luck after poker in a world that is always conspiring against you, and do the world a favor by keeping your word about your most recent post being your last.

All the best.
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