Quote:
Originally Posted by smithcommajohn
If you do not use a database, it will be like looking at the illusion without a ruler or straight edge. You will never be able to verify reality. Some people need no verification and accept that randomness is something that our minds cannot fully measure on their own. While others, like us, tend to question things when we see something that seems to be "not right".
I don't blame anyone for thinking online poker is rigged, because it shows that their mind is doing its job in seeking patterns. However, finding patterns where none exist and then purporting that they do exist is, in my opinion, the pathway to madness.
Yes I agree with everything you said about perception which is why I now have a detailed database taken from my Pokertracker stats hand by hand becasue that program is too lame to have a facility to search for pre-flop all ins.
Since this thread started I have added nearly 400 preflop all ins to my datatabse - up to 1392 - and the results are still biased by nearly 20% against a reasonable average result.
For instance - Over pair vs under pair - Probability average 80% - my results 69% - only 149 results but over this FY of the 58 results recorded I have actually dropped to 66%
Over cards vs a pair and a pair vs over cards 485 hands - expected average result 51% (more pairs than overcards) - actual result 44%
11 weeks straight I have not been above average in expected results - and yes I know that is the same is tossing a coin heads 11 times straight (1 in 2,048) but it is getting ridiculous. I now track every Pre Flop All In i am involved - 18 categories - I am not above average in one of them - which is a 1 in 131,072 chance - still plausible of cause.
And I know all the stats gurus wlll say 1392 results is not a big enough sample just as they did with the 1000 odd I had the first time I posted which is why I still adding results every week and I will keep posting and posting and posting until some of you closed mind ignorant fools realise the sites are RIPPING YOU OFF