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Originally Posted by Easyonkemp
No sites would be so stupid to rigg their rng in a way which could be shown at normal hand analysis and statistics. What you need to look at is players winnings deposits withdraws and activity and I believe time matters as well.
Those two statements are not independent. Any manipulation changes the statistics no matter what criteria are used.
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But think about it. Why wouldnt a million dollar company improve their profit with lets say 10% and only a risk of 99,5% not getting caught.
I've made a similar prop bet in this thread several times before. If you can describe a plausible scheme where a site can increase their rake by 10%, in a way that is not obviously and easily detectable in available hand history databases, and is not clearly debunked by posters in this thread, I'll transfer you $100 on Stars or FT. Your scheme must show the math. You don't have to put up any money to accept the challenge.
If you search this thread, you will find this thought experiement has been done many times. A 10% increase in rake by deal manipulation is very unlikely if not impossible without a grossly obvious statistical bias in hand histories.
PS - we're not talking "a million dollar company" here. The top few sites are multi-Billion dollar companies, with huge fortunes at risk. They have boards of directors, stockholders, and dozens of executives who would have to be in on it. A rogue owner running a little "million dollar company" out of a storefront in Costa Rica could do it. A major poker site is an entirely different animal.
Last edited by spadebidder; 01-04-2010 at 11:55 PM.