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Originally Posted by Skyhand
On top of that
4. less players will make SN
5. players will hit less milestones
6. players will hit less stellar rewards
Has all of that been taken into account?
Yes.
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I'd bet all these changes decrease overall rakeback by at least 20%,
meaning Stars' revenue from cash games increases at least by 6%, not 1.5%.
Ofc Stars doesn't disclose their numbers publicly, cause fellow statistic nerds would easily find the 1.5% figure to be complete bs and the true number to be much higher.
This is going to get in to a circular argument here and it will be tough to really add anything else to the discussion.
All I can really say is i would have guessed figures like you did, but after spending a lot of time looking at confidential data, I agreed with this ~1.5% figure. It is not intuitive. There's little else we can really add to this discussion, although again I think some players will write their own trip reports that will go in to the processes in more detail.
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Originally Posted by makelovenotwar
All things being equal do all these changes really work out as a 2% rake reduction for NL 200 6max?
For individual games specifically, we are waiting to report this data.
As an aside to all: One important point to stress is that individuals will see differing rake changes depending on how many people you play against. Your distribution of 3-handed, 4-handed etc will be different to what PokerStars deals. It is also intuitive to think that professional players as a whole may slightly differ to exactly the distribution PS deals. The changes do include a shift, increases at 5-handed, decreases at 6-handed, as a result of the change. In fixed limit, it was a big increase at 3-handed. These issues were taken in to account in terms of 'punishing' certain scenarios, however the driving consideration was the overall rake reduction based on the distribution of how many players are at the tables.