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What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table?

01-09-2017 , 04:16 PM
Got 5 AA, 2 KK, 1 QQ and 2 JJ all in 70 minutes. Lost all but 2 AA where everyone folded the Flop and I 'had' to donk out from UTG both times.

We switched to PLO and in the first hand I turn top full house on 677J and lose to quad 7s.

What's so rare about that? I only lost 2.4 BI in the whole mess of 80 minutes. GL
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-11-2017 , 09:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_on_the_spot
Once saw a guy get AA 3x in a row

0.000009% chance of that happening
I actually got JJ three times in a row just last week which prompted me to think about the probabilities associated this sort of thing.

Your numbers are right, there's a 1/10793861 of it happening, but that's only if you ask "what is the probability that I get AA on the NEXT three hands" (or any other specific three hands).

In reality you don't count from there - everyone gets dealt AA sometimes so a more reasonable question is "given that I've just been dealt AA, what is the probability that I'll get AA again in both of the next two hands". This is *only* 1/48841 (~0.002%)

In reality, if you play a lot of hands in your life then there's a reasonable chance it'll happen. For example, if you play a million hands (which, of course, will take a live player many years) then you have about 1/11 (~9%) chance of seeing AA three times in a row. You'd need to play approximately 7.5 million hands to have a better than even chance of seeing it.

Of course, players 'see' a lot more hands than they play themselves - so the chances of seeing someone else do it will be better than the numbers for just you.
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-11-2017 , 12:34 PM
Numbers look good ...

1) For pocket pairs .. multiply by 221 for each successive time you want it to happen.

2) For non-pairs .. multiply by 'only' 83.

Everyone has a 'hand of the day' that the dealer just can't seem to stop giving you. And almost every time someone will comment that "Why don't I ever get AA that often." without realizing that its basically 3 times harder to duplicate pocket pairs than 2 random unpaired cards.

I've almost given up explaining this to opponents if they are squawking about it. GL
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-12-2017 , 01:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by answer20
Numbers look good ...

1) For pocket pairs .. multiply by 221 for each successive time you want it to happen.

2) For non-pairs .. multiply by 'only' 83.

Everyone has a 'hand of the day' that the dealer just can't seem to stop giving you. And almost every time someone will comment that "Why don't I ever get AA that often." without realizing that its basically 3 times harder to duplicate pocket pairs than 2 random unpaired cards.

I've almost given up explaining this to opponents if they are squawking about it. GL


But why can't I ever get AK that often?

What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-13-2017 , 12:40 AM
1/2 PLO,
I have: Q 9 2 2
He has: 8 7 6 6
Some sort of raise PF

Flop: Q 6 3
He bets, I raise, he rr, I go insane and shove all in.

Turn 2, River 2
He calmly says "Nice hand" as I pull in over $2k
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-13-2017 , 11:35 AM
This should be in the absurd thinking thread for your play in the hand
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-13-2017 , 01:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luigijerk
1/2 PLO,
I have: Q 9 2 2
He has: 8 7 6 6
Some sort of raise PF

Flop: Q 6 3
He bets, I raise, he rr, I go insane and shove all in.

Turn 2, River 2
He calmly says "Nice hand" as I pull in over $2k
Where do you play?
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-13-2017 , 01:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EfromPegTown
This should be in the absurd thinking thread for your play in the hand
He had two pair though
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-13-2017 , 01:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kurn, son of Mogh
Where do you play?
Hahaha, Horseshoe, Hammond, IN. I swear I'm a winning player, but I occasionally go mad on incorrect reads.
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-14-2017 , 01:02 AM
Clearly put you opponent on a flush draw so gotta get it in.
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-15-2017 , 03:21 AM
Lol wow
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote
01-15-2017 , 10:10 AM
Doesn't poker reward aggressive play?
What's the rarest thing you've ever seen at a live poker table? Quote

      
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