Quote:
Originally Posted by madlex
Villain making a statement like that is basically like him turning over his hand. If you know his exact holding, you bet the maximum you think he's going to call with that specific hand. If he doesn't make that statement, you try to find the betsize that maximizes your EV against his whole range.
This veers into strategy but what exactly is his whole range if it's not exactly Ax? Villain hasn't narrowed his range at all.
Or maybe just slightly - I guess it's possible Villain had AA and was sandbagging to tarp or to hit the BBJ.
Most of the time when these things come up, angleshooters are right in the range you should be aiming for. They're not at the top of their range (in which case they're happy to let you bet) and they're not at the bottom of their range (in which case usually they just fold). They're almost always in the middle, where they're afraid you're going to put them in a tough spot.
In this specific case, V doesn't want to get bluffed off of a chop but doesn't want to pay to see quads. H should be pricing an amount that reflects that concern and puts V in a tough spot. And that's usually less than all-in, unless the pot is big, in which case Hero should have snap shoved no matter what the river was.
And if you're into Hollywooding, on QQA2-Q, Hero should have pretended to be frustrated as if he had AK and the river just cost him half the pot. Slam your fist on the table, push out an uncounted pile of chips, and say, "nice river" in your most sarcastic voice. If asked how much it is, act annoyed and ask, "does it matter?" If Villain tries to welch out of calling, argue you get the whole pot because he didn't call and then watch him vociferously argue he did call.