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Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game?

11-20-2018 , 03:44 PM
$2-5 game
V1 raise $25
V2 3-bet to $90
V1 flats
flop AAK
V1 checks
V2 very very drunk says to dealer, is there a BB jackpot
Dealer yes
V2 what over what?
dealer Quads beat must have pocket pair in hand.
V2 how much
Dealer over $160k, $80k to loser $40k to winner, rest divided up
V2 I got quad Aces ALL-IN for $900 more
table grumbles at him
V1 folds KK face up
Table really pissed now
ask V2 why?
V2 if he's going to have a chance at $80k it should cost him!
DUH why should I let him hit it for free?
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 03:54 PM
Blatantly fake story.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 03:55 PM
Plus he may have just invalidated the jackpot by talking about it and telling what cards he has.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 04:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by All-inMcLovin
Blatantly fake story.
I was the V1
Daytona Beach 2010-2011 snowbird season

I hit it in Feb 2010 , I had the winner in a 24k BBJ , I got 6k

got back to FL that winter and it hadn't been hit since

V2 tabled his AA and shoved his chips in
I tabled my hand and said fold
I wasn't stacking off on a 1 outer no matter what the math odds stated
900 to call to either lose the pot or lose the pot but collect 80K

no thanks
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by snowman
$2-5 game
V1 raise $25
V2 3-bet to $90
V1 flats
flop AAK
V1 checks
V2 very very drunk says to dealer, is there a BB jackpot
Dealer yes
V2 what over what?
dealer Quads beat must have pocket pair in hand.
V2 how much
Dealer over $160k, $80k to loser $40k to winner, rest divided up
V2 I got quad Aces ALL-IN for $900 more
table grumbles at him
V1 folds KK face up
Table really pissed now
ask V2 why?
V2 if he's going to have a chance at $80k it should cost him!
DUH why should I let him hit it for free?
V2 is correct, and V1 made a massively negative EV fold.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 04:14 PM
Yeah V1 can’t be this dumb.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 04:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by All-inMcLovin
Yeah V1 can’t be this dumb.
Ask his Wife
She'll confirm he is
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-20-2018 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SpewingIsMyMove
V2 is correct, and V1 made a massively negative EV fold.
Except....

Quote:
Originally Posted by chillrob
Plus he may have just invalidated the jackpot by talking about it and telling what cards he has.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-21-2018 , 02:01 PM
So wait is this the part that's the most absurd poker "thinking"?

Quote:
Originally Posted by snowman
I wasn't stacking off on a 1 outer no matter what the math odds stated
900 to call to either lose the pot or lose the pot but collect 80K

no thanks
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-21-2018 , 06:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoogenhiem
Posting on behalf of a friend with his permission. The game is 1/2 at a local casino. Table limps to Hero in bb with AK who makes it $17, many calls and the button jams for $70. Hero iso's for $400 since button is a known gambler. Utg+1 tanks for awhile then says "I think you have AA and you have KK," pointing at the button and Hero respectively, "so I can make something happen" and calls it off for $400 with QJo. Runout J4468 so a little bad beat story to go with the absurd thinking.

Cliffs: not only did guy call off $400 when in for $17 with QJo but did so *after* putting opponents on AA and KK
He was going for the straight or 3 of a kind.
Plus, he knew he might have been wrong about AA & KK
This is called bluff-catcher equity.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-21-2018 , 07:18 PM
I’ve been re-reading this thread for the LULz.

I played live today and the board was AKQ2. I was hoping somebody would have the 3 for the “wrap-around” straight but everybody folded
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-22-2018 , 10:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
He was going for the straight or 3 of a kind.
Plus, he knew he might have been wrong about AA & KK
This is called bluff-catcher equity.
This is called constructing a complex, incorrect explanation for a simple phenomenon.
(He just wanted to gamble.....)
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-25-2018 , 10:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by All-inMcLovin
Yeah V1 can’t be this dumb.
My only concern would be the discussion of the BB somehow voiding it even if it hits. Otherwise, yes, massively -EV to fold.. He has roughly 4.5% equity of the 80k jackpot which is about $3600, and it's costing him $900 to call. I guess I wouldn't totally fault someone for not wanting to stick in $900, not knowing what their bankroll situation is, in a super high variance spot. It's a slam-dunk GII with the kings though, as long as the table talk hasn't disqualified the BB jackpot. I know taxes would need to be paid on the jackpot, but you're still left with a very +EV spot.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-25-2018 , 11:29 PM
Yes, the 25% automatic withholding, plus the additional 10-25% in federal and state taxes you'll pay on the jackpot win. And the tip. And the EV lost while you wait for it to be verified. And the bankroll issue you mention.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-26-2018 , 10:57 AM
Straying away from thread title a bit ...
1) The 'automatic' withholding is for federal income tax, not sure if dinesh meant to duplicate the federal or not after the comma. (Yes, professional gamblers would owe full FICA/MED on top of the income tax.) You definitely would want to make a State Income Tax voluntary deposit before you file your return ... Most states don't like surprises, or shortfalls, when you file.

The backdoor to this is to have your Social Security card with you and then you can waive the automatic withholding. It takes another form to fill out but can happen. Obviously most of us don't carry that around with us but I know a few tournament players who have it with them for larger tournaments.

2) Most BBJ promotions have language that prohibits any discussion 'during the hand'. Thus the famous 'Flamingo' word that can pop up in Blind v Blind spots when they would normally chop. In most cases Surveillance would really have to press for verification of any comments made during the hand. Would anyone (Dealer/Player) really admit to something that may void the BBJ? But an exposed hand would certainly be hard ignore 'on the tape'. GL
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-26-2018 , 11:22 AM
IANATL.

25% is automatically withheld, but you owe federal taxes on it according to your actual tax bracket for the year. Winning a large enough jackpot can easily put you into a federal bracket that owes more than 25%, especially if you're single. (Though the reverse is also true, if you in a bracket taxed at less than 25% you will get a refund for the excess amount.)

There may be a backdoor to avoid automatic withholding (though this is the first I am hearing of one, all the online sources say there must be an automatic withholding of 25%, or 28% of you don't provide a TIN), but there is no backdoor to avoid paying the tax you owe on the winnings. And unlike regular poker winnings where no one other than you really knows how much you won or lost, if you win a jackpot you will get a W-2G, and you can bet the casino is going to file it with the IRS on you.

Last edited by dinesh; 11-26-2018 at 11:33 AM.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-26-2018 , 12:40 PM
We are on same page. Not sure where the tournament guys are getting their information but it clearly states that poker tournament winnings in excess of $5000 over the buy-in 'will' be subject to withholding at 24% and end up on a W2-G.

The BBJ would come down to how they classify it. If it ends up on a 1099-Misc, like a High Hand, then it could slip through without withholding. But there's also a clause about 300x the wager and I'm not sure how they would classify a wager for a BBJ jackpot.

Yes, you always 'owe' tax, it's just a matter of how and when you pay it. GL
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-26-2018 , 04:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord_Crispen
Is this really that hard?
You wouldn't think so. You also wouldn't think that it's that difficult to send a new player to the table of that stake with the fewest players, or checking the transfer list before seating new players, but those seem to be as easy as they appear they would be.

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-26-2018 , 08:38 PM
Some guy today bluffed all-in with an OESD on the turn; hand was 3-ways and the 3rd player was all-in on the flop. I called with top pair and the nut flush draw and scooped when I rivered trips. All-in player flopped 2-pair.

Guy showed the OESD and my jaw hit the floor and immediately blurted out "What! Why would you bet that?!"

And he said "well I had get rid of the competition with my draw to the nuts!"

Uh huh. First of all, your draw was not a draw to the nuts. And what did you think you would accomplish if I folded? Beat the all-in player with 9 high if you didn't make your straight? Wow.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-27-2018 , 12:11 AM
i was playing online. there was a 3 way pot. one shorter stack was all in and the other two had a decent amount size stacks behind. the two remaining players check it all the way to river. there is no side pot. one of the remaining players jams all in with 5 high on river. why? you're not stealing a side pot? if you get called your toast? your not stealing the main pot with 5 high? why are you jamming 45s into a 3 way pot with no side pot and no chance to win main pot? makes no sense. the board was like 23qjt and he had nut low.

Last edited by seat; 11-27-2018 at 12:21 AM.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-27-2018 , 04:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GuitarDean
Some guy today bluffed all-in with an OESD on the turn; hand was 3-ways and the 3rd player was all-in on the flop. I called with top pair and the nut flush draw and scooped when I rivered trips. All-in player flopped 2-pair.

Guy showed the OESD and my jaw hit the floor and immediately blurted out "What! Why would you bet that?!"

And he said "well I had get rid of the competition with my draw to the nuts!"

Uh huh. First of all, your draw was not a draw to the nuts. And what did you think you would accomplish if I folded? Beat the all-in player with 9 high if you didn't make your straight? Wow.
Some of these just have to be levels
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-27-2018 , 08:00 AM
GD .. Although very fishy, I'm not so sure that he's 'absurd' in his logic.

If you could increase/guarantee your outs by 25% would you do so?
If you could 'maybe' also make your cards live (6 more outs), would you do so?

For the most part we know that this thinking in the long run is a stretch for sure, but it is thinking that we want at the table.

I would probably get scolded for either one of two things here by the regs as well ... One, you want him to shove so be a gracious winner. And two, no teaching at the table! GL
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-27-2018 , 10:21 AM
Dean,

These players build big stacks by getting involved in huge pots (without much equity). They remember the times they have a massive stack compared to the rest of the field. The days where things go their way justify in their mind that they're going it right. Please stop telling them that they're doing it wrong. They are literally dumping money into the prize pool every week with very little chance to win. Why are you trying to stop that? That's the absurd part, as usual.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-29-2018 , 03:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by answer20
One, you want him to shove so be a gracious winner. And two, no teaching at the table! GL
I know I know, I try to be, but my comment just burst out of my mouth without even thinking.

This was a cash game btw, and his shove was quite the overbet after the first player went all-in already. I actually tanked for a while thinking it's very possible he has a set and I only have flush outs, so yea, immediate flabbergasted reaction when I saw his hand.

Last edited by GuitarDean; 11-29-2018 at 03:48 PM.
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote
11-29-2018 , 05:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord_Crispen
I'm posting this so I can learn myself, but the dude wasn't actually arguing that they should blind people out that register at the time. He was asking why he is "punished" for registering early when he could just as easily just show up later.

What am I missing? This practice does seem kinda bleh to me and I think there should be a better solution in place outside of "just sit down and play". I would think that registering early would be just as favorable to the casino as it would to the player. Casino gets butts in chairs early in guarantee tournaments and allows them to be less busy when the tournament starts, and the player gets to ensure that they are not unable to play due to situations with alternates or not enough dealers/tables etc.

Help me understand why it's 'sooooo absurd' and that this guy has zero legitimate gripes about why they put a stack out and start blinding him off while someone else can walk in the door and start with a full stack. (can't they just wait to put his stack out when he is ready to actually start or at the end of registration? They can track early registration and put his stack out at the end of the registration period. His money is in there and there is zero risk to the tournament operators if he never actually shows up to play.)
Most tournaments I've seen (save wsop) give you bonus chips for pre registering.

If you make it to the second day of a tournament do you think your chips should only come into in play when you get there?
Most absurd poker "thinking" you have heard in a live game? Quote

      
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