Quote:
Originally Posted by el_grande
Like I said, the turn bet in itself wasn't that fantastic. Once you raise flop with QT after a guy blatantly reps JJ+ and you have 6 players behind, you aren't raising for value. You have to continue on the turn. Raising flop and checking turn is horrible. The real decision for Dwan was whether to fold or raise flop. He raised because he probably felt he could take it away in position from Barry later.
So it worked out great that he also got Eastgate to release, and it's a great hand to discuss for the 3-way theory... But he had to bet turn.
Exactly. Dwan knew Barry was the least likely person to have a 2, so if no one else had one he could take the pot.
Where he got lucky is when Peter announced having a 2 with his call, Barry made a terrible call behind him.
Without that bad call putting the best hand in the middle, Dwan can't make that squeeze play on the turn.
For one thing, the pot would be smaller making the huge bet reek of bluff. Dwan would have had to make a "value" bet and then fire the big bullet on the river.
But at that point nothing short of "all-in" would have shaken Peter off the pot (assuming a brick) and I doubt even Durrr could pull the trigger on that one.
Why Barry is beating himself up for not winning a pot when he didn't have the best hand is what I don't get. He made a 27K mistake not the 230K mistake he is regretting.