Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I think there will be less than 500 deaths in the US. That's a bold statement considering 20,000 have died from the flu in the US this flu season. They dont close schools every year for the flu. They dont play professional and college basketball games with no fans in the stands every year for the flu. They don't do anything special about the flu. They just accept that 10,000s will die every year.
But my main point is that this virus is no worse than past viruses. The media is just doing everything they can to put everyone into full on panic mode and its working.
Might want to check your variables and rerun your sim on this...if that fails - maybe you need to reboot your computer, your estimate of 500 is way low. Today we are at 29,215 known reported (deaths) in the US. So you are off from a factor of 58.4 times your estimate.
Well maybe it is a bold statement you made - boldly wrong - but hey - everyone has been wrong before.
I guess this why you are a poker player and not a Health Scientist. You said to check back in a few weeks and you would say " I told you so " Hmm - what do you say now?
No need to respond - alot of people have under estimated the problem and over estimated the problem - everyone is not an expert in everything, but calling this a bad cold or a flu is alot like your estimate - way off.
just some thoughts- i dont what to have this come across as flaming you or anything, just offering some thoughts and opinions - just like you have done.
Keep Safe, in time the poker community will be back at the tables.