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Originally Posted by SpewingIsMyMove
So, who have you interacted with (or plan to interact with in the next 14 days)? Because you also are exposing them.
One of the reasons why containment will fail is too many people placing their uninformed opinions over the advice of subject matter experts, or thinking only of themselves and not the risk to the community.
Containment has already failed. It failed weeks ago.
In the first address to the nation that I remember Trump giving, where he said something like "we have 15 cases. In a short time it will go down to 5 and then to 0" the next person to speak was a Dr. and he said "it is not a question of if but when [it will spread]"
Quote:
Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
Don't think it's dumb to continue on with life. Many projections are for most getting it eventually anyway, so better early or late ... not during the surge in the middle. Say you drastically halt life and sacrifice most everything for nine months then get it anyway, which is one likely scenario. We're still way more likely to die of something else while we are surrendering the pursuit of happiness to one possible cause of demise, which we don't do for any of the other possibilities. There are infectious diseases which call for totally draconian measures, bubonic plague for one, ebola, etc. I get the shape of the curve thing -- must be a classic calculus problem -- we slow it by distancing but not by quitting life.
Just a take.
I have seen no projections that "most" will get it. All I have seen are ballpark projections that 20% to 60% of the population could get it. Or 30% to 70%.
And one of the ways that it can be held to the lower numbers are if we can delay the spread of the disease until a vaccine is ready.
Another way is totally random and depends on how the virus does in the summer months.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rizzeedizzee
Let's say we succeed in taking countermeasures sufficient to slow the spread of the disease until the summer, when supposedly conditions will be less conductive to it spreading in general. Is the idea that when it reappears in the fall or early winter - and it will reappear unless it truly burns out, which ain't happening unless enough people catch it or it's eradicated around the world - there will be an available vaccine or some anti-viral cocktail that will have been discovered? Seems like a reach, but then again what do I know. ...
A vaccine won't be out there for at least a year (from a couple of weeks ago) according to experts.
On a different note, Foxwoods (FW) is shutting down their poker room on Monday through Thursday (at least). And same with their Mega Stacks tournament. They will play the last Day 1's of the $400 on Sunday and then Day 2 on Monday. But their other scheduled Monday Tournaments will be cancelled.
I had stupidly argued with my wife that I could go play this week and then isolate myself for 4 or 5 days after the last tourney and then come home if I had no systems (or die if I did). And then there are no tournies for me to play in (aside from Sunday's).
According to a FW Floor, there have been no cases of Coronavirus yet by any of their customers. And if anybody looks sick (either coughing, sneezing, or sweaty) they are looking to remove them.
I made another suggestion that hopefully will be implemented (OK not much chance of that). They should have somebody at every entrance taking all patron's temperature (like they check all bags).