Quote:
Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth
Hi fastlerner:
I cover this precise thing in my book Real Poker Psychology. The reality is that he only made one full house and not two. That's because if you play long enough the probability that you'll make a full house is 1. Then if you start counting, you've only made one full house. Notice that this is much different from picking a five-minute interval ahead of time and seeing how many full houses you'll make.
This is just one example of how games like poker, which are based on probability theory can seem counterintuitive to many players and cause mental issues unless you understand that certain unusual events, such as making two full houses in five minutes, are not really happening as often as they seem.
Best wishes,
Mason
About 10 years ago I played a 50 table, $250 buy-in tournament and on the bubble, I was dealt AA on the button and then AA in the CO and flopped sets both times.
Was I running like a God? No.
If you think about it, you have had some really good runs of cards too.
Pay attention to Mason, he's not just trying to sell a book. He is trying to help you (well, and sell a book