Why do Fish make the plays that they do?? Most Fish get it in as a 30% favorite on a regular basis and sometimes they hit (which sucks).
Quick example that I have seen at a casino at 1/2 NL in Florida
The flop contained
and our fish called with 4
2
for only a flush draw to hit. This situation had lots of betting and action before the Fish even called
3 Players (Early, Fish, Late)
Early Checks, Fish bet 15 into a 20, Late Raises to 50, Early Reraises all in to 130, Fish Calls for 100 total, Late Calls 130 total
Fish can win (20+100+100+100=320) with Side Pot of 60
Back to Fish...
He calls his 100 stack with a 4 high flush draw and with action behind him who has shown strength by reraising the flop (however Fish may think that this player will call the bet which makes a larger pot).
Fish Pot Odds=(20+15+300/85)=335/85=
3.9:1 -->25%
Hand Odds (9 outs)=((52-2-3)/9)=47/9=
5.2:1 -->19%
Not correct odds to call because its 6% expensive and I assumed that the
3rd player will call the bet also
The hand plays out where the Fish was up against Top/Top and a better Flush Draw. (The Fishes Face was priceless when he saw the other diamonds)
To the Point:
1)What enticed the Fish to play a Flush Draw like this? Was it the Size of the Pot or type of draw or Both?
I'm convinced that Fish don't use Math make good decisions and in this case they don't use position either.
Adam