Quote:
Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth
Hi Jay:
There's a statistical problem with what you're saying. And it's that you're forming your hypothesis after all the data is in and not before.
What you should do in the future is that when this happens again immediately form your hypothesis that something may be up with this hand. Then look at the results of the hand to see if there is any correlation. Notice that this is a lot different from looking at the hand results at the end and then thinking you may have noticed something earlier in the hand.
Best wishes,
Mason
If it wasn't such an unusual situation, I would agree. However, it is quite rare, something on the order of every 5-10,000 hours of play. And yes, when it happens something unusual is going on.
It has to be a tell, but I'll be dammed if I can figure it out.