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Sample size large enough? Sample size large enough?

12-23-2018 , 07:29 PM
To what extend can we reduce the influence of variance given this sample size and the relatively variance-friendly format in comparison to MTT's with larger fields?
Can I expect around the same ROI/at worst see it drop of a bit when I put in similar volume next month, or is there a decent probability that it still drops a lot? I'm probably the best player in my player pool so I'll be fine, but I was wondering this given the high ROI. Can't really compare it to previous results as my volume has been all over the place the last couple of months.

Period:
December

Game type:
Single Table Tournaments, 5-MAX, Turbo

Total games played:
385

Average buy-in (all games were this exact buy-in, so there's no deviation):
€25,-

Total Buy-in amount:
€9505.00

Rake paid:
€471.69

Total income:
€12,043.53

Total profit:
€2,538.53

ROI:
26,71%

Last edited by OG_Tuff; 12-23-2018 at 07:34 PM.
Sample size large enough? Quote
12-23-2018 , 09:46 PM
What'a the prize structure?
Sample size large enough? Quote
12-24-2018 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
What'a the prize structure?
Prize structure:
#1 €79.17
#2 €39.58
#3 €0,-
#4 €0,-
#5 €0,-

Blind structure:
Blinds increase every 3 minutes

Blind levels:
15/30
20/40
25/50
30/60
40/80
50/100
60/120
80/160
100/200
120/240, 25 ante
150/300, 25 ante
200/400, 50 ante
250/500, 50 ante
300/600, 50 ante
Sample size large enough? Quote
12-24-2018 , 11:32 AM
The following is from a SNG program I wrote, which provides an analysis of your performance based on the investment, prize structure and your ROI. Because of your good ROI in 385 tournaments, you can be pretty confident that you are a winning player with only 50 tournaments showing a profit. The chance of going bankrupt in the next 500 tournaments starting with a bankroll of 10 buy-ins is 5%. This was based on the assumption that when in the money you finished 1st and 2nd 50/50.

Sample size large enough? Quote

      
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