Probability of this scenario ? :)
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 503
over a sample of 5000 hands, how likely is it that 2 hands occur, in which on the flop 2 players were heads-up, and either already on the flop or on the turn both held a set and one player made quads on the river?
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 4,986
Assuming only heads up hands pre-flop
BOTH PAIR 0.35%
BOTH SET by TURN|both pair 1.94%
QUADS by RIVER|both set 4.55%
ALL HAPPENS 0.00031% = 1 in 325,000 hands
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 503
