Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
He has no interest in drinking, and I don't think anyone believes differently. Despite all of the powerful, verifiable evidence disproving his belief - all he will do is cherry pick through the data to find some tidbits that he can cling to to further his belief.
That said, this thread actually evolved into something that usually does not happen, where some actual discussion of statistical methods and data analysis took place, along with some real data being used.
That certainly helped further expose the OP for the non-expert that he is in these areas, but that was not the underlying agenda, which made it an interesting read. In some regard - what the OP does at this point (even though we can all pretty much guess that he will find a way to keep his obsession going) does not matter.
I will accept if I am wrong when I finish analysing the data. At the moment I am looking at the numbers, so far both sets of results from both tests have shown more under's on the second test. That sir is a difference, and if further tests show this to be a repeat occurrence, then there is a problem.
Also we have not done the preliminary tests using card 1 and card 10, which again may show something.
I do not make final conclusions based on only two sets of test results.
I know exactly what I am looking for in the results. Even if I find the numbers to be ok, then I have got a long winded task of looking at the sequences.
Added- If both test are equal in results, then because of variance,
There is a 1/2 chance the first test has more under's than the second test. each time the test is run
There is a 1/2 chance the second test has more under's than the first test . each time the test is run
Upto yet 2/2 for the second test.
Last edited by pkdk; 03-10-2018 at 09:23 AM.