Quote:
Originally Posted by pkdk
With all due respect stop looking at the numbers as if they are some sort of magic. You can't logically agree with a statement then say the logic fails because the numbers work, If the logic fails , the numbers do not work and any calculation would be wrong. Your calculation is wrong , not the logic is what I am saying to you.
Consider you agreed that you do not know with a certainty any of the two boxes have a prize. So how can you state a first value when the value could be 0, 1, or 2?
1. The statement that there could be 0,1 or 2 prizes in the two boxes and we don’t know which is correct.
2. The statement that each box has a 50% chance to contain a prize is also correct.
3. The following statements are also correct:
There is a 25% chance that neither box has a prize.
There is a 25% chance that both boxes have a prize
There is a 50% chance that one box has a prize and the other does not.
There is a 75% chance that one box or both boxes contain a prize.
There is a 25% chance that neither box contain a prize.
All of the statements above are correct at the same time, including the statement in number 1.
I guess I would suggest that you review some elementary school textbooks on fractions (1/2 does in fact equal 2/4) and then when ready try find a county college, or something similar, that has a probability class that you can take.