Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
Without doing the calc, I doubt you having one of the 3 card suit on the board changes the chances significantly of villain having a flush. Now to do the calc. assuming a 5 card board:
Without a blocker in hero’s hand,
Pr(villain has 2 clubs = flush| you don’t have a club) = C(10, 2)/C(45,2) =4.54%
With a blocker in hero’s hand,
Pr(villain has 2 clubs| you have 1 club) = C(9,2)/C(45,2) = 3.64%
In absolute terms, less than a 1% difference; since the probabilities are small, the difference will also be small. So, although the relative difference is 20%, it is not too significant in terms of how one would play the hand.
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Thank-you Sir! As someone who is blessed with a form of dyslexia you are a god send. I sorta felt what you said, wasn't sure, but did know that someone here would,