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 03-25-2010, 08:40 PM #1 JJSCOTT2 old hand   Join Date: Sep 2006 Location: Vienna, VA Posts: 1,327 NCAA bracket odds I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios: 1.) you pick every game randoml 2.) you pick the highest seed in every game 3.) you pick based on your feelings about each game
 03-25-2010, 08:44 PM #2 Zeno Le Misanthrope     Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Spitsbergen Posts: 14,847 Re: NCAA bracket odds Odds are (mostly) the purview of the probability folks, so post moved..... -Zeno
03-25-2010, 08:44 PM   #3
EvilSteve

Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: 2p2 afterlife
Posts: 13,199
Re: NCAA bracket odds

Quote:
 Originally Posted by JJSCOTT2 I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios: 1.) you pick every game randoml
p = 1/2^63

Quote:
 2.) you pick the highest seed in every game
Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).

Quote:
p = 1 if you're God.

03-25-2010, 09:50 PM   #4
teliot
centurion

Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 164
Re: NCAA bracket odds

Quote:
 Originally Posted by EvilSteve Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).
This information is available on wikipedia.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Me...st-round_games

Sample size is not perfect though, especially for the rarer matchups.

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