Quote:
Originally Posted by BruceZ
Try the one I asked spadebidder yesterday, it's more interesting:
You have a run calculator for which you can enter 3 numbers m,n,p and it will tell you the probability of at least 1 run of length at least m of events with probability p in n trials. For example, if n=100, m=5, p=0.5 it will tell you the probability that you will get at least 5 consecutive heads in 100 flips of a fair coin. What numbers would you enter to compute the probability of 5 consecutive heads OR tails in 100 coin flips? Note that these are not independent events.
My first 3 guesses are, without any checking or real thinking....
> Double the flips, otherwise unchanged
> 1 minus the probability squared, otherwise unchanged
> m = 4, otherwise unchanged
...will have a think now.