Hello, so I have a question related to the game of Dramaha 49.

It is a split pot game where the best Omaha high hand splits with the draw hand with the most "points".

aces and broadways are all 1 point, while everything else is valued the same as their rank, for example the nut draw hand is TTTT9 for 49 points

Suppose we have 7766 (26 points) vs T875 (30 points) and each player will be drawing one card. Taking the cards we have seen out of the deck, the unseen cards left have a mean of 4.14 and a standard deviation of 3.20.

How big of a favorite is the T875 on the draw side? Is there a way to quickly derive this probability using the mean and standard deviation supplied?

I know the T875 is a very large favorite because by my quick calc the 7766 will draw a card that either locks him out or at best tie around 69%. Thus T875 probably has around 85% equity or so, but is there a reasonably quick way to derive something using the mean and std?

Thanks!

Probably not too hard to do in a spreadsheet but just wondering if there was a magic formula like if you could assume a distribution?

Yeah, was kind of easy with a spreadsheet, T875 has 89% equity as it turned out