Had a hand last night where I raise A
J
to $15 from the Cutoff. I get called by the button and the BB. BB is a reg, button villain is a Russian man, looks about 60--haven't seen him before.
Flop ($47) T
7
3
BB checks and I decide this board is decent to C-bet $25 as I think BB is usually folding and a lot of cards improve my hand OTT. BTN calls, BB folds.
Turn ($97) T
7
3
K
This is a great card for me so I bet $60. BTN thinks a moment and calls.
River ($217) T
7
3
K
4
I think for about 20 seconds, then pick up a stack of $125. Villain immediately picks up all his chips and holds them out as if to call. He doesn't do it subtly either--sticks them well past the betting line. I set my chips down to think some more and he sets his down. I pick them back up, he picks his stack back up and sticks it out there. At this point I'm pretty confused. Either this is classic strong-means-weak behavior or he is pulling a reverse tell with a flush to try to get me to bet, and I can't decide which. I think he has either the flush or something like AT/JT, maybe KT, possibly even 98 or a hand like AQ one diamond and he wants to bluff me out of the pot thinking I have a T or a K.
I tank about a minute total and finally just check. He insta-shoves. I fold obviously as all I beat is 98.
But what does villain likely have here? What does the chip mirroring fake-out thing mean? And when he insta-shoves, is that strong-means-weak or what?
After the insta-shove I don't think he has just a T as he should check behind there, unless he thinks I have a K and wants me to fold it. But after the insta-shove I'm leaning towards he had 98, AQ with a diamond, a flush, or KT.