Quote:
Originally Posted by poskid
Best chip/hands tell that I've noticed in LHE is the hands shaking which means big/monster hand or the chips being sloppily tossed in meaning weakness versus a bet placed deliberately and cleanly meaning they have something. Tons of players do the chip toss versus clean bets almost constantly and is a very reliable tell from players that seem to "mix in" these chip styles.
I couldn't agree more that these two particular tells are extremely reliable. It is very unlikely that any player you come across who bets big with shaky hands hasn't got the nuts. Pretty much the same level of reliability with the aggressive betting, but that could be easier to 'fake'. I've actually had a big call from this type of bet when I DID have the hand. The rest is an anecdote:
So it's on the the river - big pot and we're near the tourney bubble - the opponent, bad player he was - can hardly ever make a correct decision, announces, "I know he's got the flush". I had the nuts, and he's umming and aahing, moaning and groaning, and eventually he checks.
So he carries on whilst I'm deciding what to do, "I know he's got it", he announces to all and sundry. Now, there's no way he's going to call anything but a small bet, if that. A bet for value does appear to be the only choice, but how much will he call? A crying call IS likely, but just how much will he pay to satisfy his curiosity?
On the basis that bad players should be given the opportunity to make big mistakes I scooped up my whole stack and slammed it down on the table. "I know he's got the flush", continued the refrain from the bad player, but he eventually decided to make the call. It was a bit of an abnormal situation in that I knew the exact feelings of the other player towards both his and my hand, I knew their skill level and I had plenty of time to figure out a suitable play. This kind of relates to why TAG play works well, in that aggressive betting can often be perceived by some players as being unrepresentative of what you actually hold in your hand because they lack sound judgement.