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Twitch - this gonna be the nail in the coffin Twitch - this gonna be the nail in the coffin

04-15-2015 , 04:29 PM
At its current level, Twitch is great for poker, especially the more popular streams. Don't see how streamers giving new players mostly poor advice that they won't even retain as being a bad thing. Maybe future streams/streamers where they are just generally giving amazing advice trying to make the games harder but I have only really seen one of those, and once again they have to retain this information.
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04-15-2015 , 05:01 PM
BIGDOG my favourite. Best stream for me personally. He's hilarious. A viewer said to him 'what do you do for a living?' he replies 'I play tennis for a living'

JCARVER very mainstream and excellent personality.

JAMIESTAPLES Again, very main stream, light-hearted and very personable.

Havent watched any others. But, also, watching these guys the last week has certainly dispelled the subconscious thoughts that these guys win every flip and catch cards all day long.

CONCLUSION TWITCH IS A TOOL THAT IS SO FAR PRIZING THE LAST NAIL FROM THE COFFIN.
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04-15-2015 , 05:28 PM
The best streamers for me at the moment: PrimordialAA, Shaguar_Poker, Pulseau, Easywithaces.
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04-15-2015 , 05:39 PM
Twitch streams can't stop people from tilting and breaking Bankroll Management which are both important aspects of winning at poker.

Not to mention most of the popular streams focus on tournament poker, and everyone knows basic tournament stuff anyway, so it's no big deal.
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04-15-2015 , 06:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Two SHAE
What is seriously absurd is that people cannot read the post for its merits and instantly judge it based on who is posting it.



I don't think you welcome it, since it's a day closer to when you and everyone else get weeded out too.



Do you have any evidence/theories to support this view? Would love to hear.



See beginning of post

Hate for anyone acting in a way that promotes maximal self-interest within the rules of a game where people are competing for money / livelihood is pretty ridiculous.



You seem really bitter about people who capitalized on opportunities to make large amounts of money quickly.


As for comments on the OP itself-- poker has been dying a slow death for a long time. Stars monopoly + Amaya acquisition was always going to accelerate the process. Twitch is likely a net-negative.

The best and brightest / hardest working guys should pretty much always be able to make a living, but it's no secret that hourlies are way down from 5 years ago and trending downwards on the aggregate-- rake going up, edges getting smaller, especially due to zoom-style play. There is also always live poker which some people cringe at the thought of-- but the point is, there are still ways to make good money, but it's far from what it used to be. This is the natural progression of any quant/competitive field.
The point is that it's absurd to talk about twitch being the nail in the coffin when it's scripts and 24 tabling that drove the fish out. Talking about Jason Somerville streaming poker is so irrelevant at this point
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04-15-2015 , 06:19 PM
I'm not saying that the OP doesn't have merits... as it does. I just find it absurd that Tim started it, as his core values about fixing online poker are on par with Donald Trump speaking of the virtues of socialism.
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04-15-2015 , 06:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vinivici9586
I'm not too bitter about the ones who faded into oblivion (townsend, andrew wiggins, for example).

But when Galfond is Mr. Popularity on 2p2, and uses his nice guy image to offer extremely low $/vid contracts to young and mostly naive up and coming coaches under the pretense that it's an honor to work with him, I find it really absurd, and can't help not commenting on it. When he complains about scripters and hunters and young kids who are slow/annoying/have bad social skills lives, he should look in the mirror and realize what he did getting texts when Guy was online, how bumhunting would be less necessary without training sites, and what the average user of RIO looks and acts like.
Just to quickly respond to this point, I produce training videos (not for RIO) for what is relatively speaking a very low price/video. I'm happy with this for two reasons:

1) the site I make them for is targeted primarily at US-based micro players so it's unlikely that anyone who sees the videos will be playing my games any time soon.
2) I couldn't give a **** about the poker economy since I don't intend to play poker seriously for more than at most about 15 months from today.

Hopefully this alone is sufficient to show you that there are valid reasons - similar to those for using scripts, since neither is good for the poker economy - and this is without my belief that ethically speaking poker is more justifiable if people have ready access to strategic information (to make it more of a meritocracy), and the fact that I really enjoy producing them.
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04-15-2015 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JHair
The point is that it's absurd to talk about twitch being the nail in the coffin when it's scripts and 24 tabling that drove the fish out. Talking about Jason Somerville streaming poker is so irrelevant at this point
+1 Scripts have driven more fish away then twitch ever will. It doesn't matter if it is not in the TOS of the site and is "not cheating", the result is the same and has caused many fish to feel they have been cheated and have left the game. Twitch on the other hand, is causing more people to join the game who never would have at the expense of adding a few regs, just like any other form of advertising.
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04-15-2015 , 08:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Two SHAE
As for fading into oblivion, Andrew Wiggins is one of the best DFS players today-- he goes by the screenname "Makisupa" on FanDuel and DraftKings. He recently got ****ed out of $750,000 but still walked away with $250,000: https://rotogrinders.com/articles/ri...ch-24th-634344

Townsend still plays high stakes from what I've seen.

Don't see anything wrong with using Kickstarter for its intended purpose-- and trying to make money from a documentary into which they put a lot of time and effort.
yeah im playing too. ridiculous scramble tonight, ha. and wiggins is doing that silly dfs "bootcamp" (tilting name) thing. so i guess old habits are hard to break

by fading into oblivion, i don't mean not succeeding, i mean not trying to be a public figure who uses their status as training site czar to promote themselves.

and i don't care one way or the other if they play poker. you could argue what townsend is doing is less tilting than what taylor did because at least he's ****ting where he eats, whereas taylor did the ultimate bumhunt move which is grind 2005 games super hard-> training site -> become mr poker entrepreneurship guru -> become entrepreneur in general (fwiw, i think he did very well with draftday and is obviously really really smart, but don't think that cardrunners or any other training site is a particularly impressive endeavor)
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04-15-2015 , 10:05 PM
From what I understand, Wiggins is doing the bootcamp as a favor to Smizzle, and is only attending some cities which are convenient for him (he was not at the one in LA).

The more you know.
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04-15-2015 , 10:40 PM
Twitch - this gonna be the hump that broke the camel's back
Twitch - this gonna be the nail in the coffin Quote
04-16-2015 , 05:04 AM
Two Shae vs Vinivici

That is a battle I've been waiting to see.

Vini is extremely bitter and always has been.
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04-16-2015 , 05:10 AM
Not only is Twitch not going to be the nail in the coffin, its going to be good for the game.
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04-16-2015 , 05:24 AM
Disclaimer: Didn't read thread.

HOWEVER - OP is right all these people saying that twitch will bring on the next poker boom WTF? Are you all ******ed.

It is just another learning tool added to the ridiculous ****ing amount of poker tools and training that are out there on the market that have ruined the ****ing game.

The only thing worse than this would be someone physically playing and winning for them.

Online Poker is ****ed forever.

Peace
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04-16-2015 , 05:35 AM
A little off-topic but I think it's funny that bumhunting gets so much hate when it's literally one of the first things someone learns when they start playing poker.
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04-16-2015 , 05:44 AM
I feel like you are really overrating the average Twitch user and their ability to learn. They aren't gonna learn from Twitch and if they come to online they won't be any different from average player. They spent ****ton of time playing online games and are heavily invested into them, but still the average player from League, StarCraft or HearthStone is terrible.
They follow their favorite games, spend hours playing and watching them and they still suck. You really don't want people like that playing on PokerStars?
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04-16-2015 , 06:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 14756897412369
A little off-topic but I think it's funny that bumhunting gets so much hate when it's literally one of the first things someone learns when they start playing poker.
When it gets to the point where great internet connection and best seating script software are dictating your opponents it's a long way from learning to take a note, colour tag a player and then trying to get on their table with your own speed of movement.

Now all that stuff that required brain power is automated.
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04-16-2015 , 06:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 14756897412369
A little off-topic but I think it's funny that bumhunting gets so much hate when it's literally one of the first things someone learns when they start playing poker.
It's one of the way losing players rationalize their loses - "I'm really a better player than them, but I lose, because they bumhunt/use HUDs/use scripts etc".

Coincidently, hating on buhhunters is also a good way for top players to get action.
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04-16-2015 , 06:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PasswordGotHacked
Disclaimer: Didn't read thread.

HOWEVER - OP is right all these people saying that twitch will bring on the next poker boom WTF? Are you all ******ed.

It is just another learning tool added to the ridiculous ****ing amount of poker tools and training that are out there on the market that have ruined the ****ing game.

The only thing worse than this would be someone physically playing and winning for them.

Online Poker is ****ed forever.

Peace
A poor learning tool that reaches a large audience for free including people who have never played poker online. Its a lot different than searching out and paying for a subscription to online training videos that are also a lot higher in quality. I dont think it will bring a boom that is really ott but it is definetly good for the game.
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04-16-2015 , 07:24 AM
Without new money coming in, online poker would eventually die.

Potential players seeing poker played online for the first time or watching it enough to get comfortable with the idea of depositing can only be increased by Twitch broadcasts. How is that a net negative thing?
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04-16-2015 , 11:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimStone
So all you streamers target an audience which, apart from people who already playing poker more or less serious, consists of very young, probably 15-30y/o males, with in most cases pretty much zero disposable money (unless they have rich parents) who enjoy computer games and most likely spend the majority of their free time in front of a screen and you teach them that you can make alot of money by playing poker, what hands to play, how to play them, how to approach mindset issues, how to build a bankroll, where to watch strategy videos, etc.
This is just spot on. As much as I believe that twitch is nice to watch and refreshing for poker, what OP said is essencially true for most cases.

Games are dying, it cant be helped, things evolve.
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04-16-2015 , 12:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
This is just spot on. As much as I believe that twitch is nice to watch and refreshing for poker, what OP said is essencially true for most cases.

Games are dying, it cant be helped, things evolve.
The problem with that logic is that we get older. I was 18 and broke when I started playing poker after watching Rounders. Now I'm 34 and have money and still play poker. A lot of these young people will graduate college and have disposable income in the next 5-10 years.

The other point to consider is that Twitch is primarily for gamers now but it may not always be. We saw the Ultra music festival on there a few weeks back, there's talk about daily fantasy sports being introduced, etc. In the future, I expect you'll see more mainstream appeal on Twitch and a much wider audience.
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04-16-2015 , 12:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GCP
The problem with that logic is that we get older. I was 18 and broke when I started playing poker after watching Rounders. Now I'm 34 and have money and still play poker. A lot of these young people will graduate college and have disposable income in the next 5-10 years.
Many players start to play in college and dont even get to finish their studies, Ike for instance did exactly that. Twitch is only gonna be efective if it can draw people to spend money now, they're not gonna spend money 5 yrs from now just becaused they watched twitch. Also, let's be honest, gamers are never easy opponents. Gamblers are.

Quote:
Originally Posted by GCP
The other point to consider is that Twitch is primarily for gamers now but it may not always be. We saw the Ultra music festival on there a few weeks back, there's talk about daily fantasy sports being introduced, etc. In the future, I expect you'll see more mainstream appeal on Twitch and a much wider audience.
This may be a good point, let's see if it could draw other markets, would be nice.

Dont get me wrong Im not criticizing Twitch, as it being good or bad, good or bad is a point of view, how it affects your goals. Im just saying like OP said, that it being a huge bulk up to poker might simply not be true.

At the end of the day twitch is mostly a source of free information for poker pro aspiring players, or players who r pros already, be it, how to play hands, what software to use, what bonuses to apply for,...etc. It cant be making games easier.
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04-16-2015 , 02:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
Many players start to play in college and dont even get to finish their studies, Ike for instance did exactly that. Twitch is only gonna be efective if it can draw people to spend money now, they're not gonna spend money 5 yrs from now just becaused they watched twitch. Also, let's be honest, gamers are never easy opponents. Gamblers are.
I'm sorry, these are generalizations and not based in fact. In fact, many gamers ARE gamblers and vice versa. On balance, people have more money as they age and so getting more young people interested in and playing online poker now is nothing but good for poker.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
This may be a good point, let's see if it could draw other markets, would be nice.

Dont get me wrong Im not criticizing Twitch, as it being good or bad, good or bad is a point of view, how it affects your goals. Im just saying like OP said, that it being a huge bulk up to poker might simply not be true.

At the end of the day twitch is mostly a source of free information for poker pro aspiring players, or players who r pros already, be it, how to play hands, what software to use, what bonuses to apply for,...etc. It cant be making games easier.

This is a pessimistic view - try reorganizing your thinking. Free information is mostly a good thing. Not all the information is profitable or easily applied. For example, I watched George Danzer's stream the other day and he was playing 2-7 Triple Draw. Now, I've read Daniel's chapter in SS2 on Triple Draw, I've watched an elite player play his hands and explain them so now I'm ready to sit high limit Triple Draw, right?

Yeah I know the basics, I have enough information to be dangerous, I might even have some false confidence but there is going to be a learning curve until I have a few thousand hands or more.

But the cool thing is now I want to play and I probably will, even though I'll be an underdog at first.


Hopefully that makes sense.
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04-16-2015 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TimStone
Was planning to write something for a while now but didn't found time or energy so far but since i'm reading twitch twitch twitch everywhere these days here we go. Also english is not my mother tongue so excuse eventual mistakes i make but in this post i will abstain from my trademark "teh" and similar stuff.

I started with onlinepoker mid 2000s and played recreational in the beginning and started to play for a living in 2009 after i quit my job. I've seen alot over the years and i pretty much always played the same stakes with NL200 fullring as my main game. Of the folks i played with in 2010 there are maybe 10% still around. The rest is gone. Apart from the exceptions which moved up and still stayed there 80+% are not playing for a living anymore because it was not possible for them anymore.

Over the years games got tougher and tougher up to a point where you really shake your head if you think about some years back. The average NL100 game these days is for sure tougher and filled with better players compared to a NL1k game in 2010.

The biggest damage in this whole development was probably due to pokerstrategy.com. I remember in 2010 if you had a russian at the table he was a maniac and loaded with money. Today you have 5 russians at every table who are agressive and in many spots close to GTO and not easily to exploit. Thanks for developing the russian market, pokerstrategy!

Smaller damages were/are done by several coaching sites even though their influence is neglicible compared to ps because for them you actually have to pay and don't get money and lessons for free which get you started. They still were and are a strong contributor to what games currently are.

Other factor like blackfriday and ringfencing several countries weren't good for poker either but by far not as bad as the two points above.

Now we write 2015. While in 2010 when somebody asked me i told him to quit his job and start play for a living today i tell him to stay as far away as possible. Things have changed abit.

If you look into several forums here the tone gets more and more agressive towards each other because more and more people cannot make a living out of this game anymore.

If you speak to other regs you hear alot of complaints that games are too tough, the rake is to high, there are less games running etc.

And now at this absolute lowpoint in over 15years of onlinepoker we get TWITCH.
And we celebrate it like the best thing that ever happend to poker!
In every podcast i hear how good twitch is for poker. That another boom is coming. That everything is getting better from now on.

But i tell you what. There is no new boom. And things will get tougher. Alot tougher. Tough to a point that alot of those people who are reading this will not be able to play for a living in one or two years from now.

Lets break down this awesome site called twitch for a moment. Wich brings in new players like nothing else:

So all you streamers target an audience which, apart from people who already playing poker more or less serious, consists of very young, probably 15-30y/o males, with in most cases pretty much zero disposable money (unless they have rich parents) who enjoy computer games and most likely spend the majority of their free time in front of a screen and you teach them that you can make alot of money by playing poker, what hands to play, how to play them, how to approach mindset issues, how to build a bankroll, where to watch strategy videos, etc.

Now i ask you guys what could possibly go wrong?

I don't see another boom, all i see is 1000s of new, hungry and highly motivated regulars. And a coffin with a nail in it.


So please all you podcasts, newswriters, players, etc. - before you communicate how awesome twitch is the next time please turn on your brain and think for a couple seconds. Twitch is by far the worst thing that ever happend to poker for anybody who is currently playing for a living - ainec.


tl;dr
- sky is falling
- game over soon
- twitch doesnt get a single recreational player playing any sort of meaningful stakes with a 45/15
- twitch will produce 1000s of regulars grinding up from the micros to however far they manage to come

Same old same old, but op has huge point. Twitch, growing in streamers will rapidly disburse knowlege(some better than others but still -EV for our game as a whole).

The people who create videos usually just in it for the glory of being affiliated with said training site and gain no other benefit. If they used their conkers they would realize their actions have a huge negative effect on game states.

The same can be said of this new wave of streamers. It's going to be overall negative for the games.

I am one of the has been regs that Tim refers to. 2005-2010 i crushed and got swallowed up by the curve. I play live now and crush there. GG online.

Enjoy having fun streaming and watching these shows.
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