Quote:
Originally Posted by bgordon
27 mage spells if I counted correctly
11% to get one specific spell
25% for at least one of two
75% to get a spell that Tempo Mages are already running
Looking at this some more, Discover a Spell is sooo much better than drawing a card from a Tempo Mage's deck. You're 25% to get exactly Frostbolt or Fireball, which are the two best cards in the deck. A lot of the slower mage spells are almost always good given that having at least 5 mana was a condition to drawing it - Polymorph, Flamestrike, Pyroblast. So you're already at 48% to get one of those five cards.
A big chunk of the trash has situationally high upside. Stuff like Frost Nova and Echo. Even crap like Vaporize and Dragon's Breath in the right situation is significantly better than drawing a card from your deck.
It's pretty hard to get a crap card. There's enough always good cards and only a few always bad cards. It is much easier to get a crap card drawing from the top of a Tempo Mage deck.
I think you have to run two Ethereal Conjurers in Tempo Mage.