AP:
Hero checks,
Villain checks back and shows AK.
Hero wins 1820.
Notes:
My turn check followed my belief that most of his continuing UTG+1 range is combos of the A and the K. I wanted to make them pay to draw and deny equity. Global player will be inelastic in this spot, so I do expect a lot of High diamonds to continue with bad odds.
My In-game logic:
When the third 4 peels I am a bit concerned. What hands do I beat that call a river bet? I chop any jack, get no value from flushes, and his range now has more over pairs with a diamond that have just turned the full house.
My only concern is checking allows my opponent to shove, which now I only chop at best and its tough to call. This is a great card to bluff a flush off the pot.
If I make this check, knowing it opens an incredible bluffing opportunties for Ax and Kx hands, do I have to call?
Last edited by YiuWen; 02-25-2019 at 08:49 PM.
Reason: organization of thoughts
Probably fold pre vs 3.5x with no ante. C-c turn, he never folds Jx+ and if you're thinking c-r for value this is a massive overplay. River is weird, we probably shouldn't be in that spot. As played seems like it's a river we should barrel pretty big with that particular hand because our perceived range has a lot of airs, but we're value cutting ourself pretty often so it's a little gross. When we check we shouldn't expect him to bluff river if he's half decent, we have missed draws/Jx+ so turning anything into a bluff doesn't make sens for him, but maybe at those stakes it's a move.