When villain wakes up OTR - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments

When villain wakes up OTR

Post Reply Subscribe

...

12-12-2018 , 03:56 PM

miguelin43

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 820

Hi guys

V was 43/26 on 40 hands. Pretty aggro postflop although sample is so small....also he liked to defend his blinds in this small sample

What do we do? River looks pure air/some strong hand to me...

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $1.80 Buy-in (150/300 blinds, 40 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 3,555 (11.9 bb)
BB: 18,428 (61.4 bb)
UTG+2: 9,300 (31 bb)
Hero (MP1): 10,477 (34.9 bb)
MP2: 42,112 (140.4 bb)
MP3: 9,960 (33.2 bb)
CO: 15,533 (51.8 bb)
BTN: 25,493 (85 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K

UTG+2 folds, Hero raises to 630, 5 folds, BB calls 330

Flop: (1,730) T

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 865, BB calls 865

Turn: (3,460) 5

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (3,460) 2

(2 players)
BB bets 3,460 Hero?

Quote

12-13-2018 , 02:17 AM

nonsimplesimon

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 10,007

I think it's a good spot to bluff catch with his overs. I think that when we pot control ott with a medium strength hand I like to bluff catch otr.

Quote

12-13-2018 , 05:36 AM

ffsh

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 308

i think that there are enough busted straight draws in his range to justify the river call : 98, 87, 97, Q9, Q8 and our hand does not block any of those combos.

Quote

12-13-2018 , 07:45 PM

miguelin43

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 820

Quote:

Originally Posted by ffsh

i think that there are enough busted straight draws in his range to justify the river call : 98, 87, 97, Q9, Q8 and our hand does not block any of those combos.

This is stuff I always forget when I try to hand read lol....good thing you remind me of it haha

I folded in fact ; in my plan I was going to call any 1/2-2/3 bet if he indeed bet the river but that big size unnerved me....

Quote

12-14-2018 , 07:26 AM

ffsh

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 308

Quote:

Originally Posted by miguelin43

This is stuff I always forget when I try to hand read lol....good thing you remind me of it haha

I folded in fact ; in my plan I was going to call any 1/2-2/3 bet if he indeed bet the river but that big size unnerved me....

there is always alternative view - the large bet sizing might be an indicator of bluff that supports the decision to call. So, it could encourage you rather than discourage

Let's say that he has A3s or 22 and made a loose call on the flop and checked the turn and hit the monster hand on the river. Would he use the same bet sizing to get value from your range? As you mentioned, you were ready to call 50-60% of the pot, so it might be reasonabl for him to use this sizing for value bet rather than pot-sized bet.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...