Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_kill
Villain bet 26k~ into 41k~ so it's def a snap call esp if you're not anywhere near the payouts for the seat.
You asked in the other thread about my being sure it was 7BB +EV.
The numbers below are slightly different than above just because I got things wrong a bit above. The probability I use in the formula comes from running JJ against AA, KK, QQ, AK, AQs+ which seems a reasonable range for the play.
600/1200/1200 level = 3k blinds/antes
3000 open
9000 reraise
9000 call
6800 shove
800 call
800 call
———————
29,400 preflop action
+
3000 blinds and antes
———————
32,400 pot going to the flop
23,000 shove
———————-
55,400
EV=(%W*$W) + (%L*$L)
EV= (.4*55,400) + (.6*-23,000)
EV = 22,160 - 13,800
EV = 8,360 chips or 6.966666 BB
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