Quote:
Originally Posted by Jonty5
Thanks for you replies!
I agree with you all in hindsight, I don't like the 3 bet at all, as it happens coz it gets me into marginal situations such as this one.
I ended up tank calling this hand for a couple of reasons. I think if he had a better ace i would have known about it on the flop. If he had something like bottom two and puts me on an ace then again I think i find out on the flop. I didn't think he'd donk shove turn with any sets, more likely to check shove anyways.
While I was tanking I was trying to think how the 9 on the turn might have helped. To me the hands that made sense were 89 or a FD that hit the 8 both of which I'm ahead of.. Factoring in where I'd be in the tournament if I was to call and win, I ended up calling and he turned over K10 of clubs for a FD and gutshot.. I faded the river and won a big pot.
Results aside, am I right in my assessment? Is it still a -EV call?
I don't think your assumption about how he would play a better Ace is correct. While he likely would have shoved AK pre, A9-AQ are certainly in his range and he could easily go into call-down mode with those hands - particularly with the lower end of his Ax range after you 3b pre.
For your call to be a good one your read basically has to be exact because you'll be behind a range that includes any better hands.
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