partypoker - 700/1400 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): 58.62 BB
MP+1: 71.3 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
CO: 143.35 BB (VPIP: 20.87, PFR: 15.64, 3Bet Preflop: 12.24, Hands: 744)
BTN: 50.94 BB (VPIP: 24.20, PFR: 14.86, 3Bet Preflop: 5.61, Hands: 281)
SB: 62.47 BB (VPIP: 20.97, PFR: 12.10, 3Bet Preflop: 6.19, Hands: 249)
BB: 83.1 BB (VPIP: 21.88, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
UTG: 130.57 BB (VPIP: 25.40, PFR: 21.31, 3Bet Preflop: 5.81, Hands: 262)
UTG+1: 42.5 BB (VPIP: 28.13, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has T T

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, MP+1 raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 5 BB

Flop: (18.5 BB, 2 players) 4 5 J
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 13 BB, Hero calls 13 BB

Turn: (44.5 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 16.46 BB, fold

MP+1 wins 60.96 BB

can we fold it otf given his sizing? can we assume he can play Ax that way? can we play it different than i did?

so u called 2/3 PBS otf, but folded to 1/3 PBS bet ott with a card that didn't change a lot..what card did you expect to see on the river to call the bet?

Flop is the time to fold. We have to credit him for a very strong range when he squeezes in MP vs a utg open and call. On the flop you're only 39% vs QQ-AA/AK (assuming he slowplays JJ). I don't see him doing this with weaker hands like 99/AQ.

I’d say TT becomes a set mining hand after the squeeze. No set, no bet! Could peel a smallish flop bet - but the 2/3 pot sizing is too much to call imo.

so in std maybe would be better to just fold pre ? we don't have odds for setmine and we play oop against strong range so it would be difficult to go for showdown. do you think flatting pre is profitable on population in this spot?

Not sure about the turn fold. I get that we can call once and hope that he'll only double barrel with strength so we might be able to get to showdown cheap, but calling and then folding on that turn card seems dirty. If we aren't calling a bet on the 2h then the only card we'll continue on is another T which means our plan when we call on the flop is to either hit a 2-outer or hope he won't bluff with overs on the turn.