Donk bet or check call?


PokerStars - 300/600 Ante 70 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BB): 29.98 BB
UTG: 12.92 BB (VPIP: 25.35, PFR: 22.14, 3Bet Preflop: 11.50, Hands: 291)
UTG+1: 11.76 BB (VPIP: 22.83, PFR: 16.27, 3Bet Preflop: 7.92, Hands: 258)
MP: 43.39 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 10.81, Hands: 88)
MP+1: 76.52 BB (VPIP: 17.24, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 29)
CO: 12.99 BB (VPIP: 17.57, PFR: 11.26, 3Bet Preflop: 2.20, Hands: 243)
BTN: 32.34 BB (VPIP: 20.43, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 6.31, Hands: 281)
SB: 88.51 BB (VPIP: 26.42, PFR: 20.75, 3Bet Preflop: 17.39, Hands: 107)

8 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.43 BB) Hero has J A

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (5.43 BB, 2 players) Q 8 J
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB

Turn: (11.43 BB, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, MP+1 bets 6 BB, Hero calls 6 BB

River: (23.43 BB, 2 players) A
[color=red]Hero??

I like betting to get paid off by Q or worse ace that would check back here. I would check though versus a player who can turn their hands into a bluff to avoid a tough decision. I think the population here leans on a check back however so value bet is good.

With position Id just call and see how he reacts on river.

why wait to see what he does, if he has AQ then then its pretty much a cooler, i like betting out

What size to bet is interesting too; like small to get called by KQ, QJ or betting way bigger to get called by virtually all Ax which hopes its chopping?

check call see his hand and remember it for later

id check and let him keep betting. Its a great card for his range and he might decide to rep it and KT is unblocked and in his range here along with some 8x