Hand is from a $2.20 PKO.
PokerStars - 30/60 Ante 9 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 97.48 BB
UTG+1: 83.18 BB
MP: 143.68 BB
MP+1: 89.57 BB
MP+2: 180.83 BB
Hero (CO): 57.97 BB
BTN: 67.55 BB
SB: 89.45 BB
BB: 258.6 BB
9 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB.
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.85 BB) Hero has Q
K
fold,
UTG+1 raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, MP+1 calls 3 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 3 BB,
fold,
fold, BB calls 2 BB
Flop: (16.85 BB, 5 players) 7
Q
6
BB checks,
UTG+1 bets 8 BB,
fold,
fold,
Hero calls 8 BB, BB calls 8 BB
Turn: (40.85 BB, 3 players) 7
BB checks,
UTG+1 bets 20 BB, ...
Villan has just joined the table.
Off line analysis:
Let's place villan in the following UTG+1 range: 44+,A4s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,AJo+,KQo.
Let's say my calling range preflop is JJ-44,AQs-A9s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,KQo.
PF: I'm not sure if I would want to 3bet here. This is a PKO and I'm covered by everyone on the table, it is pretty hard to get folds. So I decided to just call.
Flop: PF agressor does its cbet. Right now are equities are pretty close, 49.2% (me) v 50.7%. Flop was good for this particular hand, we have a TPGK and a K high BDFD. This combo has 70% equitity and it makes a good call agaisnt a 1/2 pot cbet (requires 32% equity).
Turn: The 7 pairs the board. Range equities are still pretty close (51.2 v 48.2). Our particular combo has now 75% equity; but we don't have our flush draw anymore. We obviously can't fold river if we call here; should we call turn and river since we are at pretty close to the top of our range? Whats villan betting for 2 streets that we win? FD, KQ (tie), QJ, JJs? Perhaps we should shove over his cbet just to get it in against the hands we are currently beating?
Please, comment in the hand itself and also the way I'm analyzing it. Trying to improve my off table study routine.