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Top two pair vs. massive flop x/r and turn shove Top two pair vs. massive flop x/r and turn shove

09-13-2020 , 11:18 PM
$15 Ignition MTT

Effective stacks 517bb (early stage, several rebuys allowed). No significant reads on my opponents besides they are pretty loose preflop.

Preflop: UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps, I raise the CO to 5.33bb with AK. Folds back to the limpers who both call.

Flop (18.4bb): AKJ. UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, I bet 7bb. UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 44bb, I call.

I usually make a small-ish cbet as I have a big range advantage here. I'm not sure there's too much point to betting large this deep. Against the x/r, AK is too high up in my range to fold but I don't think there's much point in reraising which should only fold out some random bluffs that I have crushed.

Turn (106.4bb): 7. UTG+2 shoves for 468bb effective.

Can villain ever be doing this with AJ, KJ, or a combo draw? I definitely find a fold with AJ or KJ because it's difficult for villain to have those hands. Though given how ridiculous the sizing is, it's probably okay to only call KK+ and QTs.
Top two pair vs. massive flop x/r and turn shove Quote
09-20-2020 , 07:09 PM
And what about QTo!? JJ, only 3 combos, whatever...And this JJ is pretty unlikely for limp-call. From someone different than calling station.But this QTo is the big problem. Possible KJ, but only "possible". I think very unlikely. He can raise with this, for shove "maybe". "Unlikely"...Can have a good draw, Qxs, Txs. Still "unlikely", still he have very good equity. I think it is a fold. Vs this massive overbet. I will fold. Honestly...

" it's probably okay to only call KK+ and QTs."

What about JJ then !?
Top two pair vs. massive flop x/r and turn shove Quote

      
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