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7$ 9max Turbo, ICM Spots on the bubble 7$ 9max Turbo, ICM Spots on the bubble

02-02-2012 , 08:43 AM
Hello!
ok, CO is a good reg and aware that BB folds close to 100% of his hands, waiting for me and the button to bust. From that and from the last few orbits I suppose he is openshoving close to 100% of his range.

Wizard is telling me that this is a clear fold (i put his range on 90%), calling range should be 99+ and AKs

I called because next hand I probably have to shove into 3 people with a wide range, and I can see the chipleader calling me there really wide

Is my call really that bad?


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,055)
BB ($4,020)
CO ($7,355)
Hero ($1,070)

Dealt to Hero J A

CO raises to $7,330 (AI), Hero calls $1,045 (AI), fold, fold


A few hands later in the same game (SB is the Cutoff from the hand before):

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
SB ($5,455)
Hero ($2,765)
CO ($1,910)
BTN ($3,370)

Dealt to Hero Q A

fold, fold, SB raises to $5,430 (AI), Hero calls $2,340 (AI)

Here the range Wiz suggests if we assume he opens 33% (seems reasonable to me now that stacks are a bit more delicate) to call with TT+, AK, AQs.

I made the right call here, but it felt more close than the first spot to me.
Can someone explain me why in the first hand this is such a clear cut fold? Is it because of the 2.5BB stack behind me?
7$ 9max Turbo, ICM Spots on the bubble Quote
02-02-2012 , 10:04 AM
I don't think the first hand is a clear cut fold. ICM overvalues shortstacks so you can take a slightly negative edge here and still be +EV if that makes sense. You're in the blinds again before the other shortie, so you have to take this chance to double up and put him in the spotlight.

Hand 2 looks good. He's pushing 100% here.
7$ 9max Turbo, ICM Spots on the bubble Quote

      
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