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Overpair facing a raise Overpair facing a raise

07-20-2020 , 03:40 AM
$6 Buyin 600/1200 NL - Holdem - 9 players
4 spots away from ITM

Hero (MP): 64.71 BB
MP+1: 61.57 BB
MP+2: 21.88 BB
CO: 13.03 BB
BTN: 39.97 BB
SB: 52.93 BB
BB: 23.26 BB
UTG: 103.61 BB
UTG+1: 56.21 BB

9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.62 BB) Hero has Ah As
fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 6.81 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 4.81 BB

Flop : (16.25 BB, 2 players) Ks 9s Qc
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

Turn : (16.25 BB, 2 players) 9d
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 8.12 BB, UTG+1 raises to 40.62 BB Hero?

Stats on Villain based on 35 hands: 54% VPIP, 23% PFR, 0% 3B, and calls 3B 4/6 times. So he could have some 9 (Ac9c, K9s, T9s, maybe Q9s, 98s) , he has straights (JTs) which I am losing to. I doubt he has KK since he would likely 4-bet. QQ is possible. I am not sure if he would do this with KQ but its possible. Since I have the As it is less likely he is doing it with flush draws. Overall, I am more inclined to call than fold. But since I am close to the money and he covers me I feel like folding.
Overpair facing a raise Quote
07-22-2020 , 07:26 AM
Checking the flop seems pretty suboptimal to me against someone with a VPIP over 50 (even if it is a small sample)
Overpair facing a raise Quote

      
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