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Nut FD facing x/r Nut FD facing x/r

09-15-2018 , 10:49 AM
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 50/100 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 128.57 BB (VPIP: 46.15, PFR: 38.46, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 14)
BTN: 40.56 BB (VPIP: 10.81, PFR: 2.94, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 74)
SB: 100.68 BB (VPIP: 21.88, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 33)
BB: 76.85 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 10.09, 3Bet Preflop: 8.49, Hands: 222)
UTG: 35.75 BB (VPIP: 17.39, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)
Hero (UTG+1): 47 BB
MP: 50 BB
MP+1: 46.9 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
MP+2: 39.55 BB (VPIP: 24.24, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 33)

9 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has A 8

fold, Hero raises to 2.25 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.25 BB

Flop: (5.9 BB, 2 players) 4 9 Q
BB checks, Hero bets 1.93 BB, BB raises to 6.35 BB, Hero calls 4.42 BB

Turn: (18.6 BB, 2 players) J
BB bets 11.55 BB, Hero?
Nut FD facing x/r Quote
09-15-2018 , 11:14 AM
Preflop is marginal

Turn obv is gross but there is 30bb in the middle and we have 38bb behind. We would have 26.5bb behind if we called turn and there would be 42bb in the middle for the river. Turn really depends on your style, I like to jam or fold here. If you like to gamble and take higher variance lines then jam otherwise its a fold, I think calling is the worst option to be honest just because of the spr layout and a heart might shut him down. Say if we have 12 clean outs ott we have 24%. Id say id be folding turn in most tournies.

Your bankroll is also significant because you didn't post the buy in. Like If I have 3k to spend on poker and this is a small buyin tounry, esp if its re-entry or rebuy and there are heaps of other good tournies coming up, I might take a punt here and jam turn, I honestly think he has a good enough b/f range sometimes.
Nut FD facing x/r Quote
09-15-2018 , 12:23 PM
Is there any merit for a flop 4 bet jam on the flop? 50bb is a lot but we shut down a lot of his semi bluffs and when called we ofc have the redraw to the nuts. I'm just speculating about the 4b jam since it feels so ****ty to give up OTT like this. I feel like If I played this hand I would level myself into a turn call but I think wowsooted is right about calling being probably the worst play. Interesting spot, but I guess giving up the turn is fine.
Nut FD facing x/r Quote
09-16-2018 , 08:22 AM
Nh (assuming you folded the turn )- don't like jamming the flop because raising range from fairly nitty player is too strong - much of the time our A outs are not good.
Nut FD facing x/r Quote
09-17-2018 , 03:31 PM
I agree with oldgoat, you're in bad shape against his range here.
Nut FD facing x/r Quote

      
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