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Small Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of small stakes MTT strategy

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Old 09-21-2018, 04:56 PM   #1
miguelin43
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Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: in the Age of Downswing...
Posts: 537
Lost atthe river

Hi guys

Villain is 22/16 around 70 hands

I dont have a clue about his range...did he check turn to induce a bet from me? Then if he has overpair or Qx why he doesnt let me "bluff" again OTR or make a smaller river bet that i ca easly call?

I just *shrug* folded but interesting in listening to your thoughts

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $4.50 Buy-in (40/80 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 9,920 (124 bb)
Hero (BB): 10,200 (127.5 bb)
UTG+1: 9,771 (122.1 bb)
UTG+2: 7,982 (99.8 bb)
MP1: 12,379 (154.7 bb)
MP2: 9,840 (123 bb)
MP3: 11,990 (149.9 bb)
CO: 10,166 (127.1 bb)
BTN: 10,010 (125.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6 6
2 folds, MP1 calls 80, 3 folds, BTN calls 80, SB raises to 281, Hero calls 201, 2 folds

Flop: (722) 3 Q Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (722) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 361, SB calls 361

River: (1,444) T (2 players)
SB bets 1,068, Hero folds
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Old 09-22-2018, 06:29 PM   #2
Letsmakeithappen
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Join Date: Sep 2018
Posts: 10
Re: Lost atthe river

I think he most likely has Q and his line seems like he lets you bluff because if he has queen he dont have any scary cards and doesnt want to make hands like AJ fold and on the river he value bets to get called by Tx or pocker pairs. There shouldnt be like any bluffs in his range because he should check river with A high. And if he had JJ KK AA he probably wouldnt value bet so big. And well might also have TT but your line seems well played. Big donk bets are so rarely bluffs in these games.
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Old 09-23-2018, 06:38 AM   #3
adriang
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Re: Lost atthe river

I agree with the post above. It's a very good stop to bluff, but the average villain in a small stakes MTT is going to be way too skewed towards value hands so calling is not going to be profitable.
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Old 09-23-2018, 06:59 AM   #4
bearer
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Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 667
Re: Lost atthe river

Trivial fold.

For this to be a bluff he needs to have checked air twice, then called with it on the turn with no draws possible. He doesn't deserve to be paid off.
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Old 09-24-2018, 09:18 AM   #5
Darth_Maul
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Re: Lost atthe river

This looks a lot like a slowplayed Q. A lot.
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Old 09-24-2018, 11:55 AM   #6
miguelin43
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Re: Lost atthe river

Quote:
Originally Posted by Letsmakeithappen View Post
I think he most likely has Q and his line seems like he lets you bluff because if he has queen he dont have any scary cards and doesnt want to make hands like AJ fold and on the river he value bets to get called by Tx or pocker pairs. There shouldnt be like any bluffs in his range because he should check river with A high. And if he had JJ KK AA he probably wouldnt value bet so big. And well might also have TT but your line seems well played. Big donk bets are so rarely bluffs in these games.
Thanks , it´s very well explained , the large river bet put me at a loss haha
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